Timing & trends

The gold situation is something that has got everyone rather keen and this is how it has been for quite some time. If you’re to take a closer look at the current scenario, then you’ll realize that gold isn’t really glittering as much as it did last week. This precious metal is known to hog the limelight and that too for obvious reasons. Even a week ago, gold actually rallied sharply in the wake of the decision by the Federal Reserve policy-makers who wish to maintain the stimulus program in an intact form and it has actually helped support the economy for the whole of last year.

However, the gains were short lived as far as Tuesday morning is concerned. Gold trading stood at just above 1,315 dollars an ounce which is down from the recent high of 1,375.30 dollars an ounce. This is obviously a major dent and yes it hurts investors.

Actually the gold market and its volatility serves as a constant reminder of how odd an asset gold is. It’s a known fact that gold is one of those things that people have turned to since the beginning of time itself. Undoubtedly there are numerous advantages when it comes to gold. It’s not just so very portable due to the fact that it’s lightweight, but also the fact that it never spoils over time. The best part supposedly is the fact that you won’t even see it getting tarnished.

No matter what, it still remains a fact this 2013 that gold is absolutely unlike any other commodity in which people can go ahead and invest. Actually gold is a pretty tricky thing to analyze in terms of wealth. This is because of the simple fact that gold doesn’t serve any so-called “fundamental” purpose. Now it’s true that gold is used to craft jewelry items, but fact remains that it’s not a fundamental one for jewelry is simply a decorative form of gold coins and bars. The purpose served by jewelry is also the same – that of preserving wealth.

All of this put together makes gold rather tricky to analyze in terms of an investment deal. There are quite a few noted investors who’re of the opinion that gold isn’t even an investment like stocks and bonds for that matter. Now then it all boils down to one simple question that why should you own gold at all? More than this being a fact, it has become an emotion of sorts. In fact, even with time having reached the 2013 year, the gold investmentbit is still associated with the emotional connect and how exactly one feels about this entire thing.

Now, one of the major reasons that investors took to gold so ardently last week was essentially because of the fact that most were of the view that the US dollar was likely to weaken against other major currencies provided the interest remained low. Inflation is definitely another factor that fuelled the demand for gold.

Lorena is a professional writer. She has been associated with some leading related websites as an author. To know more about this page please visit

Tech Talk for Monday

U.S. equity index futures were higher this morning. S&P 500 futures were up 3 points in pre-opening trade. Index futures are responding to a 2.86% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index following greater release of China’s economic reforms.

Boeing added $3.87 to $139.95 after announcing aircraft sales at the Dubai airshow valued at over $100 billion.

Fertilizer stocks moved higher on news that a Russian billionaire has acquired a 21.75% interest in Uralkali. Uralkali previously triggered selling pressure on fertilizer stocks when the company said that it would discontinue an agreement to jointly market fertilizer with a Belaruskali. The change in ownership raises the possibility that a joint agreement to effectively control fertilizer prices will resume. Potash Corp added $0.60 to $33.00.

Goldcorp (GG $24.34) is expected to open higher after Citigroup upgraded the stock from Neutral to Buy. Target is $28.00.

Microsoft fell $0.61 to $37.23 after Bank of America/Merrill downgraded the stock from Neutral to Under Perform. Target is $30.

Nucor (NUE $53.61) is expected to open lower after Citigroup downgraded the stock from Buy to Neutral. Target is $55.

Baxter International (BAX $68.13) is expected to open higher after Credit Suisse upgraded the stock from Neutral to Outperform. Target was raised from $73 to $80.

Economic News This Week

October Retail Sales to be released at 8:30 AM EST on Wednesday are expected to increase 0.1% versus a decline of 0.1% in September. Excluding auto sales, October Retail Sales are expected to increase 0.1% versus a gain of 0.4% in September.

October Consumer Prices to be released at 8:30 AM EST on Wednesday are expected to be unchanged versus a gain of 0.2% in September. Excluding food and energy, October Consumer Prices are expected to increase 0.1% versus a gain of 0.1% in September.

October Existing Home Sales to be released at 10:00 AM EST on Wednesday are expected to slip to 5.16 million units from 5.29 million units in September.

September Business Inventories to be released at 10:00 AM EST on Wednesday are expected to increase 0.3% versus a gain of 0.3% in August.

FOMC Meeting Minutes are to be released at 2:00 PM EST on Wednesday.

Weekly Initial Jobless Claims to be released at 8:30 AM EST on Thursday are expected to slip to 335,000 from 339,000 last week.

October Producer Prices to be released at 8:30 AM EST on Thursday are expected to decline 0.2% versus a drop of 0.1% in September. Excluding food and energy, October Producer Prices are expected to increase 0.1% versus a gain of 0.1% in September.

