Featured Article

Mortgage funds, commonly referred to as MICs, have grown in popularity as investors look for alternative ways to generate stable income. These funds earn interest by lending money, secured against real estate, to borrowers who don’t fit the increasingly rigid requirements of the bank.

While we believe mortgage investing can be a great way to add income and stability to a portfolio, not all funds are created equal. Below are three key concepts to understand when considering a mortgage fund investment.

Loan-to-Value (LTV): How much security do you have in case of a market drop?

The first is the loan-to-value (LTV) ratio, which is calculated by dividing the mortgage amount by the property value. For example, a property with a $50,000 mortgage and a $100,000 value has an LTV of 50%.

Understanding LTV ratios is important in determining the probability that the lender will lose money if a property decreases in value. In the example above, one could estimate that the property’s market value would have to drop by 40% before there is significant risk of capital loss, assuming foreclosure costs of 10% of the asset value. From the perspective of an investor looking to participate in a mortgage investment fund, a lower LTV signals a more robust fund that might be able to withstand a market downturn better than others.

An important detail to keep in mind is whether the LTV ratio advertised by a fund is calculated as a weighted average. In a simple average, small mortgages with very low ratios might skew the numbers, potentially hiding problematic large mortgages. Consider a fund with the following mortgage pool:

Property Value ($) Mortgage Amount ($) Loan-to-Value (%)
$250,000 $100,000 40.00%
$500,000 $200,000 40.00%
$1,000,000 $650,000 65.00%
$800,000 $200,000 25.00%
$300,000 $100,000 33.33%
$10,000,000 $8,500,000 85.00%
$100,000 $35,000 35.00%
$250,000 $150,000 60.00%
$600,000 $400,000 66.67%
Average Loan-to-Value: 50.00%

While the average LTV is relatively low at 50%, the weighted average LTV is almost 80% due to the large $8,500,000 mortgage at 85% LTV. While the fund might appear diversified, a market downturn could severely impact the whole fund due to the potential loss of capital from that single loan.

Considering this, we looked to partner with a mortgage fund with a weighted average LTV of 60% or lower, with a larger pool of smaller mortgages to ensure sufficient diversification. As such, the fund would be well positioned for market turbulence and can serve as a stabilizing presence in our clients’ portfolios.

Asset Type: What type of property are the mortgages being secured against?

Another component influencing the risk profile of a mortgage investment fund is the asset type lent against. The main categories include residential, commercial (which consists of multi-family, retail, office and industrial), land, and construction financing.

Mortgage funds vary in their composition of each asset type due to their portfolio strategy and regulatory requirements. As a general statement, residential mortgages (and to a degree commercial mortgages) are viewed as lower risk than land or construction mortgages. Funds heavily involved in construction financing usually offer a higher return to reflect the higher risk nature of the projects. These risks come primarily from two different sources.

The first source is mortgage size. Commercial properties and land deals typically require much larger mortgages than an individual residential property. Depending on the size of the fund, the available capital might be overly concentrated in only a handful of mortgages. This lower diversification means the impact of one mortgage going sideways would be significant, in a similar fashion to our mortgage pool example above.

The second source of this risk is the ability to sell the property for the desired price in the event that the lender has to foreclose on a property. Residential properties, particularly in larger urban centres, are relatively quick and easy to sell due to a larger buyer pool and shorter closing period. On the other hand, commercial real estate and construction deals can be more difficult to sell with a smaller buyer pool and longer transaction times, potentially straining cash flow for the fund.

One final point on construction financing is that there are far more variables involved with development than existing buildings. Construction costs can change, timelines are often extended and market values can change while the project is under construction, making it economically unfeasible. This means that not only is it more difficult to recoup your capital when a deal goes awry but the probability of it going askew in the first place is also higher.

Hawkeye Wealth has chosen to focus on funds that have a majority (90%+), if not the entire portfolio, composed of residential properties. This avoids construction risk and means the debt is being lent against an asset that already has its value in place on top of the value of the land. Giving preference to residential properties also means you are lending to a profile of borrowers more likely to make payments, since a large number will be homeowners refinancing or purchasing their principal home, which carries strong financial and cultural incentives for individuals to make payments.

This isn’t to say that investing in commercial or construction loans is a poor strategy. This is meant to highlight some of the risks so you can make a decision as to whether you’re being properly compensated for them.

Fund Size: Being big enough but not too big

Lastly, one commonly overlooked factor is the size of the fund itself. Just like any other business, mortgage funds benefit from economies of scale up to a certain point. To illustrate this, let us consider two extreme examples—a $5M fund versus a $1B fund.

In the smaller fund, depending on the market being invested in, there will only be enough capital for a handful of mortgages. This over-concentration exposes the fund to cash flow problems should even a single borrower stop making payments. The fund will likely not earn enough fees to hire good underwriters, establish effective business operations and have the marketing and business wherewithal to source the best mortgages. The only advantage is how nimble it may be as a small business to find fringe opportunities that others may have overlooked.

