Personal Finance

Good morning. Here’s what you need to know.

 

10 Questions To Ask When Choosing A Financial Advisor

When people think of their money and how it is managed, they often zoom in on one metric — how well their investments performed compared to the broader market.

But a new survey reveals that another big factor determines whether someone is satisfied with his or her investment firm: the financial advisor.

“The study finds that there are two elements beyond investment performance separating firms with high satisfaction from those with low satisfaction: the person that investors credit for their investment performance and the relationship investors have with their advisor,” said Craig Martin, director of investment services at J.D. Power & Associates, which conducted the study.

When it comes to our money, how well our investments do is out of our control — as they say, past performance is not an indicator of future results. But, who we choose to manage our money is.

pt 1257 14396 oFor that reason, you’ll want to search and vet all candidates carefully. Here’s how to find an advisor who is a good fit for your money needs.

How to Find the Right Candidates

Start by asking friends and family for referrals, says Minneapolis-based certified financial plannerSophia Bera and, in particular, get recommendations from people whose financial needs, outlook or stage of life is similar to yours. Before contacting planners, look them up online and on LinkedIn to get a sense of what each firm is like. Something as simple as the photos on their homepages can indicate which ones are targeting your demographic.

Also, search for a planner directly on the sites of theFinancial Planning Association and the National Association of Personal Financial Advisors. The advisors on the latter organization’s site are fee-only, meaning they will not earn commissions for selling you specific investments but simply charge you a rate, usually based on the assets you put under management. Many experts say that a fee-only advisor is preferable, to eliminate conflicts of interest and ensure he or she always acts with your best interest at heart.

But there is one case when you may not want a fee-only advisor, says Bera — and that’s if you want him or her to also help you with annuities, life insurance or disability insurance — basically, other investment vehicles besides stocks, bonds, mutual funds, etc. If so, look for a firm that has a broker-dealer. “They’ll get a commission [for selling you those products],” says Bera, “but some people want a firm that has a broker-dealer so they don’t have to go to someone else for disability or life.”

Once you’ve gotten a list of potential advisors, take one more step before setting up appointments to meet: Find out whether each has ever been disciplined for any unlawful or unethical behavior. You can do this using the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority’s (FINRA) BrokerCheck. You can also look the advisors up on the CFP Board’s site, to verify that they each have CFP certification status.

When you have your initial interview, here are the questions you want to ask:

1. How much do you charge for your services?

If you didn’t see this information on the planner’s web site, ask whether there’s an initial planning fee, whether they charge a percentage for assets under management, or whether they make money from selling you a specific product. Not only should you know how much the service will cost you, but it can help you determine whether they have an incentive to sell you things.

2. What licenses, credentials or other certifications do you have?

Of the four main types of financial advisors, the certified financial planner (CFP) designation is harder to achieve than Chartered Financial Consultant (ChFC), because the former requires a comprehensive board exam; the latter, however uses the same core curriculum. If you want someone to manage your money, then look for a registered investment advisor (RIA). If you have a high income or a small business owner, you’ll probably want a certified public account (CPA), who can offer you advance tax planning. The personal financial specialist (PSF) certification is usually obtained by CPAs who want to demonstrate they can help clients with comprehensive financial planning.

3. What services do you/does your firm provide?

Implicit in this question is also what assistance the advisor will not give you. “Some people are just investment advisors and only provide you advice on your investments,” says Bera. “Other people do comprehensive financial planning around retirement, insurance, estate planning and tax planning.” Go with someone whose offerings suit your needs.

4. What types of clients do you specialize in?

Some financial advisors have a niche, says Bera, and if you have a specific interest — such as charitable giving or socially responsible investments or if you’re a newlywed or recently divorced — you’ll want to find one that concentrates in that area too.

Edward A. Wacks, a CPA and CFP affiliated with Ameriprise Financial , says, “Most advisors tend to focus on people within 10 years of their age.” He for instance, focuses on soon-to-be retirees because he’s 61, and business owners because he has his own business. “I feel we have some commonality, and I understand their issues,” he says.

…..read 5-10 on page HERE

Jim Rogers: Paramount Advice to All Investors

In the Investment World, Jim Rogers is remarkable. Unusually gifted. He is a legend. 
 
He first became recognized when his Quantum Fund averaged 420% a year over a 10 year period while the S&P 500 averaged just 5%. Rogers forecast the Commodity Boom and China Boom, and the well before they began. 
 
On May 2012 he remarked “there’s going to be a huge shift in American society, American culture, in the places where one is going to get rich. The stock brokers are going to be driving taxis. The smart ones will learn to drive tractors so they can work for the smart farmers who are going to be driving Lamborghinis.
 

