“Mid-March Low Looming”

Posted by Mark Leibovit - VRTrader Platinum

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Stock Action Alert:

The stock market fell sharply yesterday morning after more dismal economic news, including a 0.6% decline in durable goods orders excluding the volatile transportation sector and another rise in jobless claims. But the market slowly worked its way back at the same time as the US Dollar fell, which helped commodity stocks and the rest of the market recover from deep losses. By the end of the day, the Dow Industrials, which had been down as much as 188.33, fell just 53.13 to 10321.03. The S&P was down just 2.31 to 1102.93 and the NASDAQ fell an even smaller 1.68 to close at 2234.22.

Tuesday’s Negative Volume Reversals (r) are the still most important short-term directional indicator. Though I sold SDS (the double-inverse ETF for the S&P 500) yesterday near market lows, we still be well-advised to look for another entry point with the thought that my often mentioned mid-March low is still looming out there. Today and Monday intersects a short-term ‘cycle change point’ in my work, so the market could easily reverse right back to the downside, despite yesterday’s sharp intra-day rally. Where is the positive upside volume to confirm a bottom? I am awaiting a sign.

The more time that passes and the more the February 5 lows hold, the more bullish the markets! That’s the bottom line.

Interestingly, it was Gold that led the market off its lows yesterday, confirming once again that those who believe Gold and stocks move in opposite directions need to go back to trading and investing school. What is good for the goose is also good for the gander. Basically, the same factors that influence a strong stock market are the same factors that influence a strong commodity market and Gold market.

Charts via MoneyTalks

ML0227

ML02272

 

 

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The weekly VR Gold Letter focuses on Gold and Gold shares. The letter is available to Platinum subscribers for only an additional $50 per month and to Silver subscribers for only $70 per month. Email me at mark.vrtrader@gmail.com.

Special offer from Mark Leibovit for Money Talks only: The intense analysis of Gold in the  10-12 page The VR Gold Letter is right now 75% off for the first month or $29.95 (regularly $125.00 a month). Go HERE and use the Money Talks promo code CBC12210

Marks VRTrader Silver Newletter covers Stock, TSE Stocks, Bonds, Gold, Base Metals, Uranium, Oil and the US Dollar.

Mark was named the #1 Gold Timer for the one-year period ending March 25, 2008 by TIMER DIGEST.

More kudos – Mark Leibovit was named the #1 Intermediate Market Timer for the 10 year period ending in 2007; the #1 Intermediate Market Timer for the 3 year period ending in 2007; the #1 Intermediate Market Timer for the 8 year period ending in 2007; and the #8 Intermediate Market Timer for the 5 year period ending in 2007. NO OTHER ANALYST SURVEYED APPEARED IN ALL FOUR CATEGORIES FOR INTERMEDIATE MARKET TIMING AS PUBLISHED IN TIMER DIGEST JANUARY 28, 2008!
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The VR Gold Letter is available to Platinum subscribers for only an additional $20 per month, while for Silver subscribers the price is only an additional $70.00 per month. Prices are going up very shortl, so act now! Separately, the VR Gold Letter retails for $1500 a year! The VR Gold Letter is published WEEKLY. It is 10 to 16 pages jam-packed with commentary and charts. Please call or email us right away. Tel: 928-282-1275. Email: mark.vrtrader@gmail.com .