Gold & Precious Metals

European central banks sold 5.1 metric tons of gold in the fourth year of an accord that originated in 1999, the lowest on record, according to data from the World Gold Council.

Germany sold 5 tons and an unidentified bank disposed 0.1 ton in the year through Sept. 26, the cpuncil, a London-based producer-funded group, said in a report on its website. That’s the lowest annual total since European central banks agreed to limit sales in September 1999. Germany’s Bundesbank sells a small amount each year to mint coins.

Central banks, which own 18 percent of all the gold ever mined, will add as much as 350 tons valued at about $15 billion this year, the council estimates. They purchased 535 tons in 2012, the most since 1964. Gold fell to a 20-year low in August 1999 as SwitzerlandNetherlands,Austria and U.K. prepared to sell gold. Gold rose from 2001 through 2012.

Marc Faber: Warren Buffett is Wrong

faber interview-Recently, Warren Buffett said that the Fed was the world’s largest hedge fund. He is wrong. The world’s largest hedge funds are owned by people who are risk takers with their own money, since they are usually the largest investors in their funds. The academics at the Fed are playing with other people’s money.

However, if we consider that the Fed, led by its chairman, is the most powerful organization in the world — because by printing money, it can finance the government (fiscal deficits) and wars, manipulate the cost of money (interest rates), directly intervene in the economy by bailing out failing institutions (banks) or countries (Greece, etc.), intervene in the foreign exchange market and even influence elections — then the question arises whether it makes sense that so much power should be given to Fed members, who are “group thinking” academics and most of whom have never worked in the private sector. In my opinion, the enormous power of the “academic” Fed is a frightening thought. My friend Fred Sheehan recently quoted from Johann Peter Eckermann’s conversation with Goethe, Feb. 1, 1827. We talked about the professors who, after they had found a better theory, still ignored it. From Eckermann and Goethe:

“This is not to be wondered at,” said Goethe; “such people continue in error because they are indebted to it for their existence. They would have to learn everything over again, and that would be very inconvenient.” – in Dailyreckoning

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Commodity Review: Gold Breaks Down, Corn At 3-Year Low

WTI fell while Brent rose. Gold fell Poised To Drop $90

Commodities were mixed this week despite signs of progress on solving the budget showdown in Washington. Gold led all decliners; natural gas was the best performer. Stocks, as measured by the S&P 500, rose by less than 1 percent, bringing their year-to-date gain up to 19.2 percent. 

Macroeconomic Highlights

The early part of the week featured more deadlock between Republicans and Democrats, with no signs that the impasse over the government shutdown or debt ceiling was going to end soon. 

Then on Thursday, a breakthrough was seen when House Republican leaders unveiled a plan to raise the debt ceiling for a short period of time. The extension would give the Treasury room to borrow through Nov. 22, and is contingent on the willingness of Democrats to participate in broad spending reduction negotiations. President Obama has not said whether he will agree to the terms, and negotiations remain ongoing.

Meanwhile, as the shutdown continued this week, most economic data from the government was delayed. However, the Department of Labor did release its initial jobless claims figures. It reported that the number of people filing for unemployment benefits rose from 308K to 374K last week, much higher than the 311K that was expected. The DoL said that half of the increase was due to computer glitches in California. 

Finally, President Obama nominated Fed Vice Chairman Janet Yellen as the next Fed chairman when Bernanke’s term ends in January. Yellen is seen as a dovish member of the central bank and will likely continue Bernanke’s policies.

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…read page 2 – 5 HERE

Blackrock constructs a Sovereign Risk Index based on a number of variables factoring into a countries credit quality. Factors can range from a country’s governments fiscal policy to the overall strength of their financial sector.

This helps to answer how the debt of the US could be viewed, if we didn’t incorporate their status as the world’s reserve currency. 

Click here to view chart.

Robert Levy

Border Gold Corp.

rlevy@bordergold.com | 1.888.312.2288

www.bordergold.com

The Ultimate Zombie Enrichment Program

Screen Shot 2013-10-11 at 12.03.49 PMEconomists, analysts and advisors have been trying to figure out exactly what “quantitative easing” does. The Fed is adding more than $1 trillion to the monetary base every 12 months. It’s got to have some effect, right?

In theory, it goes into banks’ excess reserves… which, in theory, the banks could lend out at a ratio of 10-to-1… for a total potential increase to the money supply of $20 trillion.

But it’s not that simple…. 

These are excess reserves at the Fed we’re talking about. Some experts insist these reserves are untouchable in the financial caste system… and that they add nothing to the money supply. They say QE is an asset swap (interest-paying excess reserves for interest-paying Treasury paper), not an additive process.

