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URL: mikesmoneytalks.ca/category/investmentfinances/Interesting%20session%20with%20Fed%20yesterday!%20Both%20the%20ECB%20and%20the%20FED%20have%20now%20clearly%20showed%20that%20the%20changed%20board%20of%20directors%20is%20far%20or%20is%20it?%20It%E2%80%99s%20a%20wait%20and%20see%20game%20now%20%E2%80%93%20the%20FOMC%20action%20left%20plenty%20on%20the%20table%20for%20both%20the%20bulls%20and%20the%20bears.%20For%20the%20bulls%20this%20is%20%E2%80%98easy%20money%E2%80%99%20for%20longer%20and%20low%20rates%20will%20have%20to%20work.%20%20For%20the%20bears%20it%E2%80%99s%20sign%20of%20incoming%20depression%20when%20Fed%20feels%20obliged%20to%20signal%20low%20rates%20for%20longer.%20%20The%20truth%20is%20probably%20somewhere%20in%20between.%20There%20is%20reason%20for%20low%20rates,%20but%20also%20printing%20money%20to%20the%20extend%20the%20major%20central%20bank%20does%20it%20makes%20all%20of%20us%20speculators%20chasing,%20again,%20investments%20which%20we%20would%20not%20normally%20engage%20in%20as%20commodities,%20metals,%20housing%20et%20al.%20We%20are%20effectively%20all%20being%20forced%20to%20take%20more%20risk%20for%20same%20return%20with%20low%20interest%20now%20predicted%20into%20the%20financial%20%E2%80%9Cforever%E2%80%9D.%20%20Sometimes%20the%20best%20analysis%20on%20an%20issue,%20and%20in%20my%20case%20almost%20always,%20comes%20from%20someone%20else%20%E2%80%93%20with%20reference%20to%20the%20FOMC%20I%20personally%20really%20enjoyed%20Caroline%20Baum%E2%80%99s%20piece:%27Fool%20in%20the%20shower%27%20to%20Give%20Fed%20a%20Good%20Scalding%20%20Not%20only%20a%20gifted%20journalist%20and%20writer%20but%20excellent%20arguments%20and%20stories.%20Please%20do%20read%20her%20take%20on%20Fed%E2%80%99s%20difficult%20balance.%20Today%E2%80%99s%20market%20open%20carry%20plenty%20of%20positive%20momentum,%20however%20Greek%20PSI%20and%20Portugal%20could%20ruin%20the%20party%20short-term.%20%20Medium-term%20all%20things%20positive%20seems%20to%20have%20been%20priced%20in:%20%20%20More%20QE%20in%20both%20US,%20UK%20and%20Europe%20including%20low%20rates%20and%20basically%20banks%20funded%20through%202012%20A%20forced%20voluntary%20deal%20in%20Greece%20%E2%80%93%20the%20real%20test%20is%20the%20next%20payment%20three%20month%20down%20the%20road%20A%20fiscal%20compact%20by%20next%20Monday%20where%20Germany%20will%20declare%20victory%20and%20then%20allow%20EFSF/ESM%20to%20be%20merged%20Iran%20on%20the%20back-burner%20at%20least%20for%20now.%20%20We%20now%20see%20market%20slightly%20expensive%20relative%20to%20historic%20numbers%20in%20our%20bottom%20up%20models,%20but%20not%20enough%20to%20create%20warning%20signal,%20however%20our%20cyclical/technical%20model%20are%20turning%20down%20s%20from%20here.%20Plenty%20of%20talk%20of%20Demark%20highs,%20cyclical%20tops%20in%20place,%20fresh%20money%20now%20being%20invested%20and%20very%20high%20survey%20data%20combined%20with%20bull/bear%20ratio%20and%20VIX%20volatility%20all%20indicating%20%E2%80%9Cfull%20speed%20ahead%E2%80%9D,%20so%20the%20momentum%20is%20positive%20and%20the%20mean-reverting%20models%20are%20very%20negative.%20May%20the%20best%20%E2%80%98model%E2%80%99%20win!%20I%20am%20still%2070%20per%20cent%20in%20cash%20for%20the%20rest.%20My%20good%20colleague%20Peter%20Garnry%20kindly%20provided%20me%20with%20this%20chart(which%20is%20now%20part%20of%20Stress%20Indicators)%20on%20key%20central%20bank%E2%80%99%20balance%20sheet%20in%20percentage%20of%20their%20countries%20GDP.%20Simple%20stuff,%20scary%20stuff:%20%20
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