Currency
Martin with a must read for any investor in crypto currencies. He includes an answer to the question of crypto currencies ability to drop to zero. Robert Zurrer for Money Talks
QUESTION: Vitalik Buterin (picture on the right), the co-founder of Ethereum and a co-founder of Bitcoin Magazine, said on Twitter. “Reminder: cryptocurrencies are still a new and hyper-volatile asset class, and could drop to near-zero at any time.” He said: “Don’t put in more money than you can afford to lose.”
Do you agree with him? It seems like you do.
LM
ANSWER: Absolutely! None of these currencies will ever make it to be a viable real-world currency. Anyone wh0 thinks that these will be safer than an official currency is not thinking clearly. We are moving toward an electronic currency since today only about 4% of transactions take place in and paper money. Nevertheless, those who think that this circumvents central banks etc and this is the future are really out there in the unrealistic world.
A currency has to be LEGAL TENDER as long as we have governments. That means it must be acceptable even by the government for taxes. This cryptocurrency is not really a currency at all. It is simply a speculative investment. To be a real currency it must be used within society to conduct commerce. We cannot accept it for by the time we would go to convert it, who knows what the value would be. It is far too volatile.
Cryptocurrencies are reminiscent of the Broken Banknote Era set in motion by Andrew Jackson when he closed the central bank. Every bank began to print their own currency and this led to massive fraud. Notes were circulating and people had no idea if it was real or a fraud. We cannot have 1,000 different cryptocurrencies all circulating and trying to become the one true currency.
In the end, still, only an official currency will survive. The governments of the world can easily just outlaw cryptocurrencies if they impinge upon their monopoly. For now, they are not a serious threat.
….also from Martin Armstrong:

This video examines the current daily cycles in the dollar and euro and suggests caution is warranted for the gold market.
https://blog.smartmoneytrackerpremium.com/

Unfortunately for crypto investors “HODLING” onto Ripple, their huge gains have been wiped out in just the past few weeks. While Ripple’s price surged to massive percentage gains in a short period, it came down just as fast. Unbelievably, Ripple’s price surged from less than a penny in March 2017 to a peak of $2.81 on Jan 1st, 2018.
Ripple’s stunning price increase would have made investors during Holland’s 17th Century Tulip Bubble, quite envious. Ripple’s price increased a staggering 46,700% in a mere nine months:
Ripple was trading at $0.006 at the beginning of March 2017 and then shot up to a peak of $2.81 on Jan 1st. An investor who placed a $100 bet on Ripple at that time, would have earned $47,000 if they were able to cash out at the top. Not bad. However, I doubt most individuals cashed out near the top… maybe a few.
Unfortunately, there is this idea put forth by many Crypto Aficionados that holding, or “HODLING” onto Bitcoin and the Cryptos for a long period is the way to go. I have even seen some of these crypto aficionados record videos of themselves, wearing hats that say, “HODL,” telling their followers to hold onto their cryptos for much more significant gains in the future.
One of the more highly touted crypto aficionados in the alternative media is claiming that the new target price for Bitcoin is $13,888. While anything is possible in the future, as Bitcoin’s price continues to head lower, down to its next stop at $6,500, the $13,888 Bitcoin price target by the end of February seems less and less likely.
Okay… now that I said that I want to make something perfectly clear. I had a much different opinion of Bitcoin and the Crypto markets last year. It wasn’t until I began to witness the tremendous amount of fraud, corruption, and leverage in the crypto market did I change my mind. Regardless, I believe the SELLOFF in the Crypto Market will continue until the Bubble has popped for good.
Today, Ripple’s price was down another 20% at the lows:
While it may be unpleasant for crypto investors to read my negative opinion about the market, I have to provide the information as I see it. Even though there is a chance Bitcoin and the Crypto prices will move higher and see some nice percentage gains for a while, if I were holding onto Bitcoin, I would certainly CONSIDER cashing out on price gains, rather than waiting for Bitcoin to reach $100,000. Please understand, I am not giving out any investment advice, just sharing what I would do.
Currently, Ripple is trading at $.70, down 75% from its high of $2.81. While investors who purchased Ripple for a few pennies are still sitting on nice gains… they are still SITTING on gains. You don’t enjoy profits until you cash out.
I will end this brief post by stating the following: When the CryptoMarket finally capitulates, the alternative media community can finally get back to focusing on GOLD & SILVER… the true stores of wealth.
Check back for new articles and updates at the SRSrocco Report.

