Stocks & Equities

Stocks tumbled again Monday, with tech companies getting hit particularly hard.
The Dow Jones industrial average and the S&P 500 were lower at midday. Strong earnings from Dow component Caterpillar (CAT, Fortune 500) helped to keep the broader market’s losses at a minimum. Shares were up 4% after the construction equipment company easily blew past earnings and sales estimates, and approved a new $10 billion stock buyback program.
But the Nasdaq was down more than 1% andCNNMoney’s Tech 30 index also fell. Shares ofTwitter (TWTR) plunged. Fellow social media companies Facebook (FB, Fortune 500) andLinkedIn (LNKD) also were markedly lower, as was online streaming giant Netflix (NFLX).
The Nasdaq was also dragged lower by biotechnology companies such as Celgene (CELG, Fortune 500)and Alexion Pharmaceuticals (ALXN). The PowerShares QQQ Trust (QQQ), a widely-held exchange-traded fund that tracks the Nasdaq 100, is now down more than 2% for the year. And some are worried that the ETF will fall even further.
“$QQQ is teetering on the edge. We may see a sizable correction begin to unfold,” said StockTwits user OptionsElite.
….read more HERE

The rout in the US share market has many talking heads patting themselves on the back. But this is by no means a major high. The Cash SP500 had finally broken out above the Breakout Channel. It is typical to come back and retest it before advancing. The cash closed at 179029 and the channel top resides at 179012. We have NOT elected any Weekly Bearish Reversals as of yet and our first one lies at 176040. A weekly closing beneath that level should cause a move into the mid-point of the channel in the 16800 zone. We still see the weeks of Feb 10th and 24th as the nearby targets for turning points.
As we have warned, a near-term correction was due with the first opportunity for a low in February. January did just barely exceed the December high intraday, but not on a closing basis on the Dow and SP500, This raises some concern technically. Exceeding the December high even by a fraction intraday warns we do have a serious outside-reversal to the downside potential if the SP500 closes below 176799 at month end 15665.08 on the Dow. This would warn that a sharp drop is likely into February where we could see a retest of the 1680.00 level on the Cash SP500 15365.00 on the Dow.

The same construction of the Breakout Channel on the Dow Jones Industrials gives a different perspective. Here the market has still not broken out. It remains contained within the channel and this illustrates the difference between the HOT MONEY and the BIG MONEY. The Dow is still the leader to watch. Here, the turning point is the next week so caution is required. Again, no Weekly Bearish Reversals have been elected, but a weekly closing BELOW the December low will warn of a technical sell-off ahead.
Read more from Martin: The Emerging Market Crisis
Whether or not last week’s sell-off was a correction or the correction, investors need to keep an eye on technical levels, says Michael O’Rourke, chief strategist at JonesTrading.
“In Friday’s trading, the S&P 500 SPX -0.34% cash broke below both the 50-day moving average and the 1,800 support level. The next notable technical support is 1,775-1,780. With the exception of very minor support at 1,745, there is little support down to the 1,700 level,” he says in The Closing Print.
More than one strategist has said in the past 24 hours that the 1,775 level on the S&P 500 needs to hold or it will open up a whole new phase of selling for markets. – read why in the entire article HERE
Asian stocks declined, with the region’s benchmark index posting its biggest loss since June, as concern that the global economic recovery is faltering spurred investors to sell riskier assets.
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index dropped 2.2 percent to 134.62 at 7:59 p.m. in Tokyo to its lowest level since Sept. 6. The gauge declined for the past four weeks. Japan’s Topix index sank 2.8 percent today. Global stocks tumbled the most since June on Jan. 24 as a selloff in emerging-market currencies prompted investors to seek havens.
“Optimism among global stock investors is waning,” said Tetsuo Seshimo, a Tokyo-based portfolio manager at Saison Asset Management Co., which oversees about $791 million. “Markets are losing momentum after rising a lot toward the end of last year.”
…..more HERE
The media scrambled last week to assign a “reason” as to why the market sold off. For the majority of market commentators, who do very little solid research or analysis, the selloff was due to the emerging market rout and currency swoon. This was not the “cause” but rather the “effect” of a “de-risking” short squeeze in the bond market and currency markets.
I have been writing in this missive for the last several months that emerging markets were not the “nirvana” of the next great market cycle due to the ongoing economic drag that faces these countries. I have also been consistently recommending that investors eliminate all holdings in emerging markets as well. That advice has consistently fallen on deaf ears.
The recent import data tells you all you need to know about the status of emerging market countries that are dependent upon our consumption for their livelihood.
….read the 16 page report HERE


