Asset protection

Man Who Predicted Collapse Of Euro Against Swiss Franc Gives More Shocking Predictions For 2015

King-World-News-Man-Who-Predicted-Collapse-In-Swiss-Franc-Gives-More-Shocking-Predictions-For-2015-1728x800 cToday the man who remarkably predicted the collapse of the euro against the Swiss franc just 45 days ago shares more shocking predictions for 2015 with King World News. This interview takes a trip down the rabbit hole of central bank lies and deception and eventual collapse.

Greyerz: “Eric, what a day. Currency wars in 2015 are starting with a massive capitulation of the Swiss National Bank. As I have predicted for months, the SNB finally released the peg between the euro and Swiss franc at 1.20. This caused massive moves in the currency markets as well as massive losses for the Swiss National Bank….ie the Swiss National Bank has just suffered losses of 80 Billion Swiss Francs – that’s over 10% of Swiss GDP. 

Continue reading the Egon von Greyerz interview

Fascinating Article of the Week by Richard Russell

King-World-News-Russians-Stunned-As-Chinese-Leader-Pushes-Gold-Backed-Yuan-1728x800 c“Buy Gold & Silver While It Is Still Available As China To Back Yuan With Gold”

In almost every orthodox study, the stock market is overbought and overpriced. For instance, the market’s price-to-sales ratio is at an all-time high. The market’s capitalization to GDP ratio (this is Warren Buffet’s favorite indicator) is the second highest in history. The Shiller Cyclically Adjusted PE (CAPE) Ratio for the S&P is 27. That level has been exceeded only twice before in history – in 1929 and 2000. In other words, by almost all orthodox valuations, the current market is dangerously overvalued and way overdue for a correction or a bear market. This is the orthodox way of looking at this market.

Typically, bull markets do not end with overvaluations. They end with emotional extremes. They end at valuations far above what analysts envision. By any accounting, this has been, so far, a great bull market. … The recent back and forth action of the major averages is, in my opinion, laying the groundwork for the coming third and final phase of this bull market. In the coming third phase, I expect all classical valuations to be ignored. I expect money from around the world to pour into the US markets.

Collapsing Commodities

As I write 50 minutes before the close, the Dow is down 232 and the Transports are down 113. This is far from the dreadful 10 percent correction that has been missing in this bull market. The collapse of commodities — oil, copper, and foodstuff — has served to bring about a period of hysterical fear. A 10 percent correction will take the Dow down to roughly 16,200. But so far, a decline of about 600 on the Dow has served to frighten many investors out of their minds and out of the stock market.

I believe what we are seeing now is the preamble of the third phase of this giant bull market. If I had to guess I’d say that the base of the coming third phase could last into June. Thus the bull market will test our patience as we wait for the inevitable third and final phase of the bull market.

Will the Dow complete the long lost 10 percent correction (down to 16,200) before the bull market slips into its final speculative phase? With Europe close to recession and China slumping, foreign money has been going into the US dollar and US stocks. And it’s no wonder, with the US dollar and US stocks comprising the only games in town.

China’s Ascent And A Move To Back Yuan With Gold

I am particularly interested in China, whose GDP is about to take over the US’s GDP. This will make China’s economy the greatest economy the world has ever seen.

China does not want to rule the world. China simply wants to be on par with the US. To do this, China wants its currency to be as strong as or stronger than the US dollar. The world knows that there is nothing behind the US dollar of tangible value. China intends to back its currency, the Yuan with gold. If world commerce is transacted with gold-back Yuan, China will have won a tremendous victory. History show us that gold heads to the most powerful nation. That’s all the proof China needs to show that it’s on par with the United States. Happily, China is not a militaristic state. China wants a voice along with the US in matters that affect the world.

Buy Gold And Silver While It Is Still Available

Once again, I suggest that my subscribers buy gold while the metal is still available. When all fiat currencies are lost, gold will be the last man standing. Sooner or later I believe we will see a panic for physical gold. Just as gold was hated a year ago, it will be loved and wanted a year from now. Buy physical silver and gold while it’s available. Nothing is more loved than the item that was hated a few months ago. Remember, when we enter the new era, amazing discoveries and inventions will emerge. They will come from the United States, the land of the free and the home of the optimist.

