Via John Mauldin’s Outside the box:
Greg Weldon is my favorite slicer and dicer of data. And he (as a registered CTA) has real skin in the game, as he runs money; so his work is not just some guy drawing lines on charts. He has to draw real-world conclusions, for real-world trades. For those who have NOT had a free trial of Weldon’s three research publications, visit www.Weldononline.com and sign up for a free trial.
And for the record, the euro will not fall out of bed until I have exchanged my last dollar in the third week of June. But what’s a little exchange-rate issue when you are talking Tuscany? I can’t complain too much. Have a great week.
Your wondering if Bernanke will ever say the word contained again analyst,
John Mauldin, Editor
Outside the Box
Macro E.U. — D.O.A.
Today’s Money Monitor theme can be pitched two ways …
… D.O.A. = Dead on Arrival …
… or … D.O.A. = Debt Offenders Anonymous
Either way, the title applies to our examination of the still-intensifying EU debt-deficit debacle. We are tempted to say that the Eurocurrency is currently being rushed to the hospital, and that it is likely to be pronounced ‘D.O.A.’, or dead-on-arrival …
… but we think the more ‘appropriate’ analogy is to look at the EU as if it were a prime candidate to join a twelve-step self-help program called D.O.A., or ‘debt-offenders-anonymous’.
The first step would be ‘acceptance’.
However, the EU is not yet capable of this, as it remains ‘in denial’.
As EU debt markets come under renewed pressure amid a broadening in the scope of downgrades to sovereign credit ratings, and ratings outlooks, we note commentary from the Union’s Economic and Monetary Affairs Commissioner Olli Rehn …
… “We have contained the crisis to the three countries now in the EU-IMF programs. It is not correct to speak of a crisis of the euro or monetary union.”
DENIAL, case closed.
EU officialdom, via their denial, continues to be an “enabler”.
….read more HERE (scroll down a bit)