The November Philadelphia Fed Index to be released at 10:00 AM EST on Thursday is expected to fall to 11.9 from 19.8 in October

Canada’s October Consumer Prices to be released at 8:30 AM EST on Friday are expected to remain unchanged versus a gain of 0.2% in September.

September Retail Sales to be released at 8:30 AM EST on Friday are expected to increase 0.5% versus a gain of 0.2% in August

 

The Bottom Line

Economic sensitive sectors with strong positive seasonality traits (e.g. Industrials, Consumer Discretionary, Technology and most recently Materials) are leading equity markets on the upside. Preferred strategy is to accumulate equity markets and sectors with favourable seasonality on weakness in order to take advantage of the October 28th to May 5th period of strength.

 

Equity Trends

The S&P 500 Index gained 27.57 points (1.56%) last week. Trend remains up. The Index closed at an all-time high. The Index remains above its 20 day moving average. Short term momentum indicators have returned to overbought levels.

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The TSX Composite Index added 104.24 points (0.78%) last week.

Upward trend was confirmed on Friday on a move above 13,471.06 (Score: 1.0). The Index remains above its 20 day moving average (Score: 1.0). Strength relative to the S&P 500 Index changed from neutral to negative (Score: 0.0). Technical score based on the above indicators slipped to 2.0 from 2.5 out of 3.0. Short term momentum indicators have returned to overbought levels.

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….View 43 more charts HERE

3D Revolution: The Future Is Now, Cash In

Screen Shot 2013-11-17 at 7.03.53 AM“Human tissues, metal guns, prosthetic limbs, tools, household articles, clothes, among thousands of other products. The major players include 3D Systems , voxeljet AG (VJET), Stratasys (SSYS), ExOne (XONE), ARCAM AB (OTC:AMAVF) and Organovo Holdings (ONVO), with Hewlett Packard (HPQ) and 3M (MMM) also preparing to enter the market.”

3D Revolution: The Future Is Now, Cash In

There was a time when every Star-Trek fan pined for the on-ship replicators that had the capability to produce anything ranging from food to hardware, and today we are close to that fantasy turning to a reality in the form of 3D Printing. This industry, touted as the next big revolution, has piqued the interest of technology lovers and investors alike. It has been heavily discussed in blogs, news and the like for its ability to grow and sustain the promise it has. There are those who believe that this is the future. On the contrary, there are those who believe that this is all a hype and gimmick and will die down as fast as it spread. I, for one, don’t believe that this is just hype; there is indeed a bright future in the industry, and it is already proving that by integrating itself into mainstream manufacturing.

The Industry

3D printing uses a 3D printer and digital technology to print anything digitally modeled. The process also known as additive manufacturing uses successive layering of materials to form any shape wanted. The first working printer was created in 1984 by the founder of 3D Systems Corporation (DDD), Chuck Hull. However, the sales of these printers have picked up heavily in the 21st century and have become more widespread. The materials used in printing include polymers, powders, metals and alloys, resins, ceramics, sand, living tissues, and others. Metal-based printing has the potential to revolutionize the market.

The industry consists of many private and publicly traded companies investing their efforts in taking this revolution to the next step. Some of the major players include 3D Systems , voxeljet AG (VJET), Stratasys (SSYS), ExOne (XONE), ARCAM AB (OTC:AMAVF) and Organovo Holdings (ONVO), with Hewlett Packard (HPQ) and 3M (MMM) also preparing to enter the market.

The 3D printers presently are highly priced, owing to the patents preventing competition in the industry. These patents related to laser sintering expire in February 2014, which will open the avenue for manufacturing low-priced 3D printers. This expiration is being viewed as a major game-changer in the 3D printing industry.

According to Wohler’s Report 2013, the worldwide market of 3D printing and services expanded from $1.3 billion in 2010 to $2.2 billion in 2012. The industry average annual growth [CAGR] over the past 25 years is a striking 25.4%, with a 27.4 percent for the years 2010 through 2012. Additionally, the low cost personal 3D printers market averaged almost 346%, from 2008 to 2011. The main buyers included do-it-yourselfers, engineering students, hobbyists, and educational institutions.

Application

3D printing has found its application in aerospace, automotive, healthcare, biotechnology, fashion, education, media, engineering, industrial design, defense, consumer, and defense among other uses. Products that have been manufactured or produced using 3D printing include human tissues, metal guns, prosthetic limbs, tools, household articles, clothes, among thousands of other products.

In the aerospace area, NASA plans to launch a 3D printer into space next year, which will allow the astronauts to print the tools instead of carrying the load from here. Rolls Royce also plans to manufacture parts of its engines using 3D printing, as it is much faster and easier to use. Similarly, GE Aviation also plans to use 3D printing for its jet engines.

Other major companies that have turned towards 3D printing include Audi, Siemens (SI), BMW, Staples (SPLS), UPS (UPS), Microsoft Stores (MSFT), ASDA, Victoria’s Secret, L’Oreal and Porsche, to name a few.

