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This Day In Market History: Surgeon General First Warns Of Smoking Hazard

What Happened: On this day in 1964, the U.S. government issued its first health warning against cigarettes.

Where Was The Market: The S&P 500 traded around 76.45, and the Dow traded near 766.08.

What Else Was Going On In The World: A pack of cigarettes costs about $1.60, or 1.4 hours of labor for minimum wage ($1.15) workers.

The First Onslaught: The Surgeon General of the U.S. Public Health Service published the first of many advisories on the potential hazards of smoking. A scientific literature review revealed causality between cigarettes and chronic bronchitis, lung and laryngeal cancer in men, and lung cancer in women.

The report sparked yet-ongoing government intervention in the American tobacco industry. Over the course of the next few years, Congress adopted the Federal Cigarette Labeling and Advertising Act of 1965 and the Public Health Cigarette Smoking Act of 1969 to regulate the tobacco industry’s promotional strategies…CLICK for complete article

Protecting the environment was easier when we were richer. Providing opportunities to marginalized people was easier when there were more jobs. Holding our politicians and officials accountable was easier when they did less ruling by decree.

~ William Robson, CEO, CD Howe Institute

The Billion-Dollar New York City Exodus

During the Spanish flu of the early 20th century, people were fleeing big cities trying to escape the virus, just as the wealthy of London did during the 16th-century plague … and just the wealthy of New York City in 2020’s COVID-19 pandemic.  They fled the city and headed to the suburbs, or even more rural areas, with New York Governor Andrew Cuomo warning about the city’s density when it first went into lockdown in March. “There is a density level in NYC that is destructive. It has to stop and it has to stop now. NYC must develop an immediate plan to reduce density,” Cuomo Tweeted.

Similar to many end-of-the-world movies, the pandemic has caused a large number of urban residents to move out of the cities to rural areas or the suburbs…CLICK for complete article

Will “Santa Claus” Visit “Broad & Wall”

As we start moving into the last two weeks of the trading year, investors everywhere are hopeful that “Santa Claus” will visit “Broad & Wall.” 

The actual Wall Street saying is that “If Santa Claus should fail to call, bears may come to Broad & Wall.” The Santa Claus Rally, also known as the December effect, is a term for more frequent than average stock market gains as the year winds down. However, as is always the case with data, average returns are sometimes different than reality.

Stock Trader’s Almanac explored why end-of-year trading has a directional tendency. The Santa Claus indicator is pretty simple. It looks at market performance over a seven day trading period – the last five trading days of the current trading year and the first two trading days of the New Year. The stats are compelling.

As I said, while it is a very high probability that stock prices will climb, there is a not-so-insignificant 24% chance they won’t. Such is why we want to analyze the technical backdrop to minimize the risk of “getting a lump of coal.”

However, let’s first analyze the “Santa Claus Rally.” CLICK for complete article

Ikea catalogue
 
1951 – 285 copies
2016 – 2.3 million copies
2021 – 0 (print catalogue cancelled)

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