A few weeks ago, Société Générale, one of the oldest banks in France and the 3rd largest Corporate and Investment bank in the Eurozone, released a 68-page report entitled ‘Worst-Case Debt Scenario: Protecting Yourself Against Economic Collapse.”
In their report, they advised clients on how to prepare their portfolios in the case of a complete global economic collapse.
Hoping for the best, but preparing for the worst.
Under each category, they presented a bull and bear case for sector performance, highlighting the positives and negatives for each scenario.
What caught our attention in the report for specific sector performances was their view on Mining and Metals. In particular, Gold. Take a look.
Bear Economic Scenario:
“(Gold) should outperform commodity benchmark as gold would be sought out as a hedge against dollar risk .”
The report gave gold a positive outlook rating for both the short term (12 months) and long term (2 years) under a bearish economic scenario.
Bull Economic Scenario:
“Strong demand for inflation hedging and physical purposes should outweigh increasing supply .”
Even under the Bull scenario, the report gave gold a positive outlook rating and suggested that gold will outperform for both the short term (12 months) and long term (2 years).
Take a Look:
Société Générale Worst Case Debt Scenario Fourth Quarter Nov 2009
…..read more HERE.
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