JIM ROGERS: PARAMOUNT ADVICE TO ALL INVESTORS

 
 1. To avoid making mistakes in this and future investment markets keep an eye on the Federal Reserve and Washington. 
 
“Mr. Bernanke has no clue about economics or currencies, and no clue about how markets work. You have to be very careful and watch those guys. Many people for some reason have some kind of faith, even worship of the Central Bank, like they know what they are doing. Its has only been in the past few decades people even knew who Central Bankers were. Nobody knew about these guys 100 years, 80 years ago yet now they have become exalted and that is a bubble. 
 
Fortunately Central Bankers are going to pop and this particular crisis may well lead to it. In America we’ve had 3 Central Banks, the first two disappeared and this one will too in my view. They are making such horrible mistakes. “
 
 2. “The other thing to watch out for is please don’t follow the crowd. When everybody is doing something, especially these days, you have got to go the other way.”  Gold was up 12 years in a row. “I know of no asset in World History that has been up twelve years without a decline. So Gold has been acting very very strangely in the last twelve years and It had to go down for a while. Well it has.” 
 
“Be very very careful when something is accepted. This is age old advice but it is especially true in the markets today. Like the Japanese Yen right now, when over 90% are bearish then you have to go the other way.” Jim is long the Japanese Yen. He knows he may not be right but he knows he will have made an intelligent decision. 
 
3. “There is always Extraordinary Change Going On.” Rogers goes further and says that there has been no time in his life when there hasn’t been “Change Confusion & Complexity”.  
 
streetsmartsWriting is his book Street Smarts he makes the point that:
 
“You can take any year you want in history, then look at the world 15 years later and it is nothing, NOTHING,  like it was before”
 
As an example in 1930, 40, 50 we had Depression,  then War, followed by the beginning of suburban America. Just dramatic changes. “Nothing we know today, everything we think is true today is going to have changed 10, 15, 19 years from now. It always, always, always has been, and always will be.”

 
4.  “The world changed in the 1920’s, 30’s,as Capital moved from the UK to the US exacerbated by a financial crisis and mistakes made by the politicians. We have another change taking place in World History right now. This time Capital is moving from the largest Debtor Nations to the largest Creditor Nations in the world, which are China, Korea, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore, Japan. 
 
The assets are in Asia, you know who the debtors are. You just have to look out the window and you will see some of it.”
 
5. “This is the first time in recorded History when nearly every Major Central Bank is printing money trying to debase their currency.” Japan was first, the US second, then the British followed. We have a lot of money being printed around the world.
 
“If you ask me the US has been the major beneficiary because people are afraid of other currencies at the moment. I expect this to end very badly because throughout history when you have had artificial money printing it has ended very badly in the country that it has happened. But this time it is happening in the whole World!”
 
“Some people are having a lot of fun right now. If you give me a trillion dollars I will show you a very good time. But I don’t think it is going to last.”
 
I hope you are worried, you should be.”
 

ABOUT JIM ROGERS

In the Investment World, Rogers is remarkable. Unusually gifted. He is a legend. 
 
He first became recognized when his Quantum Fund averaged 420% a year over a 10 year period when the S&P 500 averaged just 5% a year. More recently Rogers forecasted the China Boom and the Commodity Boom well before they began. 
 
On May 2012 he remarked during an interview with Forbes Magazine that “there’s going to be a huge shift in American society, American culture, in the places where one is going to get rich. The stock brokers are going to be driving taxis. The smart ones will learn to drive tractors so they can work for the smart farmers. The farmers are going to be driving Lamborghinis.

 

Real Estate Prices: 3 Major CDN Cities Turn Down in April 2013

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Toronto, Edmonton, and Calgary drop while Ottawa is the new real estate price breakout recipient.

VANCOUVER average single family detached prices in April 2013 ticked up again but remain 14.2% ($150,800) below their peak set last April 2012 (Vancouver Chart). On the short term, price are up fractionally, but on an annual basis, Vancouver is on a sea of red (Scorecard) with combined residential sales down 6.2% Y/Y and prices down 12.6% Y/Y with price momentum solidly negative (-14.2%) and heading towards Extreme Fear on the 12 month change chart

Now that you have the April data, where do you think Vancouver SFD prices will be one year hence? VOTE HERE.
 
CALGARY average detached house, townhouse and condo prices in April 2013 have all turned down from their recent record highs, Calgary Chart). I have added the TSX Energy Index plot to the chart to see when correlations occur with housing prices. Real Estate and the energy index are labouring under multiple peaks and price momentum has taken a sharp turn down and threatens to go flat. 

The sentiment in Calgary is the least bearish of the 3 markets polled with only 24% of the survey thinking Calgary SFD prices will be 20% lower in 12 months. What do you think? VOTE HERE.

