PIMCO’s Gross: QE3 is Back On If Job Reports Are Weak

Posted by Bloomberg

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By: Bloomberg 

Bill Gross of PIMCO spoke to Bloomberg TV’s Trish Regan this afternoon and said that he is doubtful of another round of quantitative easing in June, but “if we see some weak employment reports over the next two months, then QE3 is back on.” He also said that there’s a risk of a double-dip recession “if liquidity disappears.”

Gross went on to say that “euro land is a dysfunctional family…more dysfunctional than Democrats and Republicans in Washington, DC.”

Courtesy of Bloomberg Television WATCH VIDEO HERE

Gross on whether he’s betting on another round of quantitative easing:

“I don’t at the moment. I am willing to listen and I did listen intently at the press conference and to prior speeches from Janet Yellin and Mr. Dudley in New York. The big three at the Fed I think have moved closer to the middle in terms of the need for additional QE. They in the market are going to wait for the next eight weeks for two key employment Friday reports between now and then, as well as tomorrow’s GDP number, which I think should be judged in my opinion by nominal growth as opposed to real growth. The Fed does not target nominal GDP. They target inflation though. They want lower unemployment, which requires 3% real growth. So the 2 plus the 3 equals a 5% nominal GDP growth target, which the Fed really wants to shoot for. So watch tomorrow’s numbers and don’t be dissuaded by the 2.5% number or the 3% real growth number. It’s the nominal growth number that is key.”

On whether the Federal Reserve will resist an additional round of quantitative easing:

“I think so. The Fed does want unemployment to come down. It has been coming down. As a matter of fact, it’s lower than their prior projections were. There’s little doubt in my mind that a target for unemployment of at least 7% and perhaps lower is what they’re shooting for and that is going to require, 6, 12, 18 months, in my view. It might and probably will require, maybe not on June 30, additional quantitative easing. Quantitative easing is basically writing checks. The Fed’s been writing checks, the ECB has been writing checks, the Bank of England has been writing checks, even the Bank of Japan has been writing checks. This is $2-3-4 trillion worth of check writing that has supported financial markets, but in turn has allowed for employment growth and lower unemployment. I really think that it’s required. I don’t welcome it from the standpoint of the negative consequences, but I think it is required.”

On whether he would rule out QE3 down the road:

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