Bonds & Interest Rates

Schiff. Rosenberg. Looking for inflation in a deflationary world …

bondI think Peter Schiff is very good at explaining how political economy should operate. But it seems his market and economic forecasts, in anything but the very long term, tend to be similar one-way bets.  Maybe I notice this because often times my bets are opposite his.  (I mention him because he’s calling a spectacular buying opportunity in gold, again.)

David Rosenberg is also very good on political economy. He seems to me more pragmatic than Peter Schiff in that he seems more open to change his market calls as evidence mounts.

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How to Spark a Fear Rally

lightningThe sky is falling.

Investors are panicking.

But the market?

The S&P is down about 2.5% from its August 2nd peak.

What you’re witnessing right now is the perfect recipe for a fear rally. I briefly mentioned Friday morning that investors pulled a net $9.4 billion out of U.S. stock funds last week. It’s obvious the herd is terrified. Even the sentiment polls have sharply reversed from bullish to downright bearish…

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December Gold Futures closed above $1400 for the first time in over 2 months and marked the third straight day of gains.

 

Drew Zimmerman

Investment & Commodities/Futures Advisor

604-664-2842 – Direct

604 664 2900 – Main

604 664 2666 – Fax

800 810 7022 – Toll Free

dzimmerman@pifinancial.com

Hugh Hendry Closes Yen Short, Says Emerging Markets Show Cracks

hugh-hendryFamous China bear, Hugh Hendry is out with his commentary for July. The hedge fund managed by Hugh Hendry had another rough month, but Hendry thinks many emerging market countries have further troubles ahead, and he still is short certain countries. Below is the full commentary for hendry’s Eclectica fund.

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 Multitudes of material that an inquisitive investor can locate, subscribe to or just find in their junk e-mail box collecting cyber dust. Much of these opinions and the packages they arrive in are self-promoting and/or  besieged with advertising and sponsorships. There are however, as I have talked about in the past…some very informative and unbiased opinions and information circling around us. After seeing enough “opinions and recommendations” it becomes a little easier with each passing year to eliminate sort and process said materials. One of the newsletters that I like and find strong investment ideas from is Keth Schaefer’s “Oil and Gas Investment Bulletin.”

 

Keith has been focusing lately on the BC LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas) build out. So what we are talking about is: 12 proposals to ship LNG now, 1st one will be small, but start in Q2 2015. Next one likely not until 2017 and Lots of background work to do—pipelines, power ect. There is potential for a multi-year run for service companies. With huge spending to develop reserves there will be 7.5 billion in construction per bcf export….astonishing. By 2020 there will likely be 3-5 bcf exported in LNG, that equates to a lot of dollars into drilling, fracking, new pipeline, terminal facilities. Keith refers to this as the Pig in the Python, and I like the analogy. The BC election has set the clear path for large scale LNG.

 

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