Gold is trading well above its 1200 support level at 1206.80. I’m thinking that shortly it will be reintroduced into the world monetary system despite central banks’ fear of gold. In the end it will be used to unite and as a basis for a fairer and a more productive world monetary system. Take the “L” out of gold and you have the word “God,” which I often thought of as more than coincidence.

To subscribe to Richard Russell’s Dow Theory Letters CLICK HERE.

Newsflash: Even the Central Banks Aren’t Bigger Than the Market

Screen Shot 2015-01-17 at 6.28.29 AMI don’t want to make too much of today’s news and market action, but on the other hand, I want to make sure to acknowledge what importance it does have and the fact that I think today will be looked back on as a red letter day for “administered rates” on the part of the central planners who call themselves central bankers.

By now I’m sure everyone knows that the Swiss National Bank last night abandoned its promise to defend the floor of the euro-Swiss franc exchange rate at 1.20CHF. It also announced it was going to expand its negative deposit rate by 50 basis points, which will now range between -1.25% and 0.25%. (I have no idea how the SNB can administer that rate or how much money printing will be involved, but in all likelihood it will be less than it would have been forced to do to defend the peg further.

From Neutral to Neutron

That unleashed incomprehensible volatility, as the Swiss franc quickly exploded 40% versus the euro before trimming the loss to “only” 15%. I seriously doubt there has ever been a major currency move that far, that fast. (There was similar motion versus the dollar as well.)

Before discussing the various market responses (and I’m going to miss a lot because it’s not possible to capture them all), I’d like to focus on what the big takeaways are from the SNB’s action. First of all, the most important lesson to be learned from this is: no one (not even a central bank) is bigger than the market. I know a lot of people have trouble understanding this because the only history that they have seen firsthand has been the central banks getting their way with virtually every market they command to do their bidding, but that won’t always be the case, and today is a perfect example.

[ReadGlobal Growth Scare Could Sink Stocks in 2015]

The Swiss had said they would defend the peg no matter what, and all they had to do was print money to accomplish that. However, the consequences of that money printing in terms of speculation inside Switzerland obviously became a cost that was too high for them to continue the process. Therefore, the markets have won. If we have reached the zenith for belief in the ability of central bankers to control any and all markets, there will be big ramifications as a consequence.

Peggy, Bar the Door!

The second most important takeaway is that we are going to continue to see intense volatility virtually everywhere. When central banks print money to suppress (or redirect) the action of the economy because they don’t like the direction it is going, markets are going to become volatile. Just like if they try to peg a currency or some other financial instrument, and monetary policy swings wildly to achieve that, so would the economy.

Thus, oil has collapsed 50% in a few months. Copper has been hammered 15% in six weeks. We’ve seen the ruble obliterated, and now the craziness in the Swiss franc and other currencies (the Swiss stock market also lost 10%). Immense volatility is liable to be the order of the day in the future, not the completely suppressed volatility we saw in 2014. (As I said at the end of last year and repeated at the beginning of this one, 2015 is not going to look anything like 2014. The year is barely a few weeks old and that already looks like a drastic understatement.)

The next conclusion I believe is going to be that folks are no longer going to be able to “trust” the central banks, since bankers can change their minds. We are going to see that in America when it turns out the Fed is unable to raise rates, except instead of breaking a promise like the Swiss did it will be more like, “Gee, we changed our mind.” That, too, will add to volatility and eventually lead to lower multiples in financial assets I would think.

Currencies Take Up Tai Chi

Though this is a bit of speculation on my part, I also believe it is going to become clearer to many people that, as far as paper currencies go, nobody wants to have a strong one. They are all battles of wits between unarmed opponents. Gold, on the other hand, is viewed by many as a currency, even though a lot of so-called enlightened people view it as a “barbarous relic.” I expect gold will come to be looked at as the one currency that doesn’t mind if it trades higher versus others and doesn’t really have a central bank to manage it. Therefore, it is no one else’s liability.

