Gold & Precious Metals

Why The PM Sector is a Contrarian’s Dream

Originally published August 9th, 2015.

In this update we are only going to look at one chart, because I don’t want to dilute its impact by including anything else. There are many other charts supportive of a positive outlook for the Precious Metals sector going forward, which we will look at separately.

The chart we are now going to look at is the long-term ratio chart for the large cap S&P500 index divided by the XAU index for large cap gold and silver stocks. So that we can achieve a big picture overall perspective, our chart goes right back to the mid 80’s.

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This astounding chart largely speaks for itself. The main point it makes clear of course is the extraordinary and extreme undervaluation of Precious Metals stocks relative to the broad stockmarket. This ratio is an amazing 9 times higher than it was at its 2011 lows! Another point revealed by this chart is that PM stocks are now much better value relative to the broad market than they were even at the PM sector low late in 2000, before the great PM sector bullmarket of the 2000’s began.

Finally, the MACD indicator at the top of this chart has risen to a wild unprecedented extreme reading, which means one of two things is going to happen – either the broad market is going to drop hard soon, which we are in fact expecting, or the Precious Metals sector is going to rally, or both at the same time. Either way you are much better off in Precious Metals stocks than in the broad marke

The Three Most Popular Articles of the Week

1. Top 6 Myths Driving Oil Prices Down

“Earlier in the year I documented half a dozen media reports which turned out to be 100 percent false. Now I expose another half dozen in just the past few weeks. “….continue reading HERE

 

2. People’s Bank of China Freaks Out….

“The PBOC’s freak-out came after all heck had already broken loose in China over the weekend” …..continue reading HERE

 

3. Canada 6-City Housing & the Plunge-O-Meter

The chart below tracks the dollar and percentage losses from the peak and projects when prices might find support. The other chart shows the average detached housing prices for the six largest Canadian cities HERE 

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Last Call – New Signals for NASDAQ and Silver

…And below is the latest commentary and charts showing the NEW Buy/Sell Signals from the August 10 issue of Bullish Review…
 
NASDAQ COMMENTARY FROM THE AUG 10 BULLISH REVIEW
 
I wanted to share the current commentary and chart for NASDAQ where we just had a new COT signal awaiting confirmation (you can tap the chart to enlarge).
 
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NASDAQ E-MINI: Commercials were net buyers in a down week, but prior selling momentum resulted in…*A new COT sell signal and trading cycle high. A move above 4629.00 this week would cancel the COT signal arrow. (Turn arrows have a 78% validation rate in NASDAQ futures.) The NASDAQ is in weak hands and the wide spread between net long funds and net short commercials creates big-move potential. This sell signal applies to the other stock index futures, as well. ~ Aug 10 Bullish Review  
 

 

NEW SILVER COMMENTARY FROM THE AUG 10 BULLISH REVIEW
 
I wanted to share the current commentary and chart for Silver which where we just had a COT signal confirmed (you can tap the chart to enlarge).
 
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SILVER: Commercials were net sellers on a price drop at Tuesday’s COT tabulation—opposite their usual, but remedied by Friday. Last week’s COT buy signal was validated by this week’s price action. Relative Trend Strength has formed a bullish divergence with price trend, but this is yet to be supported by a bullish zero crossing. Funds are rarely net short in silver and, thus, are nearly sold out. Commercial resistance near 17.775 is a target for the expected bear market rally. ~ Aug 10 Bullish Review 
 

  
Best regards,

 
Steve Briese
Editor, Bullish Review
 
Here’s your last chance to subscribe to Bullish Review.  and get the Just in Timesignals delivered weekly, along with signals and COT analysis on all the futures markets, and commodities.
 
P.S. Remember, you only have until 11:59 p.m. tonight to subscribe to Bullish Reviewat a 47% discount, and get the exclusive bonupackage.

Peter Schiff: America is On a Race to the Bottom

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With Tuesday’s stunning announcement that the People’s Bank of China would devalue the Chinese yuan about 2 percent against the U.S. dollar, China became the latest nation to join the global currency war. But according to outspoken market pundit Peter Schiff, China’s too late, because the U.S. already has the inside track in the battle to debase its currency.

“America is going to win the currency war,” Schiff said Tuesday on CNBC’s “Futures Now.” “I think we’re going to win, but right now you have a dollar bubble.”

The dollar bubble claims fly in the face of how the U.S. common currency has performed this year. The dollar index is up more than 7 percent year to date.

But according to the Euro Pacific Capital CEO, the Federal Reserve will hold off on raising rates as long as possible, and over time, that will cause the dollar to collapse…

 

All Hell Is About To Break Loose As The World Hurtles Into Chaos And Unprecedented Levels Of Fear

King-World-News-Its-All-Coming-To-A-Disastrous-End-And-The-World-Faces-A-Very-Dark-Future-1728x800 cALSO JUST RELEASED: Richard Russell – The Big Picture, Chaos In China And The Monster That’s Scaring All Investors CLICK HERE.

From Egon Greyerz

“this coming September – October all hell will break loose in the world economy and markets.  A lot of factors point to that, both fundamental and technical indicators and this indicates that we could have a number of shocks this autumn”.….read more from Egon von Greyerz

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