Mike's Content

Michael’s Oct. 12th Money Talks Show

Michael Mike Campbell image The 1st 1/2 hour begins with Michael’s Economic & Financial Commentary. 

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The second hour of Money Talks Michael interviews Lance Roberts, CEO of STA Wealth Mgmt. & Host of Street Talk Live

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US Debt Default & China – A Matter of Sovereignty

Li-1The Chinese Premier Li Keqiang has sent a clear message to U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry on Thursday. Li told him that for “China the issue of the American debt ceiling [is of] great attention”. His statements were published on the government website.

These remarks, as short as they are, demonstrate that the financial monetary system of the world is being cast in a spotlight that illustrates that American Powers are by no means as free to act irresponsibly and independently as before. The Chinese have US assets amounting to about $2 trillion.

The Chinese Vice Finance Minister Zhu Guangyao has asked the Americans to “ensure the safety of Chinese investments.” In the event that the U.S. debt limit may not increase, the Americans would first have to service their debt obligations to the holders of government bonds, Zhu said.

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Clearly, the real risk of technical bankruptcy of the USA is probably at ZERO. This “credit event” is becoming more routine. The probability of this happening each time the debt ceiling needs to be raised is the real issue. We are in a debt vortex where we might as well be run by a bunch of monkeys. Nobody in their right mind would run a country as they are today in all of Western society. This is absolutely brain-dead. Why do we borrow paying interest when we have ZERO intention of ever paying anything back in principal?

This is illustrating that the US, as all Western governments, has lost its independent sovereignty when it has to rely upon foreign adversaries for its survival. How could the US invade Syria when Russia and China opposed and they gold $2.5 trillion in US assets?

This is why the pension seizure is coming. The SAFE act will not be guaranteed by government and they will count on insurance companies being unable to produce guaranteed returns. But once annuities are bought, you will hand them your assets and there will be no account to withdraw from – it is gone. The Feds will then step in, and the debt will be stuffed into this and it will no longer be your money. Say good bye to your future assets. This will then solve the problem of foreign debt holders and independence shall be restored.

More from Martin Armstrong:

Commodity Hedge Funds are Collapsing

 

CAPITAL APPRECIATION v EARNINGS

 

 

Market Buzz – Washington’s Three Ring Debt Circus Rolls on with Little Real Affect

Screen Shot 2013-10-12 at 7.20.42 AMCanada’s main stock index was little changed on Friday with investors waited with bated breath for a resolution by U.S. lawmakers to end a federal government shutdown and overall market action muted ahead of the Canadian Thanksgiving long weekend.

After recording its biggest jump in three months on Thursday, the Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index finished the session down 2.30 points, or 0.02%, at 12,892.11. Thursday’s gains came after U.S. House speaker John Boehner said Republicans are offering legislation that will allow for a temporary increase in the debt ceiling.

Any sign that an agreement may be in the works to head off a possible default by the U.S. government was enough to push North American markets sharply higher. U.S. President Barack Obama and congressional Republican leaders worked to end their fiscal impasse on Friday but struggled to strike a deal on the details for a short-term reopening of the government and an increase in the U.S. debt limit.

It is widely thought that failure to raise the borrowing limit would have serious repercussions for the fiscal standing of the United States, the world’s biggest economy, and for markets and economies of the United States and other nations worldwide.

But we have seen a similar situation play out recently with proclamations of dire consequences only to end in a ‘miraculous’ solution at the eleventh hour. Once again the debt ceiling issue is providing amusing political theatre as each side has their much sought after moment to climb on their soapbox and spout their special interest and/or agenda of the day.

While we have witnessed moderate volatility during this U.S. “crisis,” the markets appear to be relatively confident that a solution will once again emerge. Investors appear to be casting politicians as the boy who cried wolf and largely shrugging off the issue having seen it all before to a degree – despite the hourly ‘chicken little’ coverage from some reporters on networks like CNBC.

