Stocks & Equities

Faber: Gold & Silver Stocks are Absolutely Undervalued

Some examples of the “Only Asset Class That is Relatively and Absolutely Depressed” 

As a contrarian or as a value investor, Marc sees reasonable value in the gold mining stocks right now. Government bonds and other assets are essentially inflated, but the gold mining stocks are deflated.

goldrYou can listen to the interview, or read the synopsis below. Also for Gold Mining Stocks you can click on the stocks on this banner to read more about them – Money Talks Editor

When speaking about an imminent stock market correction, Marc Faber argues that since the market hasn’t had more than a 10% correction since 2011, it is likely that we will se a 30-40% decline in the not to distant future.

Marc has witnessed many bull markets and crashes in his career. Marc says that bull markets frequently go on for longer than expected, but the current bull market is already very old, and has been going up steeply since 2009 – in other words, more than 5years old. “The one thing I can say, is that we are in a aging bull market, and the recovery has lasted longer than the typical recovery phase over the past 100 years.”

Marc is asked if the Fed’s current slowdown in tapering will be reversed in a stock market correction? Marc points out that whenever there is a problem with liquidity in the markets (1988, 2000, 2007), the Fed has stimulated the economy by injecting liquidity, so it’s not unlikely that the Fed will again try to support assets markets. The problem is when this goes on long enough, numerous assets aren’t affordable for the majority of people. The impact of this may be negative for the economy, because some asset prices may rise disproportionally in comparison to other prices. 

On the multi year low in mining equities, Marc says that general assets are very high right now. And the only asset class that in Marc’s view are beaten down now are the gold and silver mining shares. When looking at the Dow Jones Index in comparison to the GDXJ (junior gold mining stocks index), the underperformance from the GDXJ has been colossal. As a contrarian or as a value investor, Marc sees reasonable value in the gold mining stocks right now. Government bonds and other assets are essentially inflated, but the gold mining stocks are deflated.

Speaking on the influx on gold into Asia… Marc thinks it’s an interesting situation, because in the west we have rumors of central bank’s manipulation of the gold market to keep the price depressed. Marc believes that these rumors are insensible – the West should want to sell their gold at a high price, not at a low price point.

Finally, in the last 20 years, there has been a huge increase of wealth in Asia. The increase in gold purchases in Asia, comes from a growing population, and a population which is increasingly affluent. Marc says that in terms of the Asian stock markets, they are relatively depressed in comparison to the US stock markets, and there is better value there.

…also from Marc: The Chinese-Russian Gas deal and the Decline of the USD

 


Dr Faber publishes a widely read monthly investment newsletter “The Gloom Boom & Doom Report” report which highlights unusual investment opportunities, and is the author of several books including “ TOMORROW’S GOLD – Asia’s Age of Discovery” which was first published in 2002 and highlights future investment opportunities around the world. “ TOMORROW’S GOLD ” was for several weeks on Amazon’s best seller list and is being translated into Japanese, Chinese, Korean, Thai and German. Dr. Faber is also a regular contributor to several leading financial publications around the world. 

Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.Dr. Doom also trades currencies and commodity futures like Gold and Oil.

Richard Russell – US Government Lies As All Hell Breaks Loose

shapeimage 22At 90 years old and still going strong, the Godfather of newsletter writers, Richard Russell, warned about the continued lies emanating from the U.S. government as we enter a historic inflection point where “all hell will break loose.”  The 60-year market veteran also discussed Putin, China, Ukraine, gold, markets, and war.

Russell: “In the Ukraine, ex-KGB operator Putin is playing his game of “who will blink first.” My inner voice tells me that there will be no war in the Ukraine. Putin knows that the most expensive thing that a nation can do is fight a war. And Putin may be a closet economist. I’m a war-hater, so I fervently hope that the Ukraine confrontation can be settled without a shooting (boots on the ground) war. War is extremely expensive, and Putin is obviously aware of that fact. So I’m assuming that Putin and his wealthy buddies are pushing the pressure-pincher as far as it will go — just short of war.

…continue reading HERE

10 High-Yield Canadian Energy Stocks

(1) Crescent Point Energy Corp (TSE:CPG.CA) — 6.2% YIELD

Crescent Point Energy is an oil and gas exploration, development and production company with assets focused in properties comprised of crude oil and natural gas reserves located in Canada and the United States. Co. is engaged in acquiring, developing and holding interests in petroleum and natural gas properties and assets related thereto through a general partnership and wholly owned subsidiaries.

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Precious Metals: Is it Time to Buy?

Sometimes, when assets are stuck in trading ranges, it creates short-term trading opportunities.

I have been writing lately that precious metals and precious metal companies have been stuck in ranges. This continues to be evident in the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)iShares Silver Trust (SLV) and Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX).

But are these ranges to buy … or beware of?

SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)

Below is a chart of GLD:

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Let’s review the chart:

 

  • It’s normal for prices, after a decline, to base (i.e., go sideways) for some time. Basing is considered a consolidation period.
  • The basing started over a year ago.
  • The basing pattern has turned into a neutral symmetrical triangle and participants are buying pullbacks, but selling rallies. A symmetrical triangle is considered a consolidation pattern.
  • Prices did hold the bottom rising trendline and could currently rally to the “declining tops” trendline, the $127.50 area.
  • Once prices reach an apex, they will normally follow the direction of the dominant trend. In this case, the dominant trend is bearish.
  • Eventually, prices will most likely pull back to the $120-to-$115 area.

 

It is not a good time to trade gold. Wait until it pulls back to the $120 area.

The iShares Silver Trust (SLV)

Here is a recent chart for SLV:

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Silver has a bearish descending triangle on its chart, and participants are selling the rallies.

Normally, prices will breach support around the $18 area at some point.

It is best to avoid this type of price action.

Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX)

Here is a current chart for GDX:

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Let’s review the chart:

 

  • GDX has also been basing for over a year.
  • Resistance is the $28 area. Support is from $21 to $23.
  • It is interesting that prices have not pulled back since the last rally to resistance. This could mean participants don’t want to get out. There is a chance that prices could break above resistance.

 

However …

If gold continues to trade in a range and pulls back to support, will gold take the GDX and other gold miners down with it?

I recommended GDX back in March when prices were closer to support and the risk/reward relationship was better, about 1.5 to 5.

As of right now, however: When in doubt, stay out.

I recommend waiting until prices pull back closer to support before buying GLD, SLV and GDX. This will give you a better risk/reward potential. And if you’d like to receive timely alerts from me when it’s time to buy the metals and/or the miners, complete with detailed trade instructions, you can click this link here >>

Good Gold and Energy Investing,
Dan Hassey

 

After yesterdays $23 decline gold there can be no doubt that gold is at a critical moment which could very well decide the next $200 directional move for the yellow metal. 

…. to view 3 charts that paint a dramatic picture go HERE

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