But it’s not that simple either….

The Fed creates money. It buys Treasury bonds from the banks. The banks are free to buy more Treasury bonds. This transfers cash from the Fed to the federal government. And it saves the federal government having to get it from other sources (at higher rates of interest).

All money, like water, eventually finds its way to the sea – occasionally washing away a few houses along the way. And when you add $1 trillion a year into a $16 trillion economy, it’s bound to raise the sea level.

Gold Is “Zombie Proof”

How? When? 

We don’t know… but we’d avoid property too close to the shoreline!

That’s why we own gold… 

Because gold is waterproof. 

No kidding. When the broad ocean of cash, credit and connivance breaks into open fury – with howling winds and towering waves – gold will stand tall and sure, like an indestructible lighthouse.

No financial wind blows it over. No drenching rain warps it. That’s why smart investors… and smart central banks… are watching the weather and accumulating gold.

Gold is “Fed-proof” too… and zombie proof!

The Fed’s announcement in September not to “taper” its bond buying came as a shock to the mainstream press. But no one should have been surprised. This is an economy that has come to depend on Fed stimulus.

Every time the Fed has hinted that it (might… possibly… at some time in the future… unless it changes its mind… and the creek doesn’t rise) reduce its interference, the markets get the heebie-jeebies.

Since the purpose of the Fed’s action is to avoid the heebie-jeebies, they are now trapped by their own clumsy meddling. They broke it. Now, they own it.

Perhaps this is a good time to answer our critics. 

As you know, we recently announced our availability to run the Fed. If selected, we promised to be derelict in our duties. In fact, we promised to abdicate immediately – shirking our responsibility completely. 

But at least one dear reader believed our plans for the Fed were completely unrealistic and downright irresponsible. We’ll let him explain:

Bill, you would have to be a Luddite to believe what you say. Your way will be totally catastrophic, everything, everything has moved on, we cannot go back, should it be that you head the Fed.

I am not saying for a moment I like where we are, or that the banks are not making things worse, they plainly are. But in order to keep people working, you need to rely on the velocity of money, period.

Our reader goes on to tell us that we too are prisoners of the Fed’s actions… and of the paper money system. There’s no way out now… not without hell to pay.

Hell to Pay

And guess what? He’s right. 

There is hell to pay. But we guarantee you, dear reader, hell will collect… whether we like it or not. And the bill won’t get any smaller the longer we dodge the bill collector.

Look, what’s the real point of our current paper money, Fed-managed system? It is so that the insiders can manipulate, obfuscate and confiscate.

They manipulate the value of our money… lie about what is really going on… and steal wealth from savers and workers to pay for their pet projects and give money to their zombie friends. 

That’s the way it has always been and shall ever be, amen.

For example, Charles de Gaulle’s economist Jacques Rueff explained why inflation seemed to boost employment. It was because inflation robbed the workers of their wages… lowering labor costs… and making it easier for employers to hire them.

And Marc Faber recently explained how QE robs more than 90% of the population to pay off the elite. Where does all the Fed’s QE liquidity go? It goes into stock prices! Who makes money when stock prices rise? Wall Street and its elite clients! Everybody else loses.

And what about the zombies?

We’ll explain that part of it ourselves. The Federal government borrows the Fed’s ersatz dollars at record low interest rates. What happens to the money? Does it go to the taxpayers? Does it go to real, productive businesses? Does it go to real, productive workers?

Nope.

It goes to zombies of all sorts – to the 7 out of 10 families who get more from the government than they pay in taxes… and to all those contractors we passed along the Dulles Corridor on our way to the airport.

QE is the ultimate “Zombie Enrichment Program.” 

The sooner it ends… and the sooner the Fed is abolished… the better off we all will be.

 

Get Bill’s Letter FREE HERE

 

About Bill Bonner

Bill Bonner founded Agora Inc. in 1978. It has grown into one of the largest independent newsletter publishing companies in the world. In 1999, along with Addison Wiggin, Bill foundedThe Daily Reckoning. Today, this daily e-letter reaches over 500,000 readers around the globe.

Bill has also co-written two New York Times bestselling books, Financial Reckoning Day and Empire of Debt. He has written or co-written other widely read books as well, and has penned a daily column at The Daily Reckoning for over 12 years. Recently, Bill decided to “retire” from his role at The Daily Reckoning and begin writing his Diary of a Rogue Economist.

Bill Bonner’s Diary of a Rogue Economist is your gateway to Bill’s decades of accrued knowledge about history, politics, society, finance and economics. Sometimes funny, sometimes frightening – but always entertaining and packed with useful insight, Diary of a Rogue Economist can help you make sense of the complex world we live in today.

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