Currency

Jim Rogers: Be Prepared & Prosper

Posted by Jim Rogers

on Monday, 29 July 2013 21:29

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Move to the Farm Belt and become a Lamborghini dealer

If you don’t want to become a farmer, move to the Farm Belt and become a Lamborghini dealer.

A global shortage of farmers could become a serious problem. Most farmers in the U.S., Japan and elsewhere are in their sixties or older and young people aren’t entering the business. More Americans are graduating with degrees in public relations than in agriculture, a field that generated fewer than 10,000 college graduates last year. — in FA MAG

 

You can play this game for a while……….but eventually the currency collapses cause the markets have more money than the central banks do.

– Jim Rogers answering the question “how much of the sovereign debt can the ECB own, if others don’t want to buy it ?”

 

U.S. Stocks: The Bull Market Is Getting Close To The End

 

Jim Rogers : “I’ve never seen a bull market in any asset class that goes on forever. There may be one, but I’ve never heard of it. Enjoy it, but be prepared. I do know it will end, but not when. We’re getting close to the end. The day that happens won’t be a pretty one. When it ends it will be a big mess. he continued. This will be worse than 2001 and 2008-2009.” — in Financial Advisor Magazine

  

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Jim Rogers started trading the stock market with $600 in 1968.In 1973 he formed the Quantum Fund with the legendary investor George Soros before retiring, a multi millionaire at the age of 37. Rogers and Soros helped steer the fund to a miraculous 4,200% return over the 10 year span of the fund while the S&P 500 returned just 47%. 

Ahead of a week full of data and central banks, it is likely unsurprising that volumes were dismal and protection/hedging was sought. Once again we saw dips bought with a rush to get markets green (after the collapse in Asia overnight weighed very modestly on Europe and US markets) but once a few people realized the impact of the Treasury’s latest refunding data (must read) stocks did sell off into the close.

 …..read more HERE

Some analysts are predicting what could be a breakout week for the yellow metal with the Federal Reserve’s policy setting committee, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) commencing their two day meeting in Washington Tuesday. Minutes from the meeting will be released on Wednesday, and quite often they create a bit of volatility in the precious metals market.  

Click here to read more.

In the article linked above, economist Nouriel Roubini, who is known for calling the U.S. subprime mortgage crises, is quoted for forecasting lower gold prices over the medium term. His most recent call is for gold to correct to $1000 USD per ounce by 2015.

Here is another one of Nouriel Roubini’s gold forecasts from back in 2009.

A Fresh Look at the Precious Metals Complex

Posted by Rambus

on Monday, 29 July 2013 19:29

In this Weekend Report lets take an unbiased look at the HUI, gold and silver to see if there are any big changes taking place to upset the apple cart so to speak. Emotions can turn on a dime in the markets, as you are all well aware of, from bearish to bullish or the other way around in a heart beat. That’s what the markets thrive on. Being open to change and not being married to a position is critical to survival when you put your hard earned capital to work in the markets.

Lets start by looking at a daily linear chart for the HUI that shows the decline that started back in September of last year that formed the right shoulder of the massive H&S top pattern that most staunch gold bugs still can’t see. There are three chart patterns I’m going to show you that formed off the right shoulder high to the current low at 205. First I want you to look at the two blue bearish expanding falling wedges labeled #1 and #2. Those two patterns are almost exactly the same in time and height. For those that want to see what I mean just set your chart to linear scale and go back a little over a year. Draw in the top blue expanding falling wedge, as you see on the chart below, and grab your top rail and pull it on top of where the lower blue wedge is forming. Then do the same thing with the bottom rail of blue wedge #1 and take it down to bottom of blue wedge #2. I’ve added two thin black rectangles that shows your how closely they are to each other in time and height, labeled one through four. There is a lot of information on this chart so I’ll post it right here so you can see how similar these two patterns actually are. Then I will post this same chart with some more information that is relevant to our most recent low.

1

 

…..read much more HERE

Key Seasonal Periods

Posted by EquityClock

on Monday, 29 July 2013 18:41

Seasonality refers to particular time frames when stocks/sectors/indices are subjected to and influenced by recurring tendencies that produce patterns that are apparent in the investment valuation.   Tendencies can range from weather events (temperature in winter vs. summer, probability of inclement conditions, etc.) to calendar events (quarterly reporting expectations, announcements, etc.).   The key is that the tendency is recurring and provides a sustainable probability of performing in a manner consistent to previous results.

Identified below are the periods of seasonal strength for each market segment, as identified by Brooke Thackray.   Each bar will indicate a buy and sell date based upon the optimal holding period for each market sector/index.

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A seasonality study preferably uses at least 10 years of data. Most of our studies use 10-20 years of data, however, data may not always be available for periods greater than 10 years in length.   Studies using less than ten years of data can be used, but they tend to be less reliable. Results of shorter term studies have a higher chance of being skewed by a single data point.

 

About Equity Clock

Equity Clock is a division of the Tech Talk Financial Network, a market analysis company that provides technical, fundamental and seasonality analysis on a daily basis via TimingTheMarkets.com andEquityClock.com.   Equity Clock’s mission is to identify periods of reoccurring strength among individual equities in the market using methodologies presented by some of the top analysts in the industry, including that of Don Vialoux, author of TimingTheMarkets.com.

Feel free to use any of the content or seasonality studies (charts, timelines, or otherwise) presented as long as a link-back to this site at EquityClock.com is provided.

For further information on indicators used in reports presented on this site, please visit our reference page.

Horizons AlphaPro Seasonal Rotation ETF (HAC)

Interested in the methodologies and strategies presented by Tech Talk? The Horizons AlphaPro Seasonal Rotation ETF (trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange under symbol HAC) uses a proprietary, seasonal rotation investment strategy developed by research analysts Don Vialoux and Brooke Thackray. The strategy’s core position consists of broad markets at seasonally favourable times of the year and money market securities at seasonally unfavourable times of the year. The strategy allocates from the core portfolio to various sectors when those sectors offer favourable opportunities. Rotating a portfolio in anticipation of these opportunities is designed to deliver returns that are superior to a static investment in broad markets. As seasonal periods are never the same, this investment strategy is supported by additional fundamental and technical analysis.

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