For some perspective on all-important long-term interest rates, today’s chart illustrates the 27-year trend of the 10-year Treasury bond yield (thick blue line). As today’s chart illustrates, the 10-year Treasury bond yield has moved within the confines of a 26-year downward sloping trend channel. More recently, a modest but improved economic outlook in the US has helped to send the 10-year Treasury bond yield higher over the past 11 months. In fact, the 10-year yield has increased a fairly significant 70 basis points (i.e. 0.7%) since its resistance testing, July 2012 trough. In the end, this upward move in long-term yields is something to watch in light of the US economy’s ever increasing dependence on debt.
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