A few weeks ago, we moved from an aggressive cash position (80+%) to about 50% long. We continue to find intriguing set ups and attractive trades, mostly in the small and mid-cap space.
But that doesn’t mean we are sanguine about the likelihood of this rally going on forever. Indeed, there are many factors that are making me uncomfortable with our becoming even more aggressive.
Consider these 10 factors that are making me nervous:
1. Low volume: Friday’s quad-witch volume notwithstanding, volume has been extremely light for weeks now. Historically, light volume is associated with tops (disinterest) while heavy volume tends to accompany bottoms (capitulation).
….read 2-10 HERE