EDMONTON average detached house prices in April 2013 also turned down with Calgary (Canada Chart). The bright spot was townhouse prices popping 2.8% M/M but annually they are down 0.7%. Combined residential sales although up nearly 10% M/M are down 8% for the year (Scorecard). The record high SFD prices of May 2007 are still 5.6% out of reach (Plunge-O-Meter).
 
TORONTO average detached house prices for the GTA in April 2013 backed off the high set last month (Toronto Chart) and Y/Y sales numbers are down over 5% for detached, townhouse and condos (Scorecard). The weakening sales are driving the market momentum into the flat line. For anyone keeping score, the gap between Vancouver and Toronto housing prices (Vancouver vs Toronto) is narrowing, especially condos and marketers should note that HNWI has fallen in love with Toronto.

Despite recent record highs, sentiment continues to suggest that prices will be down another 20% in 12 months. What do you think? VOTE HERE.
 
OTTAWA average detached house prices are not available, instead the chart on this site reflects Ottawa’s average combined residential prices. OREB’s report is sparse and opaque and the CMHC, records for Ottawa inventory remain one month lagging. In April 2013 Ottawa combined residential prices zoomed 3.8% M/M for a new record price high on a solid 34.8% M/M sales surge (Scorecard). Ottawa real estate is trading 2.1% above the prior peak set one year ago breaking out from a well defined 2 year channel. Follow the money.

MONTREAL median (not average) detached house prices in March 2013 (I WILL UPDATE WITH APRIL DATA WHEN IT IS RELEASED) ticked up 1.9% M/M but remain in a narrow price channel 1.6% below the all time high price set in June 2012 (Canada Chart). Prices are floating on sales resistance (Scorecard) with combined residential sales 17.3% below last year. In the 2011 Census, Montreal added 6.4% more dwelling units while only adding 5.2% more people. There is no shortage of housing, but there is a shortage of earnings; the Province of Quebec ranks 7th in Canada’s 10 provinces for earnings and shares an unemployment rate with Ontario of 7.7% in March.

 

Richer Than You (Must Read)

Income inequality in Canada and the United States is on the rise. Read on to learn the real reason why…

The Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives (CCPA) analysis of income inequality data shows the richest one percent of Canadians make $180,000 more today – adjusted for inflation – than they did in 1982.

The bottom 90 percent of Canadians saw income gains of only $1,700 over the same time period. In Vancouver, Toronto, and Montreal – Canada’s three largest cities – the bottom 90 percent actually make less today than they did in 1982.

 Most Canadians living in these cities have seen drops in income of:

  • Vancouver = $4,300
  • Toronto = $1,900
  • Montreal = $224

 

The richest one percent of Canadians in these three cities cities saw pay increases of:

  • Vancouver = $189,000
  • Toronto = $297,000
  • Montreal = $162,000

image002

image004There are shocking disparities in income inequality in America…

David Cay Johnston, a Pulitzer Prize winner writing for Tax Analysts says that between 1966 and 2011, average inflation-adjusted income of the bottom 90 percent of US workers grew by just $59 while the income of the top 10 percent of workers grew by $116,071 – an astonishing, and frightening, 1,967 times the bottom 90 percent income growth rate.

The top one percent have enjoyed 81 percent of all the increased income since 2009.

The truly astonishing fact here is that it takes only $110k a year to be a top 10 percent earner in the U.S.! Getting into the top one percent is a stretch being over three times higher at $366k while joining the exclusive top .01 percent takes a whopping $8 million yearly income. In Canada, to join the top one percent club of 255,000 taxpayers, your income would have to have exceeded $200k. The threshold for the 25,475 Canadians that make up the top 0.1 percent was $685,000.00 of income.

Why such growth in income inequality?

Most would tell you, are telling you, it’s because…

Stocks and bonds are going up while the housing market remains flat. The top 10 percent have most of their wealth concentrated in stocks etc., less affluent households have their wealth in the value of their home – housing prices remain well below their 2006 peak while U.S. stock indices have all recently hit records.

Some will say falling top marginal tax rates in Canada explain part of the wealth disparity and income rise for the richest one per cent in that country.

A few will point out that the increase in inequality, in both countries, can also be attributed toinstitutional forces:

  • Declines in unionization rates
  • Stagnating minimum wage rates
  • Deregulation
  • National policies that favor the wealthy

 

All the reasons above show why the bottom 90 percent are getting poorer or at best have stagnating incomes but at best they explain only partially why the income gap is widening.

