Daily Updates

Is a bank run about to bring Europe to its knees?

Some market watchers say yes, pointing ominously to the torrents of money pouring out of Ireland. Irish bank deposits declined in November for the fourth straight month, the central bank said last week. Overseas deposits fled the country at their fastest pace in more than a year.

The deposit flight compounds the stress on a financial system whose massive property-lending losses already have driven the government to accept an unpopular bailout from the European Union and the International Monetary Fund.

Worse yet, it shows that the solutions policymakers slapped together in the fall of 2008 helped in some cases to create even bigger problems — ones that are now coming due.

Unconditionally guaranteeing bank deposits is just such a policy, in a country where loan losses made the banks insolvent, job loss left many taxpayers peniless and deposits now at least double annual economic output.

And this time, given the unpopularity of bailouts and dysfunctional European politics, there is ample reason to fear the banking mess won’t so easily be swept aside.

…..read more HERE

In this issue

• While you were sleeping: equity markets remain firm across the board, U.S. dollar slipping, overseas data has been sparse and mixed

• Oh, Canada! The market clearly favours the country with the more sound national balance sheet and more solid long-term economic prospects

• Markets lining up behind Bernanke? Look for what happened in the past four months to have been nothing more than a bad case of misplaced optimism

• ISM – the good and the not-so-good: the headline numbers seem impressive but still below the peak posted last April

• A December to remember: half of the gains in the S&P 500 for 2010 can be attributed to the run-up in December

• Getting a grip: the U.S. economy has its share of structural problems that will come home to roost at some point

• Signs of exuberance abound

• What was the real surprise of the year? That we would close 2010 with the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note anywhere near 3.3%.

• Is the sun rising in Japan?

As big as the Yukon Gold Rush was in 2010, I think it can be even better in 2011. Why? After over two decades playing (and sometimes getting killed by) the junior resource sector, it feels like a near “perfect-storm” has come together for this play. Rising metal prices, increasing interest in resource stocks and actual decent results all have come together for this seasonal play. While renewed exploration won’t start for a few more months, I believe any correction is already behind many of the key area players. I suspect the shares can move long before the first drill bit hits the ground.

Fascinating and scary….now you guys know why I don’t believe in buying love, I mean diamonds. Wink. – Miguel Barbosa

Introduction (Via Jay Epstein @ Atlantic) The diamond invention—the creation of the idea that diamonds are rare and valuable, and are essential signs of esteem—is a relatively recent development in the history of the diamond trade. Until the late nineteenth century, diamonds were found only in a few riverbeds in India and in the jungles of Brazil, and the entire world production of gem diamonds amounted to a few pounds a year. In 1870, however……

What Happens Next….

Richard Russell has made his subscribers fortunes. One of the best values anywhere in the financial world at only a $300 subscription to get his DAILY report for a year. HERE to subscribe. Amongst his achievements Richard was in cash before the 2008/2009 Crash and he has been Bullish Gold since below $300.


Ah, a new decade, so let’s start by seeing what we’ve got, generational.

First we have the so-called greatest generation, those born prior to 1928 (of which your editor is one). These poor devils lived through the Great Depression and fought in World War II.

Then we have the “silent generation,” born 1928 to 1945. Not a heck of a lot happened with the “silent ones.”

Next came the Baby Boomers, born 1946 to 1954. The Baby Boomers felt pretty good about themselves, and as a result they were good at making lots of babies. They lived through the Cold War, Vietnam and had lots of money. Actually, they were “spoiled” by money and debt. This was a huge generation, and by 1970 they constituted half of all Americans by population.

Then came Generation X, born 1965 to 1980. This was the first generation born after the “pill,” so there was lots of sex and fewer babies.

Bringing it to the present, we now have Generation Y, born between 1981 and 1999.

Generation Y is a smaller bunch than the boomers, and their numbers account for a fourth of the US population. The YOs are computer-minded and they live on their IPhones.

Problem, the smaller Generation X and Y will have a real job supporting their elders and dealing with the debts the preceding generations left for them. As Founding Father Benjamin Franklin said, “We give you a republic — if you can keep it.”

If we only knew what the stock market knows. If we could only “read” the message that the stock market gives us.

Today, on the third day of January, we see the stock market appearing, according to most of the experts, to be heading due north.

Just to make sure, let’s check it out on a point&figure chart of the S&P 500 Composite. Here we see the S&P on a “high pole” and looking quite impressive. The market is overbought, and volume has dropped off dramatically over recent weeks, so we may be over-due for a correction. What happens during the next correction will be critically important. If the S&P retains half or better of its high pole, that will qualify as bullish action. That means that the Composite will have to hold at 116 or better. Sinking below 116 would be bearish. We’ll await the verdict of the market on this one.

sp500

Ed Note: Richard Russell is still bullish Gold as he has been since the bottom at $250-$260.

Richard Russell has made his subscribers fortunes. One of the best values anywhere in the financial world at only a $300 subscription to get his DAILY report for a year. HERE to subscribe. Amongst his achievements Richard was in cash before the 2008/2009 Crash and he has been Bullish Gold since below $300.


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