Energy & Commodities
Junior venture companies in Canada are finally seeing a significant lift.
In early January, the S&P/TSX Venture Composite Index rose above the 200-day moving average for the first time in three years. The index is also very close to experiencing a golden cross, which is when the shorter-term 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average. Historically, traders see this cross as extremely bullish.
You can see on the chart that there have been few occurrences of golden crosses over the past five years, with one in 2009 and another in 2011. Following these crosses, the index saw a spectacular increase.

The Canadian venture index holds 372 micro-capitalization securities that trade on the S&P/TSX exchange. It’s a resources-heavy index, with more than 80 percent of the holdings in the energy and materials sector. Making up the top 10 by weight are energy companies including Africa Oil, Mart Resources, Americas PetroGas and Madalena Energy.
Materials stocks such as Atico Mining, Balmoral Resources, Chesapeake Gold, Energold Drilling, Gold Standard Ventures, Rye Patch Gold, and Santacruz Silver Mining are also constituents.
These stocks will be familiar to the shareholders of the World Precious Minerals Fund (UNWPX), as they are representative of the fund’s holdings. Historically, we’ve found that these junior mining companies outperformed their larger counterparts.
As resource investors, we’re particularly encouraged by this “golden cross,” but what makes us even more optimistic is further data supporting the cyclical areas of the market.
Cyclical companies in sectors such as information technology, industrial, materials, and consumer discretionary tend to sell goods and services beyond the basic needs. These are the goods and services businesses and consumers buy when times are good.
So consider the potentially major impact that increased investment spending might have on these companies. After curtailing capital expenditures following the Great Recession, businesses may be in the process of reversing that trend after a prolonged period of under-investing.
….read page 2 & 3 HERE
United States Q4 GDP came in at 3.2% as expected this morning.
The S&P 500 Futures are trading up 13 points on the day to 1785.
Drew Zimmerman
Investment & Commodities/Futures Advisor
604-664-2842 – Direct
604 664 2900 – Main
604 664 2666 – Fax
800 810 7022 – Toll Free
Oil futures moved up on Thursday, as investors took in a largely positive reading on U.S. economic growth.
March crude oil rose 41 cents, or 0.4%, to $97.77 a barrel in electronic trading. Brent crude for March delivery gained a nickel, or less than 0.1%, to $107.90 a barrel.
“Oil prices are continuing to buck the negative market sentiment,” wrote analysts at Commerzbank Commodity Research in a note on Thursday.
“Whereas equity markets and base metals still find themselves under pressure due to the currency turmoil in the emerging economies, the Brent price yesterday actually rose” on Wednesday, the analysts said, while the U.S. crude benchmark “was able to hold its own,” finding support from the “extreme cold weather in the U.S.”
In U.S. economic news on Thursday, the Commerce Department said the U.S. economy grew at a 3.2% annual pace in the fourth quarter, in a largely upbeat report that slightly missed the 3.3% consensus estimate of economists polled by MarketWatch. In addition, the Labor Department reported weekly jobless claims were higher than expected.
…..read more HERE
WASHINGTON – Robust household spending and rising exports kept the U.S. economy on solid ground, but stagnant wages could chip away some of the momentum. Full Article
Federal Reserve policy makers trimmed bond buying for a second straight meeting, uniting behind a strategy of gradual withdrawal from Ben S. Bernanke’sunprecedented easing policy as Janet Yellenprepares to succeed him as chairman.
The Federal Open Market Committee said yesterday it will cut monthly bond purchases by $10 billion to $65 billion, citing labor-market indicators that “were mixed but on balance showed further improvement” and economic growth that has “picked up in recent quarters.”
It was the first meeting without a dissent since June 2011, showing the tapering strategy has brought together policy makers concerned the Fed’s record $4.1 trillionbalance sheet risks causing asset price bubbles with those who, like Vice Chairman Yellen, say more needs to be done to reduce unemployment.



