Stocks & Equities

“Springboard Buy”

Posted by Bob Hoye - Institutional Advisors

on Friday, 27 December 2013 15:00

Stock Markets

The key force in the stock market has been the “Spring Board Buy” of October 9th.

Effectively, that said that the worst of the potentially bad month was in.

The next force has been the rapid transition to a speculative surge that has replicated the

conclusion of the 2007 and 1937 bull markets. Overall, the common feature has been that

these were bull markets out of an historical crash. The next common feature has been the

Screen Shot 2013-12-27 at 6.38.02 AM

Silver Market Update

Posted by Clive Maund

on Friday, 27 December 2013 14:47

On silver’s 14-year chart we can see that, despite the severe correction since the Spring 2011 peak, it has still not broken down from the large broadening uptrend shown, nor has it dropped below the nearby zone of strong support shown. In the last update, posted on 6th October, we looked for the next major uptrend to begin almost immediately, having observed a large potential Head-and-Shoulders bottom completing. That pattern aborted and we were stopped out (of both gold and silver) for a minor loss. Although that interpretation was invalidated, it still looks like silver is in a basing process, and it may be forming a Double Bottom with its June lows.

On the 14-year chart silver’s retracement from the Spring 2011 peak looks like a normal healthy correction and it appears to be about to reverse to the upside in exactly the place you would expect it to, from the zone of strong support arising from extensive trading from early 2008 through mid-2010 in the $17.50 – $20 price range, and from the support line of its major uptrend channel, which is coming into play not far beneath. In recent months it looks like it has been marking out an intermediate base pattern at the support level. Volume indicators are positive, which is a positive sign, with the Accum-Distrib line holding up very well on the decline.

silver13year221213

…..read more HERE

Bernanke’s rate ploy robs from middle class

Posted by John Crudele NY Post via Peter Grandich

on Thursday, 26 December 2013 16:28

benHAND IT OVER: Ben Bernanke’s policies have failed people who could have benefited from rising rates in savings and money-market accounts: middle-class families.

…..read more HERE

  1. As the year 2013 comes to a close, I think it’s wise to review some longer term charts. Please click here now. That’s a weekly gold chart, and there’s what I would term a “commodity-style” double bottom pattern in play.
  2. Commodity markets can create valid patterns that don’t quite meet the strict requirements of the Edwards and Magee handbook on technical analysis. 
  3. Technical rules should be applied more loosely to commodity charts, because the use of leverage can distort price patterns.
  4. In the case of this weekly gold chart, the time period between the first bottom and the second potential bottom is a little bit too long, but I think the shape of the pattern makes it valid.
  5. A rise above $1434 ushers in a target of about $1680.
  6. Please click here now. That’s a view of large speculator liquidity flows in comex gold contracts, courtesy of sentimentrader. There’s a double bottom pattern in play that fits with the double pattern on the weekly chart.
  7. Just as the stock market tends to anticipate future economic news, the comex gold market liquidity flows can anticipate future gold market news. 
  8. If gold begins to rise in 2014, would that be a simple short covering rally, or could the market be anticipating something bigger, like a Narendra Modi victory in the Indian election? 
  9. The double bottom pattern seems to suggest that some key bullish news is coming soon, and an official return of India’s citizens to the gold market could create enough buying to push gold towards the $1680 target zone.
  10. Please click here now. That’s a quarterly bars chart that compares silver to the US T-bond. 
  11. If gold and silver are transitioning from a Western-centric bull market to an Asian-centric bull era, then super-sized chart patterns should appear in these markets, and this appears to be the case with silver. 
  12. This ratio chart shows a gigantic head and shoulders bottom pattern in play, and it suggests that in 2014 silver should begin to outperform the T-bond for many years, and potentially for decades. 
  13. Note the action of the Stochastics indicator (14,3,3 series) at the bottom of the chart. Not all of the crossover buy signals have produced sizable moves in the silver price, but the overall track record of this indicator on the quarterly bars chart is very good.
  14. If growth is the dominant theme of the world’s economy in 2014, silver should perform better than gold, because of its significant use in industrial applications. 
  15. If that growth combines with Japanese QE to create rising inflation, silver should also do well, and it could also outperform gold in that environment.
  16. Please click here now. This is a quarterly bars chart of the Dow. It covers more than a century of data. I would argue that the current institutional rush into the stock market resembles the public’s rush to buy, in the year 1929.
  17. The red trend line resistance that I’ve highlighted on the chart is strong, and there’s some frightening broadening price action in play.
  18. I have no idea if the Dow will crash in 2014, like it did in 1929, but I only buy significant price weakness, so I have no interest in joining these institutional “price chasers” as they buy. 
  19. Many of them are using the savings of elderly pensioners, to buy a stock market that has risen nearly 200% percent from the lows of 2009. That’s a financial cocktail that value-oriented investors should avoid like the plague.
  20. Please click here now. This is a quarterly bars chart of the HUI index. The Stochastics indicator (14,3,3 series) is near the lows it hit in the year 2000, and the MACD (3,6,9 series) is beginning to turn up, and the histograms are rising.
  21. The action of the histograms is not confirming the new lows in price. If Chinese gold demand stays roughly where it is now, Indians import restrictions end, global growth rises, and Japanese inflation begins, gold stocks could have a very good year in 2014.
  22. Please click here now. This is a quarterly bars gold chart. Professional investors seek to minimize risk and mazimize reward. From a technical perspective, there is massive buy-side HSR (horizontal support and resistance) quite close to the current price.
  23. Whether the double bottom pattern on the weekly chart activates or fails, the fact is that gold is near three enormous support zones. It makes more sense to be a buyer than a seller when the price is so close to powerful buy-side HSR.
  24. As the year 2013 comes to a close, the Western super-crisis has entered a lull period, and an Asian citizen gold demand era began. It could be said that your “Queen Gold” jockey is changing horses in 2014. She’s moving from a Western racehorse… to an Asian Clydesdale. In the biggest picture, I think this means that Western precious metals investors are going to have their golden cake, and eat it too!

