The Great Bond Heist

Posted by Mark Jasayko, CFA, Portfolio Manager

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McIver Wealth Management Consulting Group / Richardson GMP Limited
Investing in Safety and Losing!

Imagine that you retired in July 2012. Upon retirement, it was decided to place your hard-earned savings into a bond portfolio for safety and income. Let’s say that the portfolio is comprised of U.S. Treasury bonds and with an average maturity of about 8 ½ years.

So, how would you have done?

Despite receiving interest payments which would have yielded on average of about 1.8% of your initial investment, you would be down a total of 5.58% (see chart above).

That’s right, even when you add back the interest payments, you would be down a total of 5.58% over the first 18 months of your retirement!

If the volatility in the bond markets ended today and bond prices did not change, it would take three years’ worth of interest payments just to get back to breakeven. Four and a half years into retirement, and despite receiving interest over that time frame, your total return would be zero.

The opinions expressed in this report are the opinions of the author and readers should not assume they reflect the opinions or recommendations of Richardson GMP Limited or its affiliates. Assumptions, opinions and estimates constitute the author’s judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to change without notice. We do not warrant the completeness or accuracy of this material, and it should not be relied upon as such. Before acting on any recommendation, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, if necessary, seek professional advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. 

Richardson GMP Limited, Member Canadian Investor Protection Fund.

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