Todd Market Forecast

Posted by Stephen Todd - Todd Market Forecast

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DOW                                           – 195 on 1650 net declines

NASDAQ COMP                            – 62 on 1500 net declines

SHORT TERM TREND                   Bearish (change)

INTERMEDIATE TERM TREND       Bullish

Editor’s note: This is an abbreviated update because of travel. I’ll give a complete update and make up the numbers on Friday’s update.

STOCKS:I thought the action today was pretty bad. Can’t blame it on the dollar which has been taken to the woodshed. .

Today the so called good 6 months ended. We are now entering unfavorable seasonality. More on that in Friday’s update.

 I think that we are close to a short term rebound, but I suspect it will be a counter trend bounce.

GOLD: Gold collapsed for $28. The story was that a drop in initial claims would cause the Fed to raise rates earlier rather than later. I know one thing. This is a very skittish and choppy market. We’ll stay bullish for now since the yellow metal has not broken its lows of April 24, but we need to keep a close eye.

Intermediate term investors are long the SPY from 206.41. I think we will use a short term rebound to get out of this position.

System 7 traders sold the SSO at 131.68 for a gain of .09. We gave back a nice gain, but it’s better than a loss.

Todd Market Forecast for Thursday April 30, 2015

Available Mon- Friday after 6:00 P.M. Eastern, 3:00 Pacific.