Stocks & Equities

Marc Faber: 3 reasons why a plunge is coming

If you want to hear a rosy view on the market, you’d better not listen to Marc Faber .

The editor and publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report has long held that a correction was coming—and even though that thesis has not exactly played out this year, he’s standing by it.

“In my view, we’ll go back to the lows in November 2012—around 1,343” in the S&P 500 Faber said. Overall, he considers U.S. equities a “better sell than a buy.”

Here are his three three main reasons for his bearish view.

Reason one: The U.S. will follow emerging markets down

It hasn’t been an easy summer for emerging markets. In the period of a month and a half, the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (which tracks emerging markets’ large- and mid-cap stocks) lost nearly 20 percent of its value and has hardly bounced back from the lows.

That has made the U.S. market an outperformer, but Faber believes it cannot last. In fact, he said, U.S. equities could be hurt by their relative costliness.

“When emerging markets go down and the S&P goes up, the asset allocators say, ‘Do I want to buy the S&P near a high, or do I venture back into emerging economies that are down 50 percent from their highs, like India or Brazil and so forth?’ So you understand that the pool of money can flow back into emerging markets,” Faber said.

imagesReason two: The Middle East will become a “disaster”

The stock market has lately been hurt by the concerns about U.S. military action against Syria. In fact, the market lost half of its gains last Tuesday when House Speaker John Boehner (R.-Ohio) said that he would support President Barack Obama ‘s plan to strike Syria. But Faber believes we haven’t seen anything yet.

“The Middle East is a powder keg, and it will go up in flames because the Western imperialistic powers, they still meddle into the local affairs,” Faber said. “It’s going to be a disaster. And it’s going to strike from Syria and Egypt into Saudi Arabia, into the Emirates eventually, and so forth and so on, and you’re going to have a huge mess.”

Reason three: Interest rates have become a headwind

Before Syria became a concern for the market, the focus was clearly on interest rates. Though Fed easing has kept rates low by historical metrics, “the interest rate has doubled on the 10-year Treasury note” since the July 2012 low, “despite Mr. Bernanke’s maddening asset purchases since September 2012,” Faber said.

So what does that mean for the market?

“Interest rates are no longer a tailwind” but are now “a headwind,” Faber declared, adding that yields will drop even further. In fact, he advocates buying bonds as a safety trade, because he thinks that after the market drops, deflation concerns will come to the fore. 

You can read more market comments at http://www.marcfabernews.com

Gold Basing & A Key World Market In Trouble

On the heels of continued volatility in key global markets, the Godfather of newsletter writers, Richard Russell, covered everything from stocks and bonds, to the gold market.  Russell also included 7 fantastic charts — one of those was a key 14-year chart that showed a major breakdown in one of the most important markets in the world.

Richard Russell: My key indicator is seen below.  Here we see the Dow holding persistently and bullishly above its 200-day moving average.  How long will this constructive situation last?  Ah, if we only knew (I think it will be quite a while).

KWN Russell I 9-5

According to this week’s Barron’s, the majority of leading advisors are bullish on the stock market.  But I don’t operate on the basis of what the majority of analysts believe.  I always put the price action in the market first on my list of what to believe.

And below, we have an interesting situation. 

…..read more HERE

 

 

Good Read: What 30 Years Has Taught Me

Grandich-headshot 7-10-e2-199x300A result like this hasn’t surprised me for years because one man showed me that the stock market is not remotely close to what so many have tried to make us think it is. Heck, not even 1 out 4 so-called money managers can even match or surpass the index they’re matched up again (translation – better to buy an index fund versus any other).

As noted in my book, one man would forever change the way I look at finances. Frank Congilose taught me that 99% of all so-called advisers will fail—not because they’re dishonest but because their approached is badly flawed. And Frank is the only person I ever met among the thousands over 30 years that is both very bright and very honest. In my experience, an especially smart person usually tries to push the envelope (if not go into gray areas), and if they happen to be the minority that is totally honest, they are far from “Rocket Scientists.”

It was about 15 years ago when Frank first ruined my day by basically showing me everything I was told in the first half of my career was doomed to fail. He then proceeded to show me a process that truly offers far less risk, an opportunity for a far better lifestyle and no additional capital in order to achieve goals. That’s the good news.

