Timing & trends
….read more HERE
Hard to find the bears these days, especially after the S&P 500 busted through 1,700 last week and is up around 20% so far this year.
Don’t look to Morgan Stanley to bare any teeth. Serving up a fresh view on stocks, Morgan Stanley’s chief U.S. equity strategist, Adam Parker, says his team remains “constructive on the market,” even though the S&P 500 index SPX is well ahead of what they expect.
“We expect more upside is likely and remain bullish,” Parker said in a report late Monday.
What does the MS team like? Parker says they’re overweight technology, health care and industrial stocks, with health care, not consumer staples, the highest-conviction sector call.
….read more HERE
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — U.S. stocks extended losses into a second day Tuesday as Federal Reserve official Charles Evans said the economy should be able to shoulder reduced Fed asset purchases later this year.
“It’s more of this taper tempest that we seem to go into. The market gets a little confused; it seems fine as long as the talk around taper is around data, but it gets flustered when you talk about the calendar,” said Jim Dunigan, managing executive for investments at PNC Wealth Management.
“There appears to be a lot on our plates as we get into fall season, with budget talks, a new Fed chair and the debt ceiling, which might lead the market to churn here a bit,” said Dunigan, who added that the market has reached an inflection point, given its “fairly significant upside performance,” with the S&P 500 up 19% so far this year.
After falling 139 points, the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA -0.60% shed 93.39 points, or 0.6%, to end at 15,518.74, with International Business Machine Corp.IBM -2.31% leading the decline that included 24 of the Dow’s 30 components.
….read more HERE
We urged our Jurock’s Real Estate Insider subscribers to buy farmland since 2005. In fact we featured several thousand acres under the weekly Hot Property ‘plot of the week’. What did we pick?Saskatchewan and Alberta. Well, last year, Re/Max released a report on Canadian farmland sales that noted that cropland prices in Saskatchewan and Southern Alberta had jumped to $800 an acre. Since then, prices have rocketed.
“We’ve never seen anything like this. It’s like the land rush all over,” said veteran realtor Ben Van Dyk, a senior agent with newly formed Farm & Ranch by Better Homes and Gardens Real Estate.
Examples: 297 acres of cropland near Lethbridge for $2.7 million; 160 acres nearBaron, Alberta for $1 million.
But the real big prices are seen in farmlands close to town, since Alberta has no controls on selling agriculture land for development. For example, a 96-acre parcel with business potential just outside Lethbridge is offered at $1.3 million or around $3,000 per acre.
An even more telling stat is seen in Martensville, a suburb of Saskatoon. There, farmland on the edge of town, rezoned for residential and commercial development, is selling for $550,000 an acre, up from the $25,000 per acre it sold for four years ago.
“The [land] demand is very strong. There is not enough land available to satisfy the buyers,” said Van Dyk, who describes some parcels attracting more than a dozen offers when they hit the market.
According to Farm Credit Canada, the average value of Canadian farmland increased 8.6% during the first half of 2012, following average increases of 6.9% and 7.4% in the previous two reporting periods.
Farmland values remained stable or increased in all provinces except British Columbia, which saw a 0.3% decrease.
Ontario, experienced the highest average increase at 16.3%, followed by Manitoba at 10.3% and Saskatchewan at 9.1%.
Quebec and Alberta experienced 6.7% and 5.7% average increases respectively, followed by Prince Edward Island at 3.1% and Nova Scotia at 2.8%.
Major Point: Canadian farmland values have risen steadily during the last decade. The current average national increase is the highest since FCC began reporting on farmland values; with the second highest increase being 7.7% in the second half of 2008. The last time the average value decreased was by 0.6% in 2000. With food prices rising over 40% (not 2%!) in the last 2 years … this will continue.
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