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Big News! 2022 World Outlook Financial Conference

  • James Thorne took a contrarian view at last year’s World Outlook Financial Conference forecasting the S&P 500 Index would hit 4500 in 2021, a 20% gain – as of today it’s up almost 23%!
  • Ryan Irvine’s 2021 WOFC Small Cap Portfolio is up 114.5% – you read that right 114.5%.
  • Mark Leibovit said to buy the dip in Tesla at $555, it’s now trading at $1200!
  • Josef Schachter missed his oil price forecast, but it doesn’t matter when you get the stocks right. For example, he recommended Bonterra, Paramount and Yangerra – and sold them earlier this year for 179%, 361% and 147% gains respectively.

Those are obviously great results, but that’s why we search out and invite some of the top analysts in the English speaking world to the World Outlook Financial Conference. Obviously past performance is not a guarantee of future success but the consistent results we’ve achieved over the years have not been by accident. Our analysts have been chosen precisely because they have strong track records.

Whether you’re interested in stocks, precious metals, energy, real estate, economic trends or currencies we bring in the top analysts to the Conference to cover them all.

The 2022 conference will once again be entirely online. Unfortunately, there is still too much uncertainty for us to confidently produce a full-scale live event, and respondents to our recent poll made it clear they are not fully comfortable with the tight spaces of the Conference facility, the mask mandate and other barriers to travel and participation. On the plus side, we received overwhelmingly positive feedback on the broadcast and on-demand video format – and can promise you even better quality in 2022.

And of course, this ensures we can offer exclusive interviews and presentations with forecasters from around the world like Martin Armstrong, Greg Weldon, Mark Leibovit and many more. As an added bonus, for the first time we will be bringing experts in Fintech, de-centralized finance and crypto currencies to the Conference. The sector is booming, should you be involved?

An Exclusive Early Bird Offer – $50 Off AND You Can Join Us in Your Pajamas Again

You’ll be able to watch the conference broadcast at its regular times starting Friday afternoon, February 4th through to Saturday afternoon February 5th – AND you’ll also be able to watch it again and again whenever you’d like – on demand, anytime, from anywhere with an internet connection.

And of course, we have an online/on-demand “ticket” Early Bird offer for you. If you purchase your 2022 Conference access pass before November 26th you will get $50 off, a 20% discount – I’m thinking the best $199 you’ll spend this year.

I hope you will take advantage of this opportunity. The level of volatility and the violence of the moves in all markets necessitates taking advantage of the best possible research and analysis available. While financial programs and conferences often feature cheerleaders for a variety of products or industries, we focus on top flight independent analysis. Periods of historic change provide incredible opportunities and incredible danger. Join us in February to find out what they could be.

For more information on the Conference and to purchase your broadcast / on-demand video access pass CLICK HERE

Mike’s Comment – Questions About the Transition to Renewables

Are we allowed to ask questions about the transition to renewables? Because if we are, Mike can’t believe no one’s asking this one.

Canada’s employment engine shifts into lower gear

Canada’s labor market continued to heal in October as retail businesses ramped up hiring, though the pace of gains has begun to cool.

The economy added 31,200 jobs last month, Statistics Canada said Friday in Ottawa, missing expectations for a gain of 41,600 in a Bloomberg survey of economists. The unemployment rate fell to 6.7 per cent from 6.9 per cent in September, and total hours worked rose 1 per cent.

The report signals the economic rebound is intact, with companies finding workers as COVID-19 restrictions vanish. Yet, the data also illustrate how future job gains will return to more normal levels — which averaged 23,000 per month in the two years prior to the pandemic — as labor slack diminishes.

“Underlying indicators of limited labor market slack are starting to flash,” Simon Harvey, senior FX market analyst at Monex Europe Ltd., said by email.

Canada’s currency was little changed after the report, trading at about $1.2445 per U.S. dollar at 9:32 in Toronto trading. Bond reaction was also muted, with the yield on Canada’s two-year benchmark falling one basis point to 0.97 per cent…read more.

China Calls For Stronger Climate Actions Despite Not Attending The COP26

Two countries, two neighbors, two of the most populated countries in the world — China and India talked of their individual approaches to climate change at the COP26 summit in Glasgow, Scotland. The event was delayed by a year because of the COVID-19 pandemic. It comes six years after the landmark Paris accord, which 200 countries signed. They pledged to limit rising global temperatures to 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. In addition, they would pursue efforts to cap heating to 1.5 degrees Celsius.

India aims for net-zero by 2070

As MetalMiner’s Stuart Burns explained last month, India is facing a coal crisis, as stocks have dwindled. Contrary to long-term environmental goals, India remains largely dependent on coal-fired power generation.

