Economic Outlook
Canada just fined the world’s largest bank for not following anti-money laundering rules. A local subsidiary of the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) paid over $700k in penalties last year. Despite only being fined weeks ago, FINTRAC, Canada’s financial intelligence unit, found the problems during a routine audit in 2019. The regulatory body says the bank failed to file suspicious transaction reports, even when they had reasonable grounds to suspect money laundering or terrorist financing.
Chinese State-Owned Bank Found In Violation Of Anti-Money Laundering Reporting Standards
The Canadian subsidiary of the world’s largest bank was lax with its reporting standards, says a government agency. Following a routine compliance audit in 2019, Canadian authorities found several “administrative violations.” Those include:
- Failure to treat activities in respect of some entities as high risk and to take the prescribed special measures;
- Failure to submit suspicious transaction reports where there were reasonable grounds to suspect that transactions were related to a money laundering or a terrorist financing offense; and
Failure to institute and document the prescribed review of some areas of its compliance policies and procedures. - More bluntly, FINTRAC accused them of not following anti-money laundering rules.
Canada Hits The World’s Largest Bank With A $700k Fine
Two years later, they’re circling back and asking the bank to pay a fine. Despite the audit being conducted in 2019, the fine was issued on October 4, 2021. ICBC has since paid the $701,250 fine. A lot of questions about how the fine’s value was determined. However, that data isn’t publicly available at this point.
The Canadian regulator is using the opportunity to remind financial institutions they’ll continue to ensure they follow compliance. “…we will be firm in ensuring that businesses continue to do their part and we will take appropriate actions when they are needed,” said Sarah Paquet, Director and Chief Executive Officer, FINTRAC…read more.
Canada’s real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 0.6% in November 2021, Statistics Canada announced February 1, lifting GDP 0.2% higher than it was in February 2020 – before the pandemic took its toll on the economy.
This was the sixth consecutive monthly increase.
Gains were seen across almost all sectors, with both services-producing (up 0.6%) and goods-producing industries (up 0.5%) seeing growth.
The report comes before the surge in Omicron cases in December, but StatsCan says it appears that so far, real GDP for December will likely be unchanged.
Douglas Porter, chief economist at BMO Economics, said the 0.6% increase was higher than anticipated growth of 0.3%.
“The sturdy growth in the days just prior to the spread of Omicron show, yet again, how the Canadian economy can rebound forcefully when it is allowed to re-open,” Porter said in a note to investors February 1. “These results overall are a bit better than expected, with the flash estimate of 6.3% growth for all of Q4 likely best capturing the underlying resiliency late last year…read more.
We often hear people say that polls are “a snapshot in time.”
While the comment is offered by political organizers who are dissatisfied with the popularity of their policy or candidate, the dictum is accurate – the moment in which people are asked a question can play a pivotal role in the way they feel about an issue.
I was asked to conduct a poll on September 19 and September 20, 2008, to look at the way Canadians felt about economic matters. The moment was significant for various reasons. In the previous week, the scope of the global financial crisis had become clear to anyone who was paying attention: the Dow Jones industrial average had fallen by more than 500 points, Lehman Brothers went bankrupt and the chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke, stated that the United States “may not have an economy on Monday” unless drastic action was taken to deal with “toxic mortgages.”
At the time, Canadians would be forgiven for reacting with unbridled panic at the situation that was unfolding in the United States. Still, the data I collected over those two days in September 2008 exuded calmness: 61% of Canadians rated the economic conditions in the country as “very good” or “good,” 60% felt the same way about their personal finances and 60% expected the national economy to improve.
Thirteen years ago, the numbers outlined a Canadian public that was confident in withstanding any challenge. This past weekend, Research Co. and Glacier Media asked Canadians about the current state of affairs. The crisis this time is not caused by “toxic mortgages” but by COVID-19 infections and growing inflation.
In early 2022, the mood of the country is decidedly more sombre than it was at the height of the global financial crisis of 2008. Only 41% of Canadians rate the economic conditions in Canada as “very good” or “good,” while a more than half (54%) consider them “bad” or “very bad.”…read more.
Canada’s central bank is holding interest rates at 0.25 per cent, but warns that increases will be coming to combat high inflation.
On Wednesday, the Bank of Canada (BOC) maintained interest rates at their current levels, despite the economy having recovered from the pandemic, including job numbers returning to pre-pandemic levels by the end of last year. In its decision, the bank says global recovery remains uneven and the Omicron variant continues to cause supply chain bottlenecks.
Inflation rose to 4.8 per cent in December for the first time since 1991. The bank argues the causes of high inflation — such as supply chain shortages — are temporary and will ease to three per cent by the end of 2022.
“Interest rates need to increase to control inflation,” Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem told reporters in Ottawa on Wednesday.
“Canadians should expect a rising path for interest rates. We are committed to bringing inflation back to target.”…read more.
Tesla has dominated electric vehicle (EV) sales in the US. The Texas-based automaker held a commanding 79% share of the EV market in 2020.
That number dropped a bit in 2021, down to 66.3% through the first half of the year, according to registration data from Experian.
According to Bank of America (BofA), that drop is just the beginning and Tesla’s US EV market share will plummet to just 19% by 2024.
The investment bank says the reason for the precipitous drop is due to an all-familiar talking point when it comes to Tesla – competition.
“We think 2022 marks the start of commercialization for electric vehicles, with many start-up EV automakers launching/ramping new product and many incumbent automakers also beginning their product launch onslaught,” the bank said.
BofA doesn’t stop there. They also predict Tesla’s EV market share will be less than those of Ford and General Motors by 2024, the two automakers it says will benefit the most from Tesla’s decline…read more.