Bonds & Interest Rates

Fiat Endgame – More QE, NIRP, bails-ins and Pensions Plunder…

morebangOriginally published October 4th, 2015.

The fiat money system should be branded a “crime against humanity” because of what its unbridled excesses must inevitably lead to – chaos, destitution and war – which is what we are clearly heading towards.

Over the past year or so, the Fed let the idea take hold that it was going to gingerly start a rate rise cycle, which helped to fuel a big rise in the dollar. The ruse worked and the Fed got a lot of bang for no buck. However when push came to shove and the time arrived a few weeks back when they had to “put up or shut up”, they backed down, and it became apparent that the whole thing was a hoax. They do actually….continue reading HERE

Stock Trading Alert: Positive Expectations Following Last Week’s Rebound

Stock Trading Alert originally published on October 5, 2015, 6:46 AM:

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative long positions are favored (with stop-loss at 1,900, and profit target at 2,020, S&P 500 index)

Our intraday outlook is bullish, and our short-term outlook is bullish:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bullish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bullish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

The U.S. stock market indexes gained between 1.2% and 1.8% on Friday, as investors reacted to economic data releases. Our Friday’s bullish intraday outlook has proved accurate. The S&P 500 index broke above its recent short-term consolidation. The nearest important resistance level is at 1,950, and the next level of resistance is at 2,000-2,020 marked by local high. On the other hand, support level is at 1,870-1,900:

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Expectations before the opening of today’s trading session are positive, with index futures currently up 0.5-0.7%. The main European

stock market indexes have gained 2.1-3.2% so far. Investors will now wait for the ISM Services number release at 10:00 a.m. The S&P 500 futures contract (CFD) is within an intraday uptrend, as it currently trades slightly above the level of 1,950. The nearest important level of support is at around 1,920, as the 15-minute chart shows:

 

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The technology Nasdaq 100 futures contract (CFD) follows a similar path, as it extends its last week’s move up. The nearest important level of resistance is at 4,300, and support level remains at 4,250, among others, as we can see on the 15-minute chart:

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Concluding, the broad stock market extended its short-term uptrend on Friday, following volatile trading session. There have been no confirmed positive signals so far. However, we continue to maintain our already profitable speculative long position (1,881.90, S&P 500 index), as we expect an upward correction or downtrend reversal. We decided to move our stop-loss level to 1,900 (S&P 500 index), to protect our gains. Potential profit target remains at 2,020. You can trade S&P 500 index using futures contracts (S&P 500 futures contract – SP, E-mini S&P 500 futures contract – ES) or an ETF like the SPDR S&P 500 ETF – SPY. It is always important to set some exit price level in case some events cause the price to move in the unlikely direction. Having safety measures in place helps limit potential losses while letting the gains grow.

Thank you.

Dollar Index Lower on the Fed?  Readings of interest…

Screen Shot 2015-10-04 at 11.47.32 PMWill we see a deeper correction in the US dollar index on a change in US Fed rate expectations based on Friday’s weaker than expected non-farm payroll report for September? That is the question…….

….read Jack’s analysis HERE

Strap in Buckle Up: Poised for a Macro Change

The financial market environment has become very interesting since the dam finally broke in August, releasing the built up tension of a (US) market that had been going nowhere within a topping posture for about 7 months.  I think neither investors nor traders very much enjoyed that phase. 

The US market is in motion now and that means data points are coming in fast and furious.  Speaking personally, that is the kind of market I find comforting (and manageable) because indicator tools (from sentiment to macro to economic) are again actionable, directing us in a logical manner when cross referenced with regular technical analysis.

NFTRH 363 also does extensive work on the gold sector, which did as it should do on the weak September Payrolls report, breaks down the dynamics of the Payrolls report and covers the usual US and global stock markets. (He also comments on quite a bit of Martin Armstrongs work in this newletter – Money Talks Editor)

Please accept NFTRH 363 with my compliments at this key juncture. Click on image for entire letter:

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The Surprising Reason Why Commercial Hedgers Will Stun Traders By Pushing The Gold Price Higher In Coming Weeks

King-World-News-Maguire-This-Triggered-Todays-Massive-Selloff-In-Gold-Silver-864x400 cWith gold and silver surging strongly on Friday’s U.S. Jobs Report, today King World News is pleased to share a piece which takes a remarkable look at the war in the gold market. This piece also includes two key illustrations….

….read more HERE

 

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