Economic Outlook
Infamous for his painful but ultimately profitable “big short” bet against mortgage-backed securities during the 2008 financial crisis, Michael Burry, the doctor-turned-hedge-fund-manager has been on a multi-day Twitter rant claiming that the lockdowns intended to contain the COVID-19 pandemic are worse than the disease itself. Echoing the thoughts of many, Burry opined in a series of tweets over the past two weeks that the government-enforced lockdowns and business shutdowns across America may trigger one of the country’s deepest-ever economic contractions, and further still, are not necessary to contain the epidemic (on March 22nd)… CLICK for complete article
We at McIver Capital Management are confident that the both the Bank of Canada and Federal Reserve have provided enough monetary stimulus to support the credit markets and prevent any systemic economic failure. For now.
The fact is our economy, and those of the G7, have effectively been stopped by virus lockdowns and forced social distancing. There is virtually no economy to speak of and at a minimum, hundreds of thousands of Canadians and millions of Americans have been thrown out of work. U.S. unemployment may indeed suddenly spike over 10% due to the lockdowns, and the President of the St. Louis regional Federal Reserve Board has estimated that U.S. unemployment could even reach as high as 30%. These numbers would match the great depression and seem unlikely in response to a temporary virus. But an alarming prediction nonetheless… CLICK for Neil’s complete article
Josef Schachter of the Schachter Energy Report is Michael’s Interview of the Week. He gives his forecast for oil prices and talks about which stocks present the opportunity of a lifetime.
Mike’s Editorial
Posted by Michael Campbell
on Saturday, 4 April 2020 10:34
Mike exposes the superficiality of the narrative of returning to “normal.”