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JPMorgan Chase & Co says it has noticed a troubling pattern with its work-from-home employees, particularly those who are of a younger age, Bloomberg reported Monday.
What Happened: CEO Jamie Dimon told analysts Keefe, Bruyette & Woods in a private meeting that productivity was particularly affected on Mondays and Fridays, according to Bloomberg.
“The WFH lifestyle seems to have impacted younger employees [at JPMorgan], and overall productivity and ‘creative combustion’ has taken a hit,” KBW Managing Director Brian Kleinhanzl wrote to clients in a note, citing the meeting with Dimon.
JPMorgan spokesman Michael Fusco told Bloomberg that the productivity of employees was affected “in general, not just younger employees,” but added that younger workers “could be disadvantaged by missed learning opportunities” as they were not in offices….CLICK for complete article
The Stock Market Bubble —and How to Play It
Every stock market bubble begins with a story, and make no mistake—this is a stock market bubble.
The story began easily enough, if not with “once upon a time.” A virus forced the country to shut down and accelerated the gains in a select few technology stocks that are uniquely capable of thriving with everyone stuck at home. A central bank took quick action to prevent financial markets from seizing up, pushing interest rates about as low as they could go. That helped lift the stocks of companies that are growing, including chiefly the aforementioned tech stocks, even if some have no profits. These stocks were among the first to rally once the stock market bottomed in March.
Now, get ready for the plot twist: Good investment ideas can stop being good ideas if the story goes on for too long. The tech trade—including tech companies that aren’t officially labeled as such—went too far before correcting suddenly in the past two weeks.
After gaining 75.7% from its March 23 low through Sept. 2, the tech-led Nasdaq Composite fell 10%, to 10,847.69, over three trading days, its swiftest correction on record.
But one correction doesn’t mean that the story is over, or that the bubble is ready to burst. To the contrary, the forces that drove stocks such as Apple (ticker: AAPL) and Amazon.com (AMZN) to astonishing heights remain firmly in place. They include the companies’ continued growth, the Federal Reserve’s determination to do whatever it takes to keep the economy afloat, retail investors’ newfound interest in trading, and maybe even a bit of fiscal largess. Stocks will remain volatile, but the tech bubble will continue to inflate.
For an investment bubble to occur, there has to be a widespread belief that a new paradigm has taken hold requiring an adjustment in valuations far beyond what previous fundamentals would imply. This belief needs to engage the imagination of investors beyond Wall Street, and there must be plenty of capital available to chase stock prices higher. The Covid-19 crisis has unlocked all three prerequisites.
This week Josef examines why WTI Crude prices fell nearly 10% over the last week was because of commercial inventories rising and OPEC overproducing. The S&P/TSX Energy Index fell 9% over the last week and is down 25% since the June high when he recommended taking profits from the great run from the mid-March BUY signal. Josef expects a new BUY signal during Q4/20.
Each week Josef Schachter will give you his insights into global events, price forecasts and the fundamentals of the energy sector. Josef offers a twice monthly Black Gold newsletter covering the general energy market and 27 energy and energy service companies with regular updates. He holds quarterly subscriber webinars and provides Action BUY and SELL Alerts for paid subscribers. Learn more and subscribe.
EIA Weekly Data:. The EIA data on Thursday September 10th showed a production recovery from the impact of Hurricane Laura on Gulf coast production. Lower 48 production rose by 300Kb/d to 10.0Mb/d but is still down 2.4Mb from 12.4Mb/d at this time last year. More of the curtailed production should return in the coming weeks. Commercial crude stocks rose 2.0Mb to 500.4Mb as net imports rose by 581Kb/d or by 4.1Mb last week. The expectation had been for a decline of 1.34Mb on the week. Overall stocks are 84.4Mb above last year or up by 20.3%. This build and current high stock level is putting pressure on WTI crude prices. Total product demand recovered after the Hurricane to 18.7Mb/d up 1.7Mb/d (last week was down by 2.64Mb/d to 16.98Mb/d as the hurricane hit land). Inventories of gasoline fell by 3.0Mb/d as refinery runs fell 4.9 points to 71.8% from 76.7% the prior week. We are now heading into the refinery maintenance period as they get ready to switch over to produce winter grade products.
