Gold & Precious Metals

With gold and silver poised to resume their secular bull market and the horrific bear market in mining and exploration stocks apparently now behind us, I anticipate a “marked” increase in mergers and acquisitions (M&A) in the mining and exploration area.

Six companies appear excellent targets, two of whom are Grandich clients and I own a “ton” of shares in:

  • Geologix Explorations – is a Canadian mineral exploration company focused on acquiring, exploring, and developing promising mineral resource opportunities. The Company’s primary focus is its 100% owned Tepal Copper-Gold Porphyry Project in Michoacán State, Mexico. The Company recently completed a Preliminary Feasibility Study (“PFS”) at Tepal, and is currently working to move the project towards a Bankable Feasibility Study (“BFS”) and production.  Management has hinted of alternatives to general equity financing’s and when you look at some of their board members, you could speculate they may be of great assistance in this matter. Stock is just too cheap and vulnerable to takeover.
  • Kinross Gold – the world’s seventh-largest gold miner, owns some huge, largely unexploited assets spread across four continents, making it an appealing target for bigger players who are always on the hunt for deposits to replenish their reserves.
  • Newcrest Mining – Its 40 years of gold reserves exceeding that of any global peer makes Australia’s largest producer  a target. Newmont Mining has been a rumored potential suitor.
  • Sunridge Gold– I’ve heard from more than one pass reliable source that the Chinese have greatly increased their interest in mining worldwide and in particular Eritrea. When pressed, SGC management clams up except to say numerous companies worldwide are looking at them and have signed confidentially agreements. I’m extremely bias but I think this is one junior to own ASAP for speculators.
  • Teranga Gold – A full takeover of Oromin Explorations should occur before year-end. Once complete and a deal done with OLE’s former joint-venture partners, I think TGZ itself comes into play.
  • Yamana Gold – A history of growth, relative low-cost producer and a much lower market valuation makes it a target as well IMHO.

PETER GRANDICH INTERVIEW HERE

 

If A Picture Is Worth A Thousand Words

Chile has been a pretty nice place to be over the last few years, not just to live but also as an investment destination. 

Anyone involved in startup businesses or real estate just about anywhere in the country over the last 3, 5, 10, even 20 years, has done quite well. 

But as the country becomes an increasingly popular with expats, it’s worth asking the question–  is Chile’s growth and success sustainable? 

Or even more importantly, what happens to Chile in the event of a global economic turndown? Or a big drop in copper prices? 

Remember, Chile’s economy is largely resource dependent and copper is its primary export. So if there were a great economic unraveling in China (as well as in other parts of the world), it’s true that copper exports would decrease. And this would adversely affect Chile. 

But, unlike most other countries around the world, Chile has actually been preparing for a global economic turndown. 

Many years ago, the Chilean government started the Copper Stabilization Fund (now the Economic and Social Stabilization Fund) which sets aside a portion of government revenue every year when there’s a surplus and holds it as a reserve in case of a future slowdown. 

What a concept—saving for a rainy day. 

Today this fund is currently valued at $21.7 billion USD, about 8% of the country’s GDP. And in the case of future calamity, this cash reserve will go a long way to keep things afloat in Chile while other countries might be experiencing desperate conditions. 

It’s also important to point out that a large-scale global crisis would spur investors and professionals to seek international safe havens. 

This is where Chile shines. If major calamity strikes, Chinese, Americans, Europeans, etc. would be more motivated than ever to move their capital to a stable place…

  • where foreigners are given the same property rights as locals
  • property rights and the rule of law are actually well respected;
  • and there is a surplus of fresh food and water

All of this can be found here in Chile. And even with the global economy limping along as it has been, this is already starting to happen. 

Just a couple of weeks ago, Chile’s government announced the largest amount of Chinese investment capital ever in the country, roughly $1.2 billion. That’s a prodigious sum of money here, and a big indication of things to come. 

Every place has its issues, and Chile is far from perfect. But it definitely has a brighter future than most western countries that are drowning in debt, regulation, spying scandals, and monetary debasement. 

Chile is a country with a low national debt, low violent crime rates, low corruption, and abundant economic opportunity. 

On top of that, the weather is great, the people are friendly, the cost of living is reasonable, and it’s a comparatively easy process to obtain residency. 

Looking around the world, there are –very– few places that share these characteristics. And that’s one of the most important reasons why Chile can be a personal and financial safe haven. 

Like everything, the window of opportunity won’t be open forever. As more people start to realize the country’s potential, I expect the government will raise the entry bar, especially with respect to Chile’s easy immigration standards. 

So I really encourage you to start thinking in this direction while the door is open—where is the best safe haven for you and your family? You might find Chile to be very high on the list. 

Darren Kaiser is an accomplished investor in Chilean real estate and author of the Chile Property Investment Black Paper.

Below is a link to a Q&A with Eric Sprott in today’s Globe and Mail with questions that were earlier submitted by readers. Some very bold predictions including gold will double within the next 12 months, and the markets failure to accurately depict what’s going on in the world, according to Sprott.

Click here to read more.

For the past year, I’ve been carefully watching for signs of trouble…

The two biggest potential sources of trouble – the two big concerns I hear from investors – are:

1.   The U.S. economy is “running off the rails”… It’s about to enter a recession… or worse, a depression.
2.   The U.S. economy is about to overheat, triggering major inflation… which will destroy the value of their savings.

 

But folks who follow my research have been able to rest easy at night… They know what I’m about to show you today…

…..read & view charts HERE