Jack Crooks tells us that if you must get anything right, get the US dollar right. Near term prepare for a weak CDN Dollar to 74 cents.
….also from Mike: Great Advice from Guests James Thorne & Paul Beattie

Signs of The Times
“New Survey Reveals Staggering Number Of People Are Buying BitCoin On Their Credit Cards”
– Zero Hedge, January 12.
“Why Is Liberal California The Poverty Capital Of America?”
– LA Times, January 14.
“Some South Africans Are Going Bankrupt Buying Cryptocurrencies”
– OkayAfrica.com, January 17.
“Year after year, the stock market has roared ahead, driven by the Federal Reserve’s excessively easy monetary policy.”
– Martin Feldstein, WSJ, January 16.
“China’s home sales surged to a record high last month, despite a prolonged government campaign to curb property speculation.”
– Bloomberg, January 18.
“China Orders State-Run Companies to Make Profits”
– Bloomberg, January 23.
“A small and transitory overshoot of 2% inflation would not be a problem.”
– William Dudley, Pres. NY Fed, Bloomberg, January 19.
“Bitcoin May Split 50 Times in 2018 as Forking Craze Mounts”
– Bloomberg, January 23.
Perspective
Dudley at the NY Fed is focused upon CPI inflation when inflation in stock prices is passing the moon. One measure is momentum and the Weekly RSI on the DJIA is up to 91 (no typo). On the extraordinary Dot-Com mania that climaxed in March 2000, the big action was in the Nasdaq, and the Weekly RSI topped out at 84 (also no typo).
Then there has been the Bitcoin Bubble, which price gains have been the biggest ever.
“Forking” is the term for the equivalent of a stock split.
The ChartWorks registered a Sequential (13) Sell on Bitcoin on December 19th. We noted on the 21st that this was the first such signal in two years and that the correction could be the most significant in two years. Our historical side is wondering if the top is in? Time will tell.
And Fed people are noting that it would not be troublesome if CPI inflation goes a little above 2 percent. They have been trying to boost it up to 2 percent. Why? Because they think that if 2% can’t be maintained there will be deflation and that could force another Depression.
The supreme irony is that severe contractions that can be called Depressions have only followed the climax of every great financial bubble. That’s since the first one—the South Sea Bubble of 1720.
Headlines from China record remarkable bureaucratic folly. Some policymakers have been trying to talk the housing boom down. Others are commanding that state-run companies “Make Profits”. As the Nikkei was climaxing in December 1989, some policymakers were talking the boom down. On the first hard break, they clamored to “reduce margin requirements”.
Absolute madness out there. Both in private financial affairs and in policymaking.
How long can it continue?
The irony is that from central bankers to journalists; from fund managers to financial analysts no one can question the durability of the bull market. Do that and credibility goes out the window. Essentially, one way or another “everyone” is committed or complacent.
However, there are some new technical accomplishments. Big picture ones.
The January 14th ChartWorks reviewed the “ADX”, which measures the strength of the trend, and for the DJIA at 64 it is the highest on the 115-year record.
The January 23rd. ChartWorks noted that the DJIA is approaching a Fibonacci target at the 26,500 level. This is based upon the significant swings since the calamity ended in 2009, which basically met Fibonacci numbers.
Can the action become more extreme? Well, one number is the best in 115 years and the other has been building for almost 9 years.
The key question is how long can the buying frenzy be sustained? That’s for the venerable but now extreme DJIA.
Then there are the higher-flyers such as the Pot Stocks.
Link to January 26, 2018 Bob Hoye interview on TalkDigitalNetwork.com:
https://www.howestreet.com/2018/01/26/equity-markets-have-taken-on-a-life-of-their-own/
BOB HOYE,
INSTITUTIONAL ADVISORS
E-MAIL bhoye.institutionaladvisors@telus.net
WEBSITE: www.institutionaladvisors.com
Listen to the Bob Hoye Podcast every Friday afternoon at TalkDigitalNetwork.com