While the massive issue of government debt is nothing to sneeze at, the debt ceiling is not likely to be the central issue that topples North American markets. The issue will likely be resolved and appear like noise within short order.

What investors should be paying attention to is third quarter earnings season which is on the horizon and should start coming at us in earnest over the next several weeks. Ultimately it is growth or declines in cash flows in the particular stocks you own that will chart the direction of your portfolio overtime, not the three ring circus Washington continues to provide for your amusement.

Pay more attention to quarterly earnings calls from your core growth and income stocks (or let us do it for you) and less to Washington – while they may not provide the entertainment value, they truly affect your financial position and will likely allow you to keep down your lunch.


KeyStone’s Latest Reports Section

9/18/2013
CASH RICH COMMUNICATIONS SOFTWARE COMPANY POST STRONG Q3 2013, EXPECT FURTHER ACCRETIVE ACQUISITION IN 2013-2014 – RATING MAINTAINED – GAINS OVER 215%

9/5/2013
DIVERSIFIED BUSINESS ACQUISITION COMPANY REPORTS SOLID ORGANIC GROWTH IN 2013, ACQUIRES INDUSTRIAL SCAFFOLD – CONTINUED GROWTH IN FREE CASH FLOW EXPECTED OVER NEXT YEAR AND STRONG BALANCE SHEET ($22 MILLION IN NET LIQUID ASSETS) – UPGRADE LONG TERM

8/29/2013
UNDERFOLLOWED INTERNATIONAL/CANADIAN ENERGY SERVICE STOCK POSTS STRONG Q2, SOLID 5.7% DIVIDEND WITH SOLID BALANCE SHEET ($0.41 PER SHARE IN CASH), NEAR-TERM MODERATE, LONG-TERM POSITIVE – BUY RATING MAINTAINED

8/22/2013
SHARES OF FOCUS BUY SURGE – ENERGY PIPELINE CONSTRUCTION SMALL-CAP POSTS RECORD Q2, STRONG GROWTH IN SEASONALLY WEAK QUARTER, PE OF 6 & OUTLOOK POSITIVE – REITERATE BUY (FOCUS BUY) DESPITE 142% GAINS

8/21/2013
ENERGY SERVICE & INFRASTRUCTURE STOCK POSTS WEAKER Q2 (EXPECTED), WELL POSITIONED FOR GROWTH IN SECOND HALF OF 2013 – LONG-TERM RATING MAINTAINED

 

 

Precious Metals Sentiment

One of the best sentiment gauges for precious metals is whether investors are paying a premium, or if they are buying precious metals at a discount. How do we determine this?

Central Fund of Canada (CEF) is a closed-end mutual fund that owns gold and silver exclusively — the metals, not stocks — at a ratio of about 45 oz. of silver to 1 oz. of gold. Closed-end funds trade based upon the bid and ask, without regard to their net asset value (NAV). Because of this, they can trade at a price that is at a premium or discount to their NAV. By tracking the premium or discount we can get an idea of bullish or bearish sentiment regarding precious metals.

Very recently CEF has been selling at about a -7.5% discount to the net asset value of the gold and silver it owns. Considering that CEF has experienced a -54% decline from its 2011 top, that is a remarkably small discount when compared historical discounts of -15% to -20%. Even more remarkable it the fact that after the -50% CEF correction in 2008, CEF was still selling at about a +15% premium!

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Conclusion: Obviously precious metals sentiment is somewhat bearish, but not so much so that we can detect a buying opportunity based upon it.

Technical analysis is a windsock, not a crystal ball.

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Rumours of a massive sell order hitting the gold futures market on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange early Friday morning actually led to a halt in trading. Apparently 5000 contracts (500,000 oz.’s of gold) hit the market just after 8:40 EST and took away all buyers to test the market liquidity. Gold dropped 25 dollars an ounce in the matter 2 minutes. 

Click here to read more.

Robert Levy

Border Gold Corp.

rlevy@bordergold.com | 1.888.312.2288

www.bordergold.com

 

 

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