Dec 24, 2013
Stewart Thomson
Graceland Updates
website: www.gracelandupdates.com
email for questions: stewart@gracelandupdates.com 
email to request the free reports: freereports@gracelandupdates.com

6 NEW Facts That Most People Don’t Know – But Should

Posted by Michael Campbell

on Monday, 23 December 2013 20:08

 

MC horz cropped - 20131)  In Greece in 2012 there were 3.8 million people working while there were 4.1 million unemployed. (Greece being a prime example of, as Margaret Thatcher was quoted, “The problem with Socialism is that you eventually run out of other peoples money” – Ed) 

 
2)  The Federal Reserve’s balance sheet expanded from $891 billion in 2007 to a record $4 trillion for the week ending December 18th due to Quantitative Easing. The Fed now owns $1.5 trillion in mortgage-related assets and $2.2 trillion in Treasurys – plus $326 billion in other assets.
 
3)  Will history repeat? In March 2001 the Bank of Japan (BoJ) announced the introduction of QE and kept it in place until March 2006. It then initiated a very orderly and gradual unwinding of its government securities portfolio, by continuing its regular purchases of these securities (i.e a tapering). The market rose for nearly two weeks before dropping 24% in the following 2 months.
 
4)  The market share of Sears has dropped 31% since 2005 while sales at JC Penny have dropped 27% in the last three years. 
 
5)  Blackstone Capital has spent more than $7.8 billion purchasing about 41,000 single-family homes for rental conversion. In the process it has become the largest residential landlords in the U.S. and in October, Blackstone offered the first-ever “rental-home-backed” security on Wall Street. 
 
6)  There are 1,148,000 fewer Americans working today than there was in November 2006. Meanwhile, the population has grown by more than 16 million people during that time frame.
 
This is just part of the context that you and I are dealing with as investors but the big questions are – what does it all mean to interest rates, the dollar, the stock market, real estate and gold?
 
Given the precarious nature of the European Union’s banking, the shadow banking system in China and the US entitlement – it is essential to get the right answers.
 
This is where we can help
 
That’s why I have asked some of the best analysts in the English speaking world to join me at the World Outlook Financial Conference on January 31st & February 1st in Vancouver. They have been chosen because of their exceptional track records and analytical integrity. 
 
I am not aware of any other conference that consistently recommended gold from 2002 to 2012 but then recommended taking profits in February 2012 and warned of a steep decline in February 2013 – as a follow-up to the written warning in the first week of October 2012 that gold was heading several hundreds of dollars lower.  
 
And if you are interested in real estate, consider that our number one recommendation in 2010 for investors was to buy the Phoenix market and we added Las Vegas in 2011. People who followed our advice made a killing. 
 
In the currency markets the number one recommendation at last year’s conference was to play the Japanese yen to go down. We exited that trade in May with a 300% gain. 
 
And the performance of the World Outlook Small Cap Portfolio has been spectacular. Last year’s Small Cap portfolio are up over 32%. And that was an off year. In 2012 the portfolio was up 86%.  In 2011 it was up over 60%.  
 
I could go on but the track record of the recommendations has been exceptional. By following any one of the investments would have paid for the ticket price many times over.    
 
Paying For Your Ticket Many Times Over
 
While past performance is no guarantee of future success, please be clear that the results we have achieved over the years have not been by accident. Our analysts have been chosen precisely because they do have strong track records. Of course they are not right every time but their uncanny ability to read the various investment markets while employing proven risk management techniques has clearly raised their probability of success dramatically.
 
Which, by the way, explains why our analysts like Timer’s Digest Timer of the Year, Mark Leibovit, the incredible Martin Armstrong, Canada’s best known independent real estate analyst, Ozzie Jurock and Keystone Financial’s Ryan Irvine charge in excess of $1,700 for personal consultations. Yet at the World Outlook Conference you can get access to them and get your individual questions answered for as little as $119.
 
Our Special Bonus 
 
If you go to Moneytalks.net you will see a number of tremendous bonuses but today I want to tell you about just one. Keystone Financial is about to release their first Small Cap Report of US stocks. You will get that report as soon as it’s published in early January with the purchase of your ticket. Personally I can hardly wait to see what Ryan Irvine and his team are recommending.
 
The Point 
 
Our goal is to literally change your investing life. I think we can do it but we need your help. You’ve got to be interested. Come to the World Outlook Conference. Make a weekend of it. Maybe even take advantage of our special rates at the Westin Bayshore Hotel, whether you live in Greater Vancouver or farther afield. By the way, I think that would make a terrific and meaningful Christmas gift. 
 
I am very confident in saying that the Conference is going to be great.  
 
Sincerely, 
 
Mike, 
Host Of MoneyTalks
 
P.S.   As you may know I am hugely interested in educating our younger generation and to that end we have a special offer – if you buy a ticket – you can bring a student absolutely free.
 
The only thing is that we ask you to let us know that you want a student ticket when you purchase your ticket because we have a limited number of tickets set aside. Just enter STUDENT in the Order Notes when you order online or tell our staff when you order over the phone. And I might add that the students have really enjoyed the conference. It is also a great way to share/create a common interest with your children – no matter what their age. 
 
Conference Details 
 
Where: Westin Bayshore, Downtown Vancouver 
 
When: Friday evening, January, 31 and all day Saturday, February 1, 2014 
 
To book Your Ticket: go to www.moneytalks.net/outlook  or call 1.877.926.6849
 
Cost: $119 for a two day pass
 
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