In today’s issue of Breakfast with Dave
• Getting a grip on reality: double-dip risks in the U.S. have risen substantially in the past two months
• The case for bonds: in discussing the outlook for bonds, supply alone cannot be used to predict future price/yield; in our view, deflation has emerged as the primary trend and governments have few bullets left in the chamber to deal with it
• The bond cycle and deflation: while fiscal policy may have a 40% correlation with the direction of bond yields, inflation is twice as important
• Income is king: with corporate balance sheets in terrific shape in Canada and the U.S., the case for credit remains quite compelling
• A shift in G20 tone: A year ago, it was all about fiscal stimulus to bolster the global economy; now the focus is on fiscal stabilization
• Double dip, anyone? In the U.S., we are now seeing the consumer sputter and the housing sector is collapsing again
…..read it all HERE