Consider what Stephen McNamee and Robert Miller, authors of The Meritocracy Myth have to say:

  • 20% of American households receive 50% of all available income  
  • The lowest 20% of households receive less than 4%
  • The top 5% of households receive 22% of all available income
  • The richest 1% of households account for 30% of all available net worth
  • Economic inequality in the U.S. is the highest among all industrial countries

The Wall Street Journal reported the top .01 percent (14,000 American families) hold 22.2 percent of wealth, and the bottom 90 percent (133 million families), just 4 percent of the nation’s wealth.

In 1980 the richest one percent of America took home 1 of every 15 income dollars. Now they take home 3 of every 15 income dollars. Over the last 30 odd years the share going to the richest 0.01 per cent quadrupled, from one percent to almost five percent.

Why are the rich getting so much richer? It’s obviously more of a long term trend then something that just recently started to happen, what’s going on?

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Executive Compensation: A New View from a Long-Term Perspective, 1936–2005

Carola Frydman, M.I.T. Sloan School of Management and NBER, Raven E. Saks Federal Reserve Board of Governors

 

Lavish Compensation

The super affluent have historically relied mostly on unearned income from financial assets, stocks and bonds etc., but for the last three decades that income has slowly taken a backseat to the compensation they are paid.

Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives researcher Armine Yalnizyan found

“the income of the richest 1 per cent is due mostly to the lavish sums they are paid for the work they do.”

Paul Krugman, winner of the 2008 Nobel Prize in Economics says asset ownership by the super-rich “Is no longer the main source of elite status. These days even multimillionaires get most of their income in the form of paid compensation for their labor…Needless to say we’re not talking about wage slaves toiling for an hourly rate. If the quintessential high-income American circa 1905was an industrial baron who owned factories, his counterpart a hundred years later is a top executive, lavishly rewarded for his labors with bonuses and stock options. Even at the very top, the highest 0.01 percent of the population—the richest one in ten thousand—almost half of income comes in the form of compensation.”

USA Today’s 2012 CEO’s Compensation analysis focused on 170 S&P 500 companies that filed proxies since Jan. 1, 2013, and were processed by March 22.

The median amount CEOs took home in 2012, including cash bonuses and stock and options awarded in previous years that vested or were cashed in, was $10.2 million.

Pay and total compensation numbers listed in USA Today’s report are incredible, here’s just four of the many:

Miles White, Abbott Labs, $19 million

David Pyott, Allergan, $19.4 million

Kenneth Chenault, American Express, $28 million

Randall Stephenson, AT&T, $21 million

image008

Conclusion

It would seem the rich, in both Canada and the U.S., are getting richer while everyone else is getting poorer.

“Only twice before over the last century has 5 percent of the national income gone to families in the upper one-one-hundredth of a percent of the income distribution…Such concentration at the very top occurred in 1915 and 1916, as the Gilded Age was ending, and again briefly in the late 1920s, before the stock market crash…The great fortunes today are largely a result of the long bull market in stocks, Mr. Volcker said. Without rising stock prices, stock options would not have become a major source of riches for financiers and chief executives. Stock prices rise for a lot of reasons, Mr. Volcker said, including ones that have nothing to do with the actions of these people. The market did not go up because businessmen got so much smarter.” Louis Uchitelle, The Richest of the Rich, Proud of a New Gilded Age

The truth of, and the consequences from, such lopsided income inequality and wealth disparity should be on all our radar screens. Is it on yours?

If not, it should be.

Richard (Rick) Mills

rick@aheadoftheherd.com

www.aheadoftheherd.com

Richard is the owner of Aheadoftheherd.com and invests in the junior resource/bio-tech sectors. His articles have been published on over 400 websites, including:

WallStreetJournal, USAToday, NationalPost, Lewrockwell, MontrealGazette, VancouverSun, CBSnews, HuffingtonPost, Londonthenews, Wealthwire, CalgaryHerald, Forbes, Dallasnews, SGTreport, Vantagewire, Indiatimes, ninemsn, ibtimes, businessweek.com and the Association of Mining Analysts.

If you’re interested in learning more about the junior resource and bio-med sectors, and quality individual company’s within these sectors, please come and visit us atwww.aheadoftheherd.com

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Legal Notice / Disclaimer

This document is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for any investment.

Richard Mills has based this document on information obtained from sources he believes to be reliable but which has not been independently verified.

Richard Mills makes no guarantee, representation or warranty and accepts no responsibility or liability as to its accuracy or completeness. Expressions of opinion are those of Richard Mills only and are subject to change without notice. Richard Mills assumes no warranty, liability or guarantee for the current relevance, correctness or completeness of any information provided within this Report and will not be held liable for the consequence of reliance upon any opinion or statement contained herein or any omission.

Furthermore, I, Richard Mills, assume no liability for any direct or indirect loss or damage or, in particular, for lost profit, which you may incur as a result of the use and existence of the information provided within this Report.