Major Players

Organovo Holdings is a biotechnology company focusing on 3D bioprinting technology to create functional human tissues for medical and research applications. The products of the company aim at reducing the expenditure on clinical trials for drug testing. It will be launching its 3D human tissue liver for toxicity testing next year. The company has the right collaborations, and at the moment, has no major competitor. The share price, as on November 14, was $11.90, with a market capitalization of $919.61 million.

voxeljet AG , a German company, provides 3D printers and on-demand parts services, in the areas of automotive, aerospace, engineering, architecture, science and medical, film and entertainment and art. The company went public last month, with an opening price of $20 and is now trading at $52.40, as of November 14, 2013. The company turned to profitability with the recent earnings announcement for the third quarter and reported an increase in its product sales, with a market capitalization of $817.44 million, as of November 14. The company has celebrated customers that include Ford (F), BMW, Porsche, 3M, Daimler, among others. They also created the Aston Martin DB5 plastic double for the James Bond movie Skyfall.

3D Systems, a 3D printing giant, develops, produces and markets 3D printers, materials, customer services and authoring solutions for consumers and professionals. It operates primarily in the automotive, computer, electronic, aerospace, energy, consumer, education, defense, and healthcare products. The company primarily operates in the U.S., Europe, and Asia Pacific. The company has a trading price of $78.90 as of November 14 with a market capitalization of $8.1 billion.

Stratasys Inc. is a worldwide leader in the manufacturing of 3D printers and high performance rapid prototyping [RP] systems for direct digital manufacturing [DDM] and office-based RP systems. It offers solutions in the apparel, aerospace, automotive, architecture, business machine products, dental, defense, electronics, consumer, educational institutions, jewelry, heavy equipment, toys and medical industries. The company is trading at $124.10 as on November 14, with a market capitalization of $6.04 billion.

Future

3D printing is without a doubt an exponentially lucrative industry and is sure to fill many pockets as it keeps growing. The stock prices of the companies in 3D printing have seen a sharp up rise with substantial gains. It is not only an attractive technology, but also has the potential to cut the costs that go into research and development, manufacturing, extensive labor-force and the like. It allows for customized products for every customer, targeting market niches without incurring major costs.

The 3D printing industry has further been supported by President Obama, as he mentioned in his State of Union Address at the start of the year, that the industry has the potential to revolutionize manufacturing. The industry is no doubt in its infancy, but has garnered a lot of attention, with increased investments and research, which could only help in accelerating the progress. And with the giants such as HP and 3M entering the market, it is heavily anticipated to grow and fast. Additionally, the expiration of patents relating to printing technology will not only witness a surge of printers, but also increased competition.

According to MarketsandMarket research, the 3D printing market from 2013-2020 is expected to grow at CAGR of 23% and reach $8.41 billion. My take on the stocks of the 3D printing companies is that they should be bought in truckloads, as when the industry takes off as expected, there would be a surge in the stock prices, and a gradual rise can already be seen. Of course, the financial conditions and products of the companies must be analyzed before investing. The best options are Organovo, Stratasys, voxeljet, and 3D Systems.

Einsteins Corner: Numbers Targets Predictions & Wild Guesses

  • albert-einstein-quotes-5U.S. stock market gauges racked up a sixth-straight weekly gain. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average again hit record closes today.
  • This week Wal-Mart (WMT) reported third-quarter earnings slightly higher than analysts expected. The stock fell, though, because the company reduced its full-year profit forecast. In other words, Wal-Mart doesn’t expect a great holiday shopping season.
  • Janet Yellen’s testimony signaled to Wall Street the Fed would not close the QE faucet just yet. That means a giant green light for equities.
  • Moody’s downgraded senior debt ratings on four top bank holding companies including Goldman Sachs (GS) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM).
  • 384120 343345309088683 1933205807 nExplaining its decision, Moody’s thinks the regulatory environment now indicates the banks are less-likely to receive government bailouts in a crisis — and leave bondholders with higher risk.
  • Government-sponsored mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac surged after hedge funds disclosed new ownership stakes.
  • Futures exchange operator CME Group (CME) said hackers breached its systems in July and compromised customer information.
  • CME said there is no evidence the hackers influenced trading activity, but did not rule out the possibility.
  • Microsoft is aiming the Xbox One at a broader market. It is primarily a gaming device, but the company is also pitching it as a primary living room device for watching movies, exercising with motion sensors, and video chatting with friends over Skype (which Microsoft owns).

 

 On November 18 at 1:28pm ET, MAVEN will launch on a 10-month flight to Mars to better understand the planet’s atmosphere, climate, liquid water, and planetary habitability. In other words: could live on Mars exist in the future — and was there any life that existed on the planet in the past.

The Mars Atmosphere and Volatile EvolutioN (MAVEN) mission is part of NASA’s Mars Scout program.