Complaceny Reigns

Posted by David Rosenberg - Gluskin Sheff

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BULLISH SENTIMENT GETS MORE BULLISH

The latest Investors Intelligence poll shows that the bulls are at 42.1%, up from 41.1% last week; and the bear camp was trimmed back to 22.7% from 23.3%.  So the widening in the bull/bear spread is a modest negative for those who are constructive on the market.  All the more so with the VIX index now south of 19.  Complacency reigns.

…..read more HERE (headlines from this mornings comment below)

DR030411

DR030412

IN THIS ISSUE OF BREAKFAST WITH DAVE

• While you were sleeping —equity markets are a little wobbly overnight; it looks like  Greece is going to try and solve its problem on its own

• U.S. employment backdrop still challenging — the U.S. economy is currently about12 million jobs shy of being at full employment and it will likely take 5 to 10 years to getback to the prior pre-recession peak in the employment-population ratio

• ISM services — nice headline, but breadth was awful

• Is Japan a sleeper? Japan’s economy has strung together a series of positive data releases

• U.S. consumer still in a funk …

• … and so is housing in the U.S. — the renewed downturn in home prices may be weighing on consumer sentiment

• Bullish sentiment gets more bullish

• Someone out there likes bonds!

• Fiscal follies — did you know that the structural deficit-to-GDP ratio is actually higher in the U.S. and the U.K. than it is in Greece and Spain?

…..read more HERE