STOCKS: It looked like we would have more of a down session and then some Fed officials came on the wire sounding more dovish about interest rates. That turned it around, but not enough to go positive.
GOLD: Gold dropped $2. There was no reason given. Some days there isn’t one.
Todd Market Forecast for Thursday April 16, 2015
Available Mon- Friday after 6:00 P.M. Eastern, 3:00 Pacific.
DOW – 7 on 450 net declines
NASDAQ COMP – 3 on 200 net declines
SHORT TERM TREND Bullish
INTERMEDIATE TERM TREND Bullish
CHART: We’re a bit concerned by the chart below. First, the S&P 500 is overbought as measured by 5 Day RSI (arrows). Second, the index is at the level that turned the last rally back in mid March. Let’s keep a close watch.
BOTTOM LINE: (Trading)
Our intermediate term system is on a buy from Feb. 20, 2015. We are long the SPY from 206.43.
GOLD We are in cash. Stay there.
We’re on a buy for bonds as of March 18.
We’re on a buy for the dollar and a sell for the euro as of March 30.
We’re on a sell for gold as of April 14.
We’re on a sell for silver as of March 30.
We’re on a buy for crude oil as of March 23.
We’re on a buy for the Toronto Stock Exchange as of March 16.
We’re on a sell for the S&P\TSX Venture Fund as of October 30.
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