Economic Outlook

US Consumer Debt Is Worse Than Ever

By some calculations, our consumer debt right now has surpassed what it was in the 2008 financial crisis. If American consumers held $13 trillion in credit cards, car loans, mortgages and other debt in 2008, it will be shocking to learn that they may have topped $14 trillion this year. The $14 trillion calculation comes from Marquette Associates’ senior research analyst of fixed income, Ben Mohr, and it’s spreading like wildfire in the media for the drastic implications. After all, the last financial crisis hit when all those loans went bad, taking down the securities that were pegged to them.

New polling data from a Morning Consult/CNBC survey supports Mohr’s thesis, showing that Americans have indeed taken on more credit card debt than ever before, including during the 2008 financial crisis.

Discretionary spending–spending on clothes, entertainment, etc–is responsible for a large share of that….CLICK for complete article

Do You Really Think That Trans Mountain Opponents are Worried About the Business Case?

Because that’s what they’re saying.  As if even the most wonderful business projections or even signed contracts for Alberta oil could get them to support the project.

Pipeline Opponents Say China Doesn’t Want Alberta Crude

If Trans Mountain pipeline opponents are correct in their claim that no one in Asia wants Alberta crude then what are they worried about.  If there are no buyers then the crude won’t be shipped.

Buy And Hold: Simple, Not Easy

The idea of buying and holding high-quality businesses over a long period of time is simple. But then, it’s important to understand that the action of not doing anything over such a long period of time involves hundreds of decisions over months and years that lead to such inaction….CLICK for complete article

Market Mayhem Sparks Worries Of A Looming Recession

“The perfect storm” has become a cliché, but the current setup for a 2019 recession just became so textbook perfect in the alignment of the three most critical recessionary forces that I have to use it….CLICK for complete article