Conversely, looking at the larger fund, one can expect a stronger team in place with different individuals dedicating their entire day to mortgage origination, underwriting, accounting and so on. This fund will likely have the reputation and capital to be in a favourable position to source optimal mortgage opportunities. With this much capital, it will also be able to diversify in a variety of markets across the country. The potential issue that comes with funds of greater magnitude is the difficulty of continuously lending out the capital available. This might lead to reckless underwriting and/or low-yielding mortgages.

Final Thoughts

There are many other factors that will influence the risk and reward profile of a mortgage investment fund, many of which can be a deal maker or breaker depending on your personal preference. Other components not covered in detail here include the borrower profile, how frequently distributions are made back to investors, the seniority of mortgages, how easily you can exit the fund and the eligibility for registered funds (TFSA/RSP). All of these will play a role depending on your capital available, your time horizon and liquidity needs.

If you would like to learn more about mortgage investing and how to participate in Hawkeye Wealth’s vetted opportunities, you can access our webinar and investor package here.

*This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or tax advice.

Chip crisis threatens to cut auto output by 7.1M cars

The global shortage of semiconductors will cut worldwide auto production by as many as 7.1 million vehicles this year, and pandemic-related supply disruptions will hobble the industry well into next year, IHS Markit said.

The lack of chips won’t stabilize until the second quarter of next year, with recovery coming in the second half, IHS said in a report Thursday. The grim outlook is further proof that the chip crisis is far from over. And the research firm’s forecast doesn’t include the latest cuts from Toyota Motor Corp., which plans to briefly pause output at 14 plants next month and slash production 40 per cent.

“The situation is still fraught with challenges,”

IHS analysts Mark Fulthorpe and Phil Amsrud wrote in their report. “We are also seeing additional volatility due to COVID-19 lockdown measures in Malaysia where many back-end chip packaging and testing operations are performed.”…read more.

Home prices rising per square foot, annual survey shows

The fifth annual Price per Square Foot Survey, released August 11 from Century-21 Canada, shows that real estate continues to be a strong investment. While real estate is most often dependent on local market conditions, the past year has seen widespread increases in prices from coast to coast.

The annual study compared the price per square foot of properties sold between January 1 and June 30 this year, compared to the same period last year.

“Looking at the prices across Canada, there isn’t one region that hasn’t seen price growth in the past year,” said Brian Rushton, executive vice-president of Century 21 Canada. “It’s still a seller’s market from Victoria to St. John’s.”…read more.

President of Argentina Open to Adopting Cryptocurrencies as Legal Tender

Alberto Fernandez, the president of Argentina, stated he is open to the adoption of cryptocurrencies as legal tender in an interview this week. Fernandez said there is a big discussion around the value and use of cryptocurrencies not only in Argentina but also all over the world. However, he recognized this issue should be treated carefully, and acknowledged he had limited knowledge in the subject of cryptocurrencies.

President of Argentina Open to Allow Crypto to Become Legal Tender

Alberto Fernandez, the current president of Argentina, expressed his opinion of cryptocurrencies in the Black Box, an interview program hosted by Julio Leiva, an Argentinian journalist. When asked about the subject of cryptocurrencies, and if his government was looking into it, Fernandez stated that there was a big debate over the function of cryptocurrencies not only in Argentina but in the whole world. He stated:..read more.

Canadian Home Sales Just Fell For The First Time In Over A Year

Canadian home sales continue to cool, logging another month of declining volumes. Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) data shows home sales fell in July 2021. It was the first annual decline seen in over a year. Despite the negative factors, it was still the second biggest July for home sales ever.

Canadian Home Sales Fell 15%
Canadian existing-home sales continue to pull back from record levels. There were 53,870 homes sold through the MLS in July, down 14.9% from a month before. Compared to a year ago this represents a 15.2% decline. It was the first time in over a year that home sales have seen negative annual growth.

Home Sales Are Down 28% From This Year’s Peak
This is a huge drop for home sales, continuing the trend of a market slowdown. July managed to be the fourth consecutive month to see home sales decline, after peaking in March. Sales have fallen about 28% from that peak. Even though it was the second biggest July ever, that’s a substantial decline in activity.

Will Activity Pick Up In The Fall, Like Last Year?
The pandemic didn’t just disrupt your sleep schedule, but it also screwed up real estate sales. Looking at the above sales overlay, you can see the seasonal norms are disrupted. Volume for 2020 peaks much later in the year than typical. This was due to the initial lockdown delaying the Spring market.

Looking at 2021, we can see home sales peaking in March — much earlier than usual. The mix of reads has made the end of the year a bit of a mystery.

Many observers think the end of the year will see a surge in activity, not unlike…read more.