From Dennis Gartman – “Turning then to gold, let us mince no words: yesterday was not fun. Yesterday was horrible; yesterday was the type of trading session that does indeed “try men’s souls. But yesterday was a correction along a well defined bull market, and yesterday was consistent with past corrections in gold”
“However, let’s keep things in perspective. If one were dealing with a stock that had sold Wednesday afternoon on the NYSE at $123.40/share and saw that it was trading Thursday morning at $119.75, one would take that price change very much in stride for that would seem like random noise and little more. Yet, this is simply what spot gold has done if we move the decimal point on gold one place to the left. The percentage changes are the same, but a $34/ounce tumble in gold seems far more serious than does a $3.40/share tumble in a $123.40 stock. Perception oft times becomes reality in the world of commodities, and that is what is taking place in gold at the moment.”
“With crude oil tumbling $7/barrel this week and with stock prices under pressure and with margin clerks looking about for pools of liquidity into which to dip, is there any wonder why gold sold off sharply? No really there is not. The wonder, in retrospect, is how well it withstood weak crude and weak stocks previously!” Dennis Gartman For a Trial Subscription go to The Gartman Letter
Gold prices: A bad day at the office
A strange day indeed where we see both silver and gold prices get hammered, the US Dollar knocked down from 86 to 84.6 on the US Dollar Index, the DOW down 40 points or so and WTI Crude now trading at around $72.66, nowhere to run and nowhere to hide.
As the chart depicts gold prices took it on the chin with a 3.52% drop, the technicals are heading south suggesting that we could be in for a lackluster summer. The summer being all of two months, July and August and in the past we would look to be buying in August, so as we see it the summer is a tad more than one month. If you are a very nimble trader you may be able to come out and go back in at lower levels, but that strategy does not do it for us. We will sit through it and look for bargains should there be a decent dip. (continued below the chart)
This might help you to keep your sea legs as the bears leap into life and short their fur off, its a missive just in for Jim Sinclair which we think sums up the situation pretty well.
There are times when you must ignore the hedgie madness in the marketplace and revert to why we are doing what we are doing.
The deflation being spoken of today is the catalyst for the coming hyperinflation. The fact is it has been so in all historic examples. The flooding of markets with debt has been brought on for different reasons, but the ways and means of hyperinflation has always been the same.
Therefore it is today’s financial market deflation talk that is the reason why you should own gold.
This continued downturn in business will find government in a panic, not in austerity when their constituency does the Greek dance of panic as the pain on Main Street becomes intolerable. It will.
Contemplate what each of the following means to you one at a time. Do not try to do them all at once. You do not want to do this as a routine memory exercise as much as a meditation on why you have bought the insurance you have.
-Gold is a currency with no liabilities attached.
-Gold is competition to paper currency.
-Gold is not a commodity.
-Gold is a barometer of fear.
-Gold is a barometer of confidence in Government.
-Gold is insurance.
-Insurance is not something to trade.
-Gold is money when money fails.
-Hyperinflation is a currency event, not an economic event.
-Hyperinflation is a currency event described as a loss of confidence in the currency.
-Gold in your hand eliminates counter-party risk.
-Gold is the high ground when the global tsunami hits.
-Gold removes financial agents between you and your assets.
Be strong in your conviction and do not be bothered by the return of the Prechterites and top callers.