Nonetheless, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi committed to achieving net-zero emissions by 2070. That is 20 years beyond the goal set by the COP26 organizers and British Prime Minister Boris Johnson.

The 2021 United Nations Climate Change Conference, also known as COP26, is the 26th United Nations Climate Change Conference. The conference kicked off on Oct. 31 and will run until Nov. 12.

In his speech, Modi pledged the country would meet 50% of its energy needs through renewable sources by 2030. He also said India will achieve net-zero emissions by 2070. India is the world’s third-largest carbon emitter.

Xi calls for ‘stronger actions’

On the other hand, in a statement released during the summit, Chinese President Xi Jinping called for countries to take “stronger actions” on climate change.

“I hope all parties will take stronger actions to jointly tackle the climate challenge and protect the planet, the shared home for us all,” he said, according to China’s state media agency Xinhua, which published the statement.

Xi did not attend the summit…read more.

Green Jobs Are a Cost, not a Benefit

The International Energy Agency recently reported that shifting to clean energy will create between 13 and 26 million jobs by 2030. They present this as a benefit, but that’s misleading; jobs are not a benefit but a cost.

That might sound counterintuitive, but it’s easy to understand. Say you need to do repairs on your home, and you can’t or don’t want to do them yourself. That means you have to pay for both materials and labor. But imagine that the materials would magically assemble themselves into the needed repair work all on their own. Then you would only have to pay for materials, and you would save the cost of hiring someone.

This is true for any business as well. Suppose the elements of their business could magically assemble themselves into the finished product or service. The business owner could then avoid spending on employees and pass some of that savings on to customers. That’s why automation has replaced so many laborious tasks over time, from agriculture to washing clothes to taking orders at fast-food restaurants.

Can you save the cost of labor by doing your own repair work on your home? No, because your time has value. The time and energy spent doing the home repair can’t be spent on something else, whether that something else is a money-making activity or just leisure. That’s the opportunity cost of your labor, the lost opportunity to do the next most valuable thing with your time, whether for you that’s doing something that makes money or just enjoying some leisure time. Even if you find working on your home pleasurable, there’s still an opportunity cost. If that cost is high, then it’s worth hiring someone else. If it’s low, it may make sense to do the work yourself. But either way, there’s a cost.

But aren’t jobs a benefit to the person who has the job? No. They are no more a benefit than your labor on your own home is a benefit. The income is the benefit, and the job is the cost you pay to get the income. That’s easy to see if you imagine getting the same income without having to work for it. Consider why nobody talks about what job they’ll have in heaven. Our standard picture of heaven is that we have all our needs taken care of without doing any work. All our time is leisure time. That vision implicitly recognizes that having a job is a cost. It may be a necessary cost here on earth, but it is nonetheless a cost.

Which brings us back to green jobs. The International Energy Agency suggests that creating millions of jobs in clean energy is a benefit, but now you should see that these jobs are really a cost. You can see this more clearly by thinking about who pays that cost. After all, someone has to pay for all that labor. And that someone is the public. Imagine how much cheaper the transition to clean energy would be if it required fewer jobs, so the public didn’t have to pay for as much labor. Then the clean energy policies would have even more net value.

And if such a loss of jobs in the energy sector were to occur, it would not mean a net loss of jobs. Instead, those workers would become available for employers in other sectors of the economy to hire. Then for the same amount of labor, we would get both green power and whatever other goods and services those workers would end up providing for us. So if government wanted to craft a truly economically beneficial clean energy policy, it would devise one that requires fewer workers in the energy industry.

Government is not needed to create jobs. The private sector does that on its own and does it best when government stays out of the way. Consider that the U.S. population has tripled in the past century while at the same time automation has eliminated countless jobs. Yet, in the years just before the Covid-19 pandemic, the unemployment rate was historically low. Or consider automated checkout in grocery stores that has reduced the number of cashiers. Naively one would expect a reduction in grocery store employment. Instead, those workers have shifted to tasks like shopping for customers who then come to the store just long enough to pick up their order. Freeing up labor from one job makes them available for new tasks that nobody could do for us in the past.

Government policies that “create” jobs – green or any other color – are not adding to the total number of jobs. They are only shifting them away from other economic sectors. And they can only do so by offering higher wages, which are paid for by us members of the public. So once again, those jobs are a cost of the policy, not a benefit.

This isn’t an argument against clean energy. This is an argument that jobs are not a reason to favor clean energy. If we have decided to transition to clean energy for environmental reasons, then we should hope for clean energy that requires fewer jobs. That would be a real benefit…read more.