The downside to this “process” is while it teaches how to make one dollar do the work of two or three, it can’t make a Chevy into a Cadillac. Money doesn’t grow on trees no matter how much Wall Street and Madison Avenue would like you to believe so. Sadly, the multiple effects tend to favor them greatly over you.

It took 30 years and losses of millions of dollars for me to finally truly get it despite already knowing this to be the case; look at any 100 people with wealth and you will discover they mainly acquired it only three ways:

 

  • They inherited it
  • Owned business(es)
  • Bought commercial real estate

 

For the vast majority, the only way the stock market played a major role in acquiring the wealth was they either worked for a publicly held company and were granted stock options at discounted prices and sold them, or they were truly insiders and were already out or getting out when the masses were getting in. In my 30 years I’ve yet to meet anyone who said, “Mom and dad put some money in the market every year and ended up with millions.” Sadly, I’ve come to realize that if you truly want to end up with a million in the market, start with two!

In my 30 years in and around the stock market, I’m extremely disgusted to say it doesn’t come close to resembling what it was when I first entered it 30 years ago—a place to buy and sell part ownerships of businesses. Instead, it has become a notorious casino-like place where not only is the playing field greatly tilted against you, but where the vast majority of the so-called professionals can’t even beat index funds.

want you to read these various articles and watch this video. It’s just a small sampling of the proof I believe clearly demonstrates why making the stock market the driving force to reach your financial goals like retirement, college educations, etc. is destined to fail…even if you’re fortunate enough to find one of the few financial advisers who put your financial needs above their own.

The alternative process I speak of is not driven by chasing net worth, a bad strategy on which the “Don’t Worry, Be Happy” crowd has spent tens of billions of advertising dollars to dupe investors into believing. You’ve seen that commercial about people carrying around a sign noting their net worth goals. It’s a nice thought but the real world will never let the vast majority of them come close to achieving their “number.”  Ask any successful business person what was his or her key to success and they will say managing “cash flow” properly.

No one has understood the importance of making money work for you versus you working trying to make money than banks. What do they manufacturer or produce? Zip! Willie Sutton was a famous bank robber and was quoted as saying, “I rob banks because that’s where the money is.” Willie was half right, but instead of robbing them he should have opened one.

Banks open their doors and allow you to come in and deposit your money with them. They don’t even have to offer toasters anymore for you to keep it there and with such little interest paid these days one should get something much more than a toaster. Did you know the average deposit stays in a bank long enough for them to lend that money out 3 or four times at different interest rates charged to the borrower depending on what kind of loan they took out? If they don’t get crazy with their loans, banks have mastered making one dollar do the work of several with little or no risk. Our process shows you how to be like the banks, have similar very low risk and best of all, live a much better lifestyle.

If you’re looking to turn $1 into a $100, please look elsewhere. As I stated earlier, this process can’t turn a Chevy into a Cadillac, but it can make your Chevy run far more efficiently and effectively and with much less risk than you’re currently undertaking.

The only qualification is the necessity to have a single or family income of at least $150k a year and/or a net worth of at least $1 million+. If you meet these qualifications and live in North America, email me at peter@grandich.com and I will tell you how to get started with the process.

Now, if you don’t meet the qualifications or don’t wish to move forward at this time, please allow me to recommend two books written by financial mentor, Frank Congilose.

I look forward to hearing from those who meet the qualifications and truly are serious about reaching their financial goals.

Will 3D Printing Change The World?

3DMuch attention has been paid to 3D Printing lately, with new companies developing cheaper and more efficient consumer models that have wowed the tech community. They herald 3D Printing as a revolutionary and disruptive technology, but how will these printers truly affect our society? Beyond an initial novelty, 3D Printing could have a game-changing impact on consumer culture, copyright and patent law, and even the very concept of scarcity on which our economy is based. From at-home repairs to new businesses, from medical to ecological developments, 3D Printing has an undeniably wide range of possibilities which could profoundly change our world.

CLICK HERE to watch the video

The Canadian dollar spiked almost a full cent Friday amid mixed jobs data released in Canada and the United States.

The loonie jumped 0.89 cents to 96.07 cents US as the loonie found some support from Statistics Canada data showing that the economy created 59,000 jobs last month. That exceeded expectations of about 20,000 positions but the growth was mainly for part-time employment.

The unemployment rate fell to 7.1 per cent in August from 7.2 per cent in July.