Overall product inventories remain high at 1.94Bb or 136.0Mb (7.0%) above the previous year level. Total product demand is at 18.7Mb/d down 2.75Mb/d from a year ago or by 12.8%. Gasoline demand fell 396Kb/d to 8.39Mb/d as the summer driving season level subsides. Overall gasoline demand has declined by 14.4% from a year ago. Jet fuel consumption fell by 76Kb/d to 864Kb/d and is down 651Kb/d or 43.0% from a year ago. With coronavirus cases picking up again as schools and more businesses reopen, the US case load has risen to 6.4M cases with a new high of 192K fatalities. The next few weeks will be critical for the forecasts as the colder weather and normal seasonal flu season starts. If we see a Wave Two situation as is being seen in France, South Korea and some places in China, then greater lockdowns will hit energy demand even further and depress crude prices further.
Baker Hughes Rig Data: Last week Friday the Baker Hughes rig survey showed no change in the US land rig count. The US rig count is now at 256 rigs working, but remains down 71% from 898 rigs working a year ago. The Permian basin was flat last week at 125 rigs and is down now by 71% from a year earlier level of 427 rigs. The US oil rig count rose by one rig to 181 rigs but is down 76% from 738 rigs working last year.
Canada saw a decline of two rigs to 52 rigs working (down also two rigs last week). This level is down 65% from 147 rigs working at this time last year.
Conclusion: As we write this, WTI for October is at US$37.53/b down $0.52 on the day and down sharply from US$41.65/b last Wednesday. This decline of over US$4/b or down by nearly 10% in just one week is due to OPEC excess production and the rise in storage worldwide. The US build data today is the clear evidence of this. Crude prices should continue to decline in September as US consumption normally declines by 1.0-1.5Mb/d as the summer driving season ends. Further pressure is likely to come from OPEC as they raised production by 2.0Mb/d in August. They meet virtually next week, September 17th, and if they don’t reverse their increase in August (or cut it somewhat) then prices are likely to erode further. The psychological level of US$40/b was breached last week and the support at US$38.72/b has also now occurred confirming a top for crude. The next key level for WTI is US$34.36/b. If this is breached then the sector will face increased pressure. We see most energy stocks have significant downside risk. The most vulnerable companies are energy and energy service companies with high debt loads, high operating costs, declining production, current balance sheet debt maturities of some materiality within the next 12 months and those that produce heavier crude barrels. Results for Q3 and likely Q4/20 for most energy and energy service companies should be short of the prior year’s level which when reported will add to the downside pressure.
Hold cash and remain patient for the next low risk BUY window expected during Q4/20.
The S&P/TSX Energy Index fell nearly 9% to the 72 level today versus 79 last week. From the June high at 96 when we recommended profit taking the index is down by 25%. We see much more downside over the coming months. The support at 74.67 has been breached and the next downside target for the index is the 50 level. Further lows are likely in Q4/20 as tax loss selling could be very nasty this year.
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These students figured out their tests were graded by AI — and the easy way to cheat
“He’s getting all 100s”
Lazare isn’t the only one gaming the system. More than 20,000 schools currently use the platform, according to the company’s website, including 20 of the country’s 25 largest school districts, and two students from different high schools to Lazare told me they found a similar way to cheat. They often copy the text of their questions and paste it into the answer field, assuming it’s likely to contain the relevant keywords. One told me they used the trick all throughout last semester and received full credit “pretty much every time.”
Edgenuity didn’t respond to repeated requests for comment, but the company’s online help center suggests this may be by design. According to the website, answers to certain questions receive 0% if they include no keywords, and 100% if they include at least one. Other questions earn a certain percentage based on the number of keywords included.
Social media has seeped into virtually all aspects of modern life. The vast social media universe collectively now holds 3.8 billion users, representing roughly 50% of the global population.
With an additional billion internet users projected to come online in the coming years, it’s possible that the social media universe could expand even further.
Here’s a closer look at individual social platforms, and their trials and tribulations: Read More