Ecuador – Goldman & Gold

Posted by Martin Armstrong - Armstrong Economics

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Gold-400ozEcuador hands Goldman Sachs 466,000 ounces of gold worth roughly $580 million at today’s ruling price. Ecuador under its socialist President Rafael Correa is seeking sources of cash after they borrowed over $11 billion from China because they defaulted on $3.2 billion of foreign debt five years ago. This is the consequence of debt and in the hands of socialists-communists, the bonds ultimately are always defaulted upon.

Like Zimbabwe, who had to adopt foreign currency because people will not trust their own, Ecuador is the only country in South America that is using the US dollar as currency. Ecuador did not sell its gold, it effectively borrowed against it in exchange for more liquid assets. Ecuador expects to turn a profit of as much as $20 million on the transaction and it will get the gold back within three years and the central bank expects to turn a profit of as much as $20 million on the transaction without explaining how.

It appears that Goldman will most likely sell the gold forward helping to break the back of gold and will most likely look to replace it at the lows under $1,000.

Metals Update (from June 3rd)
The two Daily Bearish Reversals are 1240 and 1186. We are holding the 1240 level for now with a minor Daily Bullish forming at 1262 and 1294. We see a turning point next week and the week of the 23rd. We do not see the meltdown yet without a monthly closing below 1190 area. We also see tomorrow as a turning point in both silver and gold.

In silver, we need to see a daily closing back above 1952 to suggest a reaction to the upside. The key resistance on a nearest futures basis stands at 1993 and only a daily and weekly closing above this level will temporarily relieve the downward pressure. It is 1825 where we see a big gap down to the high $15 range.

We see next week and the week of 6/30 as the key turning points ahead in silver on a weekly basis. The major support levels are at 17.30 and 13.30.


…more from Martin Armstrong:

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