Bonds & Interest Rates

A Zombie Story From Motor City

UnknownAs you know, Detroit was recently flattened. 

Now, it’s being scrapped… 

It’s the largest municipal bankruptcy in US history. Detroit was once one of the richest… and most dynamic… cities in the world. And it was the center of the United States’ most profitable industry: automobiles.

German and Japanese automakers had the good fortune of being bombed in World War II. But Detroit grew bigger… more prosperous… and full of zombies.

Yes, dear reader, Detroit is another classic zombie story. Since 1971, almost all big stories have a zombie angle. Because the credit-based monetary system Richard Nixon put us in is a perfect habitat for zombies. The New York Times had the story:

Detroit, the cradle of America’s automobile industry and once the nation’s fourth-most-populous city, filed for bankruptcy on Thursday, the largest American city ever to take such a course. 

Not everyone agrees how much Detroit owes, but Kevyn D. Orr, the emergency manager, has said the debt is likely to be $18 billion and perhaps as much as $20 billion. 

For Detroit, the filing came as a painful reminder of a city’s rise and fall. 

“It’s sad, but you could see the writing on the wall,” said Terence Tyson, a city worker who learned of the bankruptcy as he left his job at Detroit’s municipal building on Thursday evening. Like many there, he seemed to react with muted resignation and uncertainty about what lies ahead, but not surprise. “This has been coming for ages.” 

Detroit expanded at a stunning rate in the first half of the 20th century with the arrival of the automobile industry, and then shrank away in recent decades at a similarly remarkable pace. A city of 1.8 million in 1950, it is now home to 700,000 people, as well as to tens of thousands of abandoned buildings, vacant lots and unlit streets.

Beware of Zombies

Yes, the handwriting has been on the wall for a long time. But what did it say?

We’ll answer that without hesitation. It said: “Beware of Zombies.”

And here we offer a simple test so dear readers can tell which side they’re on. 

Ask yourself: In the absence of government would people still willingly give you money to do what you do? If the answer is no, then you are probably a zombie.

Here’s how it works… 

When people realize they can use the police power of the government to get other peoples’ money, they rarely hesitate. In the case of Motor City, unionized workers found that they could use government to back their demands. Gradually, wages and benefits rose…

After World War II, Germany and Japan built new auto industries, with factory workers who were willing and able to turn out better cars at lower prices. 

Detroit, by contrast, let its machinery get old… and its workers get soft. Due to poor quality, out-of-date styles and high costs, the US auto businesses could barely make a go of it.

Light manufacturing was fleeing the country – to China, Southeast Asia and Mexico. 

The heavy industry – car making, steel, mining – was a sitting duck. It couldn’t protect itself from zombies. The zombies soon got control over the government…. and then preyed upon fixed industries.

The Jig Is Up

Only four years ago, the US federal government bailed out GM. Or rather, it bailed out its zombified labor unions – guaranteeing wages and benefits the company couldn’t afford to give. 

What was happening in the motor business in general was happening even faster in Motor City. 

As Detroit zombified, productive businesses and taxpayers moved out. Zombies were all that was left. People on welfare. People working for the government. People who were disabled. Crooks, malingerers, shysters – they were all there, getting money for nothing in the age-old zombie fashion.

Was there no way to turn Detroit around? 

Of course there was. It was obvious how to do it. But who wanted to do it? 

The more dysfunctional the city became, the more money the city’s sleaze-ball leaders got from the federal government. That’s how zombieism works: The worse things get, the better they are for the zombies…

Zombieism is like drug addiction. You rarely just “give it up.” Instead, you have to go all the way… and hit rock bottom. 

Detroit may be hitting rock bottom now.

And how long will it be before Baltimore and Chicago go broke too? 

It depends on how fast interest rates rise. The higher they go, the harder it is for these cities to keep up with their promises to the zombies. And since interest rates are probably embarking on a long-term secular rise… it is just a matter of time before they all go broke.

That is when the jig is up. Zombies fall. The credit-based money system collapses. 

…Gold rises.

Regards,

Bill

The U.S. surges past Russia in the global energy race.

According to the Energy Information Administration, the United States will produce almost 10 percent more than the second-largest producer, Russia, and double the third-largest producer, Saudi Arabia. – chart HERE

 

 

 

 

Wall Street’s Brightest Minds Reveal THE MOST IMPORTANT CHARTS IN THE WORLD

Here they are: the most important charts in the world.

We asked our favorite portfolio managers, strategists, analysts, and economists across the Street for the charts that they deem the most important right now, and this is what they sent us.

A lot of the focus is on the stock market, as many consider it to be at a critical juncture. The withdrawal of Federal Reserve stimulus and attendant normalization of interest rates is also a hot topic — as is the bloodbath in emerging markets — while many are coming around to the notion that the American economy just can’t grow like it used to anymore.

But there are a lot of other things going on as well. 

Click Chart to see a larger view

Ed Note: This is #4 of 103 Great Charts and you can access the first one HERE

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Ed Note: This above chart is #4 of 103 Great Charts and you can access the first one HERE

The Most Serious Social Issue Today

Michael Mike Campbell image Michael has some advice for young people, and some criticism for the institutions they are attracted to.  

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Scientific Breakthrough: In Nuclear Fusion

imagesNuclear fusion is rather different from nuclear fission. Fission, is the reaction currently used in nuclear power plants, and produces dangerously radioactive elements; fusion is the currently being researched by various laboratories around the world, and produces no radioactive waste and far more energy.

For years nuclear fusion has eluded scientists, yet very recently the researchers at the National Ignition Facility (NIF) in the US have managed to pass a milestone that brings fully sustainable nuclear fusion closer realisation.

The NIF, at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in California, uses 192 beams of the world’s most powerful lasers to deliver a pulse of energy 1000 times the capacity of the entire generating capacity of all power plants in the US combined. The pulse hits a tiny capsule of hydrogen which is then instantly compressed and heated up, creating a small nuclear fusion reaction.

The BBC reports that in September the amount of energy released from the fusion reaction at the NIF was recorded as higher than the energy that was absorbed by the hydrogen fuel pellet. The first time that this has been achieved anywhere in the world.

….read more HERE