Colored pieces of paper can wage war against each other as they all do laps around the drain versus real assets, and gold will be the store of value that people use to preserve the purchasing power of their colored paper over time. This also probably means that the ECB is getting ready to do something hefty in the QE department, and the Swiss knew that would be untenable for them, so more liquidity is probably on its way, though the response may not be the same in all markets as it has been based on the fact that some confidence (and money) has surely been lost.

Volatility a Double-Hedged Sword

Lastly, I think it is a virtual certainty that there are going to be a lot of “dead bodies” in the leveraged hedge fund community, as the size of the moves we’ve seen have undoubtedly hurt some people, especially anyone who was playing along and assuming the SNB would be true to its word.

So that’s my quick summation of the important ramifications of today’s action on the part of the SNB. Obviously, there are more conclusions to be drawn and actions to take, but that is at least some initial food for thought.

[HearRick Santelli on Volatility: You Ain’t Seen Nothing Yet]

With all of that blather out of the way, turning to the action, overnight our stock market had been strong, but (post the SNB news) it didn’t take long for the buying to turn to selling and through midday the indices were modestly lower. Over the course of the day, the market just sort of wandered around the early lows (in a sort of stunned fashion) before it limped into the close with a loss of around 1% (the Dow was a bit stronger).

Away from stocks was where the real action was. The euro was hit for 1.5% versus the dollar. The Swiss franc was extraordinarily volatile but spent most of the day 15% higher — note: this is a major currency, not a $2 stock — versus the dollar. As for the bond market, it was higher, and of course we are going to see even more negative rates in Switzerland’s and Germany’s bond markets, so the lunacy there continues and will, I expect, until it too teaches everyone the lesson that no central planning is bigger than the market when Mr. Market decides it is time to change his mind about where he wants prices to trade.

Is Gold Finally Ready to Floor It?

Oil lost 1%, while gold spiked almost 3% and from a technical standpoint has broken a serious downtrend line and managed to trade back to and slightly over its 200-day moving average. Exactly what technical factors are really going to matter to gold in the short run, given its explosive move in every currency, I can’t say, but I think the world has changed and we are not going to visit the sub-$1,200 price level. I guess the big question is when the Goldman Sachs of the world throw in the towel on the idea that whatever the Fed is going to do it will categorically be bad for gold.

For the last couple of years the gold market has been hostage to whatever folks’ whims were about the U.S. economy, the Fed, or the dollar. However, it is a much bigger world than that, and I believe the important variables have shifted, though I don’t know exactly what the keys will be. The most important thing to understand, in my opinion, is that the bull market in gold has resumed. That means it is going higher, and that is all anyone really needs to know.

In summary, folks are going to need to prepare for the chaos and volatility that are going to be with us prospectively.

Positions in stocks mentioned: none.

Gold: Key Upside Breakout

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Here are today’s videos:

Gold Key Upside Breakout Charts Analysis

Crude Oil $60 Is The New Normal Charts Analysis

Dow Wedge Of Doom Charts Analysis

Silver Close But No Breakout Cigar Charts Analysis

GDX Price Gap Of Power Charts Analysis

GDXJ Price Gap Of Power Charts Analysis

Thanks,

Morris

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CDN Real Estate: Detached Housing Prices in 6 Big Cities

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The chart above shows the average detached housing prices in December for Vancouver, Calgary, Edmonton, Toronto, Ottawa* and Montréal* as well as the average of Vancouver, Calgary and Toronto condo (apartment) prices (Left Axis). On the right axis is the MLS Annual Total Residential Sales across Canada; the most recent data point being a projection to year end.

In December 2014 the big city metros took a break under their respective highs in a year that saw the total MLS sales across Canada hit the biggest single sales year since the 2008 plunge into the March 2009 pit of gloom. 

2014 has been a banner year for commissioned sales.

Can the “posted retail” 5 year fixed rate mortgage low of 4.79% (+/-3% on the street) drive the hunger games into overtime in 2015?

Or is the continuing commodity crash signalling an upcoming major correction for Canadian housing? 

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