War Cycles Ramping Up Again …

Posted by Larry Edelson - Money & Markets

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Screen Shot 2016-11-30 at 6.35.44 AM“the war cycles are increasing in intensity each and every year for the next four to five years. They are going to alter everything you thought you knew about the economy … about the markets … about politics and politicians … foreign affairs and more”

I hope you had a wonderful Thanksgiving weekend with family and friends. I did!

But now, it’s back to work. It’s back to protecting and growing your wealth. And that’s more important than ever!

The chief reason — and I’ll keep harping on this until I’m blue in the face — is the ramping up of the war cycles. They’ve been ramping up since late 2013.

Now they are already wreaking havoc in Washington. They already caused Britain to Brexit. And now Italy could be next, followed by France. Then Spain. Greece, and more.

They overthrow Hillary here in the U.S. with its anti-establishment undertone, just as I predicted they would.

And the war cycles are increasing in intensity each and every year for the next four to five years. They are going to alter everything you thought you knew about the economy … about the markets … about politics and politicians … foreign affairs and more.

If you are not careful and open-minded, they are going to destroy your wealth.

Let’s get something straight. I am not a pessimist. I am not an “end of the world” type analyst. I am simply a historian, steeped in how governments and markets are cyclical in nature, and how those who don’t learn from history are doomed to repeat the mistakes of the past.


The war cycles are real. They are documented and scientifically proven and based on over 14,000 wars spanning 5,000 years of civilization. I have studied them in great detail. They are ramping up big time and they will have a profound impact on everything.

What is behind the war cycles? What drives society and the world to enter turbulent times?

There are two forces: The private economy and the public sector, government.

In the best of times, when the interests of the private and public sectors are aligned, you get as close a partnership as you can get between the private and public sectors.

There’s good economic growth. There’s cooperation. There’s rising employment, little or no inflation, increased productivity. And most of all, accepting the status quo amongst our leaders.

But in the worst of times, when the underlying economy goes into a bust period, as it has been doing since the year 2000 — you get a divide between the public and the private sectors. A divide that only gets worse with time.

It may seem that their interests are still aligned. After all, both the government and the private sector want the economy to get back on track, employment to rise again and everything to be A-OK.

But in bad economic times, the self-interest of government rises to the top.

Seeing diminished revenues and unable to curtail spending, governments start to go broke. As they go broke, they turn against their citizens and seek more ways to soak money from them while at the same time cutting and even reneging on promises.

Think India. Now banning the use of large bills. Think Europe. Limits on ATM withdrawals and more.

Meanwhile, central banks try to paper over the mess, printing money with reckless abandon.

As the tensions mount between the public and private sectors, protests erupt. There are tax revolts. Riots in the streets. Secession movements. Civil strife.

Between nations, governments battle their own self-interests, with currency wars, protectionism, trade barriers, capital controls, and more.

Religious battles intensify. And if leaders don’t act appropriately — which they almost never do — all hell can break loose, leading to domestic and international conflict.

Front and center is none other than your wealth. The purchasing power of your money. The life of hard work you devoted to your family and its financial security. Your liberties. Your privacy.

For in the end, bankrupt governments want to grab your money to make themselves whole.

They engage in propaganda and desperate socialist moves to spread the wealth in some utopian vision of the world that is really nothing more than grabbing everyone’s wealth to feed a monster that is going belly up.

Think of the British and the American revolution. The original Tea Party and “no taxation without representation.” Think of the French Revolution. The fall of Rome and Byzantium.

In each and every one of those instances, and countless others, government crossed the line and invaded the private sector first, confiscating wealth to pay for its mistakes to desperately try and survive.

In times like those — the single best thing you can do is to think independently.

Question everything governments say and do. They will be acting entirely out of self-interest. They will deceive you, lie to you, all the while they are reaching into your back pocket to grab what they think is theirs.

Fortunately, today we have a slew of liquid markets where you can protect yourself and even grow your money. But again, it all depends on your ability to think for yourself.

Think it would be any different if Hillary won? No, it wouldn’t be. All of this is written in stone being played out before your very eyes.

Best wishes, stay safe and well,