Daily Updates
Legendary global investor and chairman of Singapore-based Rogers Holdings, Jim Rogers has been talking about his 2012 predictions.
In a nutshell, he is neither too optimistic about the stock market for 2012 nor about what’s going to happen in the world in the next two or three years.
Speaking to Australia Financial News Network (AFNN) December 23, Rogers said: “The problems are going to continue to get worse until someone solves the basic underlying problem of too much spending and too much debt.”
He sees the biggest risk to global growth in 2012 as “too much debt…too much consumption…and the central bank in the US which keeps printing money.”
Rogers, seen as one of the world’s most successful investors, highlighted the scale of the problem to his host: The problem is that the measures America needs [to solve the crisis] would cause huge pain for a while, but, if we don’t take our pain now, and we wait until the market forces the pain on us, then it’s going to be systemic collapse.”
First and foremost, Happy New Year! I wish you and your loved ones the best for the new year — a year that should find you healthy, wealthy and wise!
As for me, I will do my darndest to help make it your most profitable year ever.
Today, the markets are closed. So this will be a bit of an abbreviated issue, summarizing recent market action in gold, silver, the euro and the Dow.
Looks like the new year is off to a great start for us. Gold has just plunged below the $1,564 level I mentioned previously, and it’s now making a beeline lower to the first major support level at the $1,435 area.
Bottom line: If you acted on my previous suggestion to purchase inverse ETFs such as the ProShares UltraShort Gold (GLL), hold that position! It’s now up as much as 31.35% since I suggested it in the November 7 column, with more gains coming.
In fact, also reflect on this: Europe is still in crisis mode, and Iran is now making waves about closing the Strait of Hormuz. Both of these fundamental forces, one would think, would be very bullish for gold.
But instead, gold is sliding. In my experience, that’s just one more sign we are on the right side of the markets, and bearish the precious metals short term.
As for silver, it’s starting to drop like a rock again. It’s now taken out the previously mentioned support at the $29.16 level … and is now ready to make a beeline down to $25 and, very possibly, much lower to $22 to $23 an ounce.
Bottom line: If you acted on my previous suggestion to purchase the ProShares UltraShort Silver (ZSL), hold that position! It’s now up as much as 55.9%, also since I suggested it in the November 7 column, with more gains likely dead ahead.
Meanwhile, the euro currency is cratering, handing you nice gains if you acted on my suggestion to buy an inverse ETF such as the ProShares UltraShort Euro (EUO).
As for the Dow Industrials, it too remains positioned for a move down in the days ahead. One of the chief reasons is that — try as it did — the Dow Industrials was incapable of closing the year above the 12,232 level, let alone 12,596, key levels I told you about that would have signaled that the Dow was preparing for a new bull market.
Mark my words: A new, long-term bull market in the Dow and S&P 500 stocks is coming. It’s just not here yet.
So for now, if you acted on any of my previous suggestions to buy inverse stock ETFs such as the ProShares Short S&P 500 (SH) or the more leveraged ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 (SPXU), hold those positions too!
That’s it for now. I’m going to enjoy the rest of the holiday today with my family. But stay tuned to your inbox: 2012 is going to be a very exciting year, and I strongly believe it will also be your most profitable year ever!
Best wishes, as always …
Larry
P.S. My speculative trading service, Resource Windfall Trader, is doing fantastic. Every one of my closed trades over the last 12 consecutive months has seen an average 45% gain in market price. That includes all seven of my losing trades over the last year.
Actually, that figure is now a tad higher: It does not include gains of 160%+ in a position designed to profit from a move down in silver, which soared last week when silver plunged — gains I’ll have likely told my members to bag before you read this column.
You too might want to consider cranking up your profit potential by becoming a member of my Resource Windfall Trader.
You can do so now at a full 30% off the regular membership price by clicking here to read my special report.
Ed Note: Victor has some of the finest Trading Advice you can find on the net on his website VictorAdair.com
Here is some of the best Trading Advice you will find:
An excellent trading lesson from Dennis Gartman, October 2011 – HERE
Bob Farrell’s Ten Market Rules to Remember – HERE
“Know what you don’t know” – thoughts from Trading Master PAUL TUDOR JONES – HERE
“He who does not bellow the truth when he knows the truth makes himself the accomplice of liars and forgers.” — Charles Peguy
If there’s been one overriding theme I’ve stressed from when I turned bullish on gold at just over $300 in the spring of 2003, it’s that the financial industry and most of those who report about it and the markets hate gold. I said it’s foolhardy to expect there ever to be a universally bullish view for gold, and that we should appreciate that there will always be forces whose desire is for gold’s price to be suppressed, lower than where it would be in a free market. Ironically, those who support such price suppression are the ones who call people like me and the good people at GATA tin-foil hat wearers, fanatics, or worse.
While most of those who may be bearish on gold now or have been so recently are legitimate forecasters who just see the cup as half empty versus my view of half full…
The charts below show sector relative strength versus the S&P 500 over the last twelve months. When the line is rising it indicates the sector is outperforming the S&P 500, and vice versa when it is falling. With the S&P 500 down marginally for the year, it may be surprising to some that seven sectors are actually outperforming the index since this time last year. The three sectors that are trailing the market are Financials, Industrials, and Materials.
….view all 10 relative strength charts HERE
Platinum